The Most Important Games for the Michigan St. Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan St. Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Michigan St. (2‑3) vs Illinois (2‑3) |
1 | Michigan St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | ||
| UCLA (4‑0) vs Oregon (3‑1) |
0 | UCLA Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Oregon Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | ||
| Washington (3‑2) vs Iowa (4‑1) |
0 | Washington Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | ||
| Purdue (2‑3) vs Minnesota (4‑1) |
0 | Purdue Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Penn St. (3‑2) vs USC (5‑1) |
0 | Penn St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | ||
| USC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | ||
| Indiana (5‑0) vs Nebraska (5‑0) |
0 | Indiana Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | ||
| Ohio St. (4‑1) vs Maryland (2‑3) |
0 | Ohio St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Maryland Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | ||