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Sat Nov 7 11:45 pm

Big 10 Football - Week 11 of 13

Minnesota Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Minnesota Golden Gophers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Gophers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Minnesota Golden Gophers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Minnesota Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Minnesota Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Michigan
(5‑4)

vs
Oregon
(6‑3)
0 Michigan Wins <1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 10% 12% 16% 10% 10% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 9% 12% 13% 18% 12% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Oregon Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 13% 18% 13% 11% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota
(5‑4)

vs
Penn St.
(5‑4)
0 Minnesota Wins <1% <1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 14% 18% 19% 20% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 9% 12% 13% 18% 12% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn St. Wins X <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 6% 7% 11% 20% 17% 16% 10% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1%
NorthwesternN. Western
(6‑3)

vs
Ohio St.
(6‑3)
0 NorthwesternN. Western Wins <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 9% 9% 11% 18% 14% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 9% 12% 13% 18% 12% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Ohio St. Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 13% 14% 17% 12% 10% 7% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
USC
(7‑2)

vs
Indiana
(8‑1)
0 USC Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 9% 13% 14% 18% 13% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 9% 12% 13% 18% 12% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Indiana Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 13% 18% 12% 11% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Wisconsin
(6‑3)

vs
Maryland
(3‑6)
0 Wisconsin Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 9% 12% 13% 18% 12% 11% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 9% 12% 13% 18% 12% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Maryland Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 10% 11% 11% 18% 12% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Purdue
(3‑6)

vs
Iowa
(7‑2)
0 Purdue Wins <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 10% 11% 11% 16% 11% 9% 9% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 9% 12% 13% 18% 12% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Iowa Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 9% 12% 14% 18% 12% 11% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
UCLA
(9‑0)

vs
Illinois
(6‑3)
0 UCLA Wins X <1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 10% 11% 13% 18% 11% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 9% 12% 13% 18% 12% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Illinois Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 10% 13% 19% 15% 11% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Nebraska
(5‑4)

vs
Rutgers
(2‑7)
0 Nebraska Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 12% 13% 17% 12% 11% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 9% 12% 13% 18% 12% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Rutgers Wins <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 9% 12% 13% 19% 13% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan St.
(3‑6)

vs
Washington
(5‑4)
0 Michigan St. Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 10% 12% 14% 18% 13% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 9% 12% 13% 18% 12% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington Wins <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 9% 11% 13% 17% 12% 10% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant