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Sun Nov 1 12:30 am

Big 10 Football - Week 10 of 13

Northwestern Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Northwestern Wildcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wildcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northwestern Wildcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Northwestern Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Northwestern Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
NorthwesternN. Western
(6‑2)

vs
Iowa
(6‑2)
4 NorthwesternN. Western Wins <1% 4% 9% 10% 13% 12% 11% 11% 11% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 8% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Iowa Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 6% 7% 10% 12% 13% 13% 11% 10% 7% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota
(5‑3)

vs
UCLA
(8‑0)
2 Minnesota Wins 1% 4% 5% 6% 8% 8% 8% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 8% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
UCLA Wins <1% 2% 6% 7% 9% 9% 9% 11% 10% 9% 10% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn St.
(4‑4)

vs
Washington
(5‑3)
1 Penn St. Wins <1% 3% 6% 7% 9% 8% 10% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 8% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington Wins <1% 2% 6% 6% 8% 9% 8% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Wisconsin
(5‑3)

vs
Rutgers
(2‑6)
0 Wisconsin Wins <1% 2% 6% 6% 8% 9% 8% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 6% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 8% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Rutgers Wins <1% 2% 7% 9% 10% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan St.
(2‑6)

vs
Michigan
(5‑3)
0 Michigan St. Wins <1% 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 9% 11% 10% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 8% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan Wins <1% 2% 6% 6% 9% 9% 8% 11% 10% 9% 9% 7% 6% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Ohio St.
(6‑2)

vs
Oregon
(5‑3)
0 Ohio St. Wins <1% 3% 6% 6% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 8% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Oregon Wins <1% 3% 6% 6% 9% 9% 8% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Maryland
(2‑6)

vs
Purdue
(3‑5)
0 Maryland Wins <1% 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 9% 10% 11% 10% 9% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 8% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Purdue Wins <1% 2% 6% 7% 9% 8% 8% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Illinois
(5‑3)

vs
Nebraska
(5‑3)
0 Illinois Wins <1% 3% 5% 7% 10% 9% 9% 10% 10% 9% 9% 7% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 8% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Nebraska Wins <1% 3% 6% 7% 9% 9% 8% 11% 10% 9% 8% 8% 6% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant