The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Oregon (6‑3) vs Michigan (5‑4) |
28 | Oregon Wins | 2% | 27% | 27% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 16% | 22% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| USC (7‑2) vs Indiana (8‑1) |
19 | USC Wins | 2% | 32% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana Wins | 2% | 14% | 26% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (6‑3) vs Ohio St. (6‑3) |
4 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 2% | 23% | 23% | 14% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 1% | 19% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Purdue (3‑6) vs Iowa (7‑2) |
3 | Purdue Wins | 2% | 22% | 23% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa Wins | 2% | 19% | 20% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nebraska (5‑4) vs Rutgers (2‑7) |
2 | Nebraska Wins | 2% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rutgers Wins | 1% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UCLA (9‑0) vs Illinois (6‑3) |
1 | UCLA Wins | 1% | 21% | 23% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois Wins | 5% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maryland (3‑6) vs Wisconsin (6‑3) |
1 | Maryland Wins | 2% | 21% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 2% | 20% | 20% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan St. (3‑6) vs Washington (5‑4) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | 2% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington Wins | 2% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota (5‑4) vs Penn St. (5‑4) |
0 | Minnesota Wins | 2% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn St. Wins | 2% | 20% | 21% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||