The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Oregon (4‑2) vs Illinois (3‑3) |
11 | Oregon Wins | 5% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan St. (2‑5) vs UCLA (6‑0) |
3 | Michigan St. Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | 3% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan (4‑2) vs Indiana (6‑1) |
2 | Michigan Wins | 4% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana Wins | 3% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (4‑2) vs Iowa (5‑1) |
0 | Minnesota Wins | 3% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| USC (6‑1) vs Wisconsin (4‑2) |
0 | USC Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (5‑1) vs Rutgers (2‑4) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||