The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Mainz (2‑3‑2) vs Borussia (3‑4) |
8 | Mainz Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| FC Augsburg (2‑4‑1) vs Borussia Dortmund (4‑2‑1) |
1 | FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Bayern Munich (5‑0‑2) vs VfL Bochum (0‑6‑1) |
1 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| VfL Bochum Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| RB Leipzig (5‑0‑2) vs SC Freiburg (5‑2) |
1 | RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (4‑1‑2) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (4‑2‑1) |
1 | FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (2‑2‑3) vs Holstein Kiel (0‑5‑2) |
0 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Holstein Kiel Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (2‑4‑1) vs St. Pauli (1‑5‑1) |
0 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (2‑4‑1) vs FC Heidenheim (3‑4) |
0 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (4‑1‑2) vs Werder Bremen (3‑2‑2) |
0 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||