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Sun Oct 2 3:00 pm

Bundesliga - Week 10 of 43

Mainz Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Mainz Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Mainz Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
Bundesliga Champions and UEFA
Champions League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6#
UEFA Europa Conference
League Qualifier
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Relegation
Mainz
(3‑3‑2)

vs
RB Leipzig
(3‑3‑2)
9 Mainz Wins <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 11% 10% 6%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 9%
RB Leipzig Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 12% 13% 13% 13% 10%
SC Freiburg
(5‑1‑2)

vs
Hertha Berlin
(1‑3‑4)
0 SC Freiburg Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 13% 11% 9%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 9%
Hertha Berlin Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 12% 12% 12% 9%
VfL Bochum
(0‑7‑1)

vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
(4‑2‑2)
0 VfL Bochum Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 11% 12% 11% 9%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 9%
Eintracht Frankfurt Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 11% 12% 12% 9%
FC Union Berlin
(5‑1‑2)

vs
VfB Stuttgart
(0‑3‑5)
0 FC Union Berlin Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 10% 11% 12% 12% 11% 8%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 9%
VfB Stuttgart Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 10% 11% 12% 12% 12% 9%
FC Cologne
(3‑1‑4)

vs
Borussia
(3‑2‑3)
0 FC Cologne Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 8%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 9%
Borussia Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 8%
Bayern Munich
(4‑1‑3)

vs
Borussia Dortmund
(5‑3)
0 Bayern Munich Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 9%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 9%
Borussia Dortmund Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 7% 8% 10% 11% 12% 12% 12% 8%
Bayer Leverkusen
(1‑5‑2)

vs
Schalke
(1‑4‑3)
0 Bayer Leverkusen Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 11% 9%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 9%
Schalke Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 10% 10% 12% 12% 11% 9%
VfL Wolfsburg
(2‑4‑2)

vs
FC Augsburg
(4‑4)
0 VfL Wolfsburg Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 9%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 9%
FC Augsburg Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 10% 11% 11% 12% 12% 9%
Werder Bremen
(3‑2‑3)

vs
TSG Hoffenheim
(4‑2‑2)
0 Werder Bremen Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 12% 12% 12% 9%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 9%
TSG Hoffenheim Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 12% 12% 8%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *   denotes Bundesliga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifing
  • ##  denotes Relegation Playoff