The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Eintracht Frankfurt (11‑10‑10) vs Hamburg SV (7‑14‑10) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 30% | 44% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 27% | 42% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| FC Augsburg (10‑14‑7) vs Werder Bremen (8‑15‑8) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 14% | 58% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 41% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Mainz (8‑13‑10) vs St. Pauli (6‑17‑8) |
0 | Mainz Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 46% | 41% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 13% | 43% | 22% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (20‑4‑7) vs Borussia (7‑13‑11) |
0 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 44% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Borussia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 28% | 40% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (6‑18‑7) vs SC Freiburg (12‑12‑7) |
0 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 28% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 29% | 44% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| FC Union Berlin (8‑15‑8) vs FC Cologne (7‑14‑10) |
0 | FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 29% | 41% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Bayern Munich (26‑1‑4) vs FC Heidenheim (5‑19‑7) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (17‑8‑6) vs VfB Stuttgart (17‑8‑6) |
0 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (16‑8‑7) vs RB Leipzig (19‑7‑5) |
0 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||