The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Hamburg SV (9‑14‑10) vs Bayer Leverkusen (17‑9‑7) |
0 | Hamburg SV Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 40% | 29% | 27% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 69% | 27% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Augsburg (12‑14‑7) vs FC Union Berlin (9‑15‑9) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 79% | 18% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 41% | 39% | 17% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (18‑8‑7) vs Borussia (8‑14‑11) |
0 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 67% | 28% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Borussia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 52% | 25% | 18% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayern Munich (27‑1‑5) vs FC Cologne (7‑15‑11) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (11‑12‑10) vs VfB Stuttgart (18‑8‑7) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mainz (9‑14‑10) vs FC Heidenheim (6‑19‑8) |
0 | Mainz Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 29% | 45% | 23% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SC Freiburg (12‑13‑8) vs RB Leipzig (20‑8‑5) |
0 | SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Pauli (6‑19‑8) vs VfL Wolfsburg (6‑19‑8) |
0 | St. Pauli Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Werder Bremen (8‑17‑8) vs Borussia Dortmund (21‑5‑7) |
0 | Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 63% | 27% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||