The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Mainz (0‑1) vs VfL Wolfsburg (1‑0) |
38 | Mainz Wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 18% | ||
| FC Augsburg (1‑0) vs Bayern Munich (1‑0) |
2 | FC Augsburg Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| SC Freiburg (0‑1) vs FC Cologne (1‑0) |
1 | SC Freiburg Wins | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (0‑1) vs Borussia (0‑0‑1) |
1 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Borussia Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (0‑1) vs Werder Bremen (0‑1) |
1 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (1‑0) vs Borussia Dortmund (0‑0‑1) |
1 | FC Union Berlin Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| RB Leipzig (0‑1) vs FC Heidenheim (0‑1) |
1 | RB Leipzig Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (1‑0) vs TSG Hoffenheim (1‑0) |
1 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| St. Pauli (0‑0‑1) vs Hamburg SV (0‑0‑1) |
0 | St. Pauli Wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 15% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 15% | ||