The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifier |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation |
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| Mainz (5‑13‑12) vs FC Cologne (4‑16‑10) |
31 | Mainz Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 24% | 44% | 13% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 34% | 35% | 19% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (11‑13‑6) vs VfL Bochum (5‑13‑12) |
13 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 20% | 49% | 14% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% | ||
| VfL Bochum Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 31% | 34% | 6% | ||
| Borussia (7‑13‑10) vs FC Union Berlin (8‑17‑5) |
2 | Borussia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 21% | 41% | 20% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 44% | 25% | 5% | ||
| SC Freiburg (11‑12‑7) vs VfL Wolfsburg (8‑15‑7) |
1 | SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 40% | 21% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 20% | 44% | 22% | 5% | ||
| FC Augsburg (10‑11‑9) vs Werder Bremen (9‑14‑7) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 42% | 22% | 5% | ||
| FC Heidenheim (8‑12‑10) vs Darmstadt (3‑19‑8) |
0 | FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% | ||
| Darmstadt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 41% | 22% | 5% | ||
| Bayern Munich (21‑6‑3) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (11‑7‑12) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% | ||
| RB Leipzig (18‑7‑5) vs Borussia Dortmund (16‑5‑9) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (25‑0‑5) vs VfB Stuttgart (20‑7‑3) |
0 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 22% | 5% | ||