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Sun Apr 14 10:00 pm

Bundesliga - Week 36 of 40

Mainz Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Mainz Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Mainz Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
Bundesliga Champions and UEFA
Champions League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Europa Conference
League Qualifier
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Relegation
Mainz
(5‑13‑11)

vs
SC Freiburg
(11‑12‑6)
24 Mainz Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 11% 16% 22% 29% 13% 4%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
SC Freiburg Wins X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 12% 29% 31% 20%
VfL Wolfsburg
(7‑15‑7)

vs
VfL Bochum
(5‑12‑12)
8 VfL Wolfsburg Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 15% 34% 23% 13%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
VfL Bochum Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 10% 15% 20% 31% 18%
Darmstadt
(2‑19‑8)

vs
FC Cologne
(4‑15‑10)
7 Darmstadt Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 16% 33% 28% 8%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
FC Cologne Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 28% 24% 17%
Bayern Munich
(20‑6‑3)

vs
FC Union Berlin
(8‑16‑5)
2 Bayern Munich Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 14%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
FC Union Berlin Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 13% 32% 27% 15%
VfB Stuttgart
(20‑6‑3)

vs
Werder Bremen
(8‑14‑7)
1 VfB Stuttgart Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
Werder Bremen Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 16% 31% 26% 15%
TSG Hoffenheim
(10‑13‑6)

vs
Borussia
(7‑12‑10)
1 TSG Hoffenheim Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 14%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
Borussia Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 15% 30% 25% 15%
RB Leipzig
(17‑7‑5)

vs
FC Heidenheim
(8‑11‑10)
0 RB Leipzig Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 14%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
FC Heidenheim Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
FC Augsburg
(10‑10‑9)

vs
Eintracht Frankfurt
(10‑7‑12)
0 FC Augsburg Wins X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
Eintracht Frankfurt Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
Borussia Dortmund
(16‑5‑8)

vs
Bayer Leverkusen
(25‑0‑4)
0 Borussia Dortmund Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
Bayer Leverkusen Wins X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 15% 29% 25% 15%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *   denotes Bundesliga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifing
  • ##  denotes Relegation Playoff