The Most Important Games for Mainz are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mainz fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mainz Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||||
| Mainz (5‑11‑7) vs Bayer Leverkusen (12‑7‑3) |
12 | Mainz Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 11% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (14‑5‑4) vs St. Pauli (5‑13‑5) |
3 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 12% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (13‑6‑4) vs VfL Wolfsburg (5‑13‑5) |
3 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | ||
| FC Heidenheim (3‑15‑5) vs Werder Bremen (4‑12‑7) |
3 | FC Heidenheim Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 10% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (7‑9‑7) vs Borussia (5‑11‑7) |
1 | FC Union Berlin Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | ||
| Borussia Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 10% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (15‑1‑7) vs Bayern Munich (19‑1‑3) |
1 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (8‑8‑7) vs SC Freiburg (9‑8‑6) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | ||
| RB Leipzig (12‑6‑5) vs Hamburg SV (6‑8‑8) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 10% | ||
| FC Cologne (6‑11‑6) vs FC Augsburg (8‑11‑4) |
0 | FC Cologne Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | ||