The Mainz What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Win Next Game | 6 | 11 | 7 | 25 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 11 | 7 | 22 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 12 | 7 | 22 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 11% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 17% |
|
Best Case Scenario Mainz beats Bayer Leverkusen TSG Hoffenheim beats St. Pauli VfB Stuttgart beats VfL Wolfsburg |
Worst Case Scenario Bayer Leverkusen beats Mainz St. Pauli beats TSG Hoffenheim VfL Wolfsburg beats VfB Stuttgart |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 11 of 11 | 100% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 39% | 50% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 11 | 91% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 65% | 21% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 11 | 82% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 37% | 47% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 8 of 11 | 73% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 36% | 42% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 11 | 64% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 32% | 42% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 11 | 55% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 42% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 11 | 45% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 40% | 31% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 11 | 36% | 9 | 18 | 7 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 32% | 40% | 16% | 2% | <1% |
| 3 of 11 | 27% | 8 | 19 | 7 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 22% | 41% | 28% | 5% |
| 2 of 11 | 18% | 7 | 20 | 7 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 44% | 40% |
| 1 of 11 | 9% | 6 | 21 | 7 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 85% |
| 0 of 11 | 0% | 5 | 22 | 7 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 99% |