The Mainz What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
|
Best Case Scenario Eintracht Frankfurt beats Bayern Munich |
Worst Case Scenario Bayern Munich beats Eintracht Frankfurt |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 28 of 28 | 100% | 30 | 2 | 2 | 92 | 92% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 27 of 28 | 96% | 29 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 78% | 22% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 26 of 28 | 93% | 28 | 4 | 2 | 86 | 60% | 39% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 28 | 89% | 27 | 5 | 2 | 83 | 42% | 54% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 28 | 86% | 26 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 25% | 62% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 28 | 82% | 25 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 13% | 58% | 26% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 28 | 79% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 5% | 43% | 41% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 28 | 75% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 2% | 24% | 44% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 28 | 71% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | <1% | 9% | 33% | 38% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 28 | 68% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | <1% | 3% | 16% | 36% | 32% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 28 | 64% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 36% | 27% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 28 | 61% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 36% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 28 | 57% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 24% | 35% | 24% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 28 | 54% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 26% | 35% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 14 of 28 | 50% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 27% | 35% | 21% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 28 | 46% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 28% | 35% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 28 | 43% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 36% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 28 | 39% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 32% | 35% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 28 | 36% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 35% | 33% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 28 | 32% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 37% | 30% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| 8 of 28 | 29% | 10 | 22 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 39% | 27% | 7% | 1% |
| 7 of 28 | 25% | 9 | 23 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 26% | 41% | 21% | 4% |
| 6 of 28 | 21% | 8 | 24 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 34% | 39% | 17% |
| 5 of 28 | 18% | 7 | 25 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 42% | 41% |
| 4 of 28 | 14% | 6 | 26 | 2 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 26% | 70% |
| 3 of 28 | 11% | 5 | 27 | 2 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 90% |
| 0 of 28 | 0% | 2 | 30 | 2 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |