The Mainz What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 14 | 10 | 8 | 50 | X | X | <1% | 19% | 28% | 27% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 13 | 10 | 8 | 47 | X | X | <1% | 9% | 17% | 22% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 13 | 11 | 8 | 47 | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 17% | 31% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | X | X | 1% | 30% | 31% | 21% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | X | <1% | 9% | 17% | 22% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | 3% | 16% | 37% | 25% | 13% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario VfL Wolfsburg beats Borussia Dortmund Bayer Leverkusen beats SC Freiburg Mainz beats Eintracht Frankfurt |
Worst Case Scenario Borussia Dortmund beats VfL Wolfsburg SC Freiburg beats Bayer Leverkusen Eintracht Frankfurt beats Mainz |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56 | X | X | 2% | 65% | 30% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 15 | 11 | 8 | 53 | X | X | X | 9% | 36% | 42% | 13% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 14 | 12 | 8 | 50 | X | X | X | X | 1% | 10% | 51% | 33% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 13 | 13 | 8 | 47 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 15% | 40% | 36% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |