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Mon Sep 14 6:00 am

Bundesliga - Week 4 of 39

Mainz What If?

The Mainz What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mainz What If?

Next Game - Borussia (0‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Bundesliga Champions and UEFA
Champions League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 2 1 1 7 6% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 6%
Current Standings 1 1 1 4 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 10%
Lose Next Game 1 2 1 4 3% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 7% 13%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Bundesliga Champions and UEFA
Champions League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Relegation
Playoff
31 of 31 100% 32 1 1 97 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 31 2 1 94 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 26 7 1 79 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 22 11 1 67 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 21 12 1 64 83% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 20 13 1 61 58% 35% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 31 58% 19 14 1 58 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 31 55% 18 15 1 55 3% 17% 34% 29% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 31 52% 17 16 1 52 <1% 1% 6% 19% 30% 27% 13% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 11% 25% 30% 21% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 14% 28% 29% 17% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 20% 31% 25% 12% 3% <1%
12 of 31 39% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 18% 33% 29% 13%
11 of 31 35% 12 21 1 37 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 30% 58%
10 of 31 32% 11 22 1 34 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
5 of 31 16% 6 27 1 19 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 31 0% 1 32 1 4 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Bundesliga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ##  denotes Relegation Playoff