The N. Carolina A&T Aggies What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how N. Carolina A&T plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Best Case Scenario | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
Current Standings | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% |
Best Case Scenario N. Carolina A&T beats Hampton |
Worst Case Scenario Hampton beats N. Carolina A&T |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | ||
18 of 18 | 100% | 18 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 18 | 94% | 17 | 1 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 18 | 89% | 16 | 2 | 86% | 13% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 18 | 83% | 15 | 3 | 55% | 39% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 18 | 78% | 14 | 4 | 20% | 48% | 28% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
13 of 18 | 72% | 13 | 5 | 3% | 24% | 42% | 26% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 18 | 67% | 12 | 6 | <1% | 4% | 22% | 40% | 27% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 18 | 61% | 11 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 39% | 29% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
10 of 18 | 56% | 10 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 37% | 32% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 18 | 50% | 9 | 9 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 35% | 34% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
8 of 18 | 44% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 34% | 35% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 18 | 39% | 7 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 32% | 37% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 18 | 33% | 6 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 29% | 39% | 20% | 4% | <1% |
5 of 18 | 28% | 5 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 27% | 42% | 22% | 3% |
4 of 18 | 22% | 4 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 29% | 46% | 20% |
3 of 18 | 17% | 3 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 39% | 55% |
2 of 18 | 11% | 2 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 14% | 86% |
1 of 18 | 6% | 1 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 98% |
0 of 18 | 0% | 0 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |