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Mon Sep 15 6:00 pm

La Liga - Week 6 of 41

Osasuna What If?

The Osasuna What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Osasuna What If?

Next Game - Villarreal (2‑1‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 2 0 9 2% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Current Standings 2 2 0 6 2% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 2 3 0 6 1% 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 2% 5% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Current Standings 2% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 3% 5% 7% 8% 9% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1%
Best Case Scenario
   Osasuna beats Villarreal
 Worst Case Scenario
   Villarreal beats Osasuna
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
34 of 34 100% 36 2 0 108 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
32 of 34 94% 34 4 0 102 93% 7% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 34 91% 33 5 0 99 84% 16% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 32 6 0 96 71% 28% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 34 85% 31 7 0 93 56% 40% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 34 82% 30 8 0 90 40% 48% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 34 79% 29 9 0 87 25% 51% 21% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 34 76% 28 10 0 84 13% 45% 34% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 34 74% 27 11 0 81 6% 31% 41% 19% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 34 71% 26 12 0 78 2% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 34 68% 25 13 0 75 <1% 7% 26% 37% 22% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 34 65% 24 14 0 72 <1% 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 34 62% 23 15 0 69 <1% <1% 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 34 59% 22 16 0 66 <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 34 56% 21 17 0 63 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 34 53% 20 18 0 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 34 50% 19 19 0 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 23% 32% 23% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 34 47% 18 20 0 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 22% 32% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 34 44% 17 21 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 23% 32% 25% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 34 41% 16 22 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 34 38% 15 23 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 22% 34% 25% 9% 1% <1% <1%
12 of 34 35% 14 24 0 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 8% 1% <1%
11 of 34 32% 13 25 0 39 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 23% 7% 1%
10 of 34 29% 12 26 0 36 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 36% 20% 5%
9 of 34 26% 11 27 0 33 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 31% 36% 19%
8 of 34 24% 10 28 0 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 38% 44%
7 of 34 21% 9 29 0 27 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 72%
6 of 34 18% 8 30 0 24 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 91%
5 of 34 15% 7 31 0 21 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
0 of 34 0% 2 36 0 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round