The Most Important Games for Rayo Vallecano are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rayo Vallecano fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) | Game Winner | Rayo Vallecano Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and  UEFA Champions League Participant | 2** UEFA Champions League Participant | 3** UEFA Champions League Participant | 4** UEFA Champions League Participant | 5*** UEFA Europa League Participant | 6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Rayo Vallecano (4‑4‑2) vs Villarreal (6‑2‑2) | 17 | Rayo Vallecano Wins | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Mallorca (2‑5‑3) vs Real Betis (4‑2‑4) | 1 | Mallorca Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Celta Vigo (1‑2‑7) vs Levante (2‑5‑3) | 1 | Celta Vigo Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Levante Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Getafe (4‑4‑2) vs Girona (1‑5‑4) | 1 | Getafe Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Girona Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Espanyol (4‑2‑3) vs Alavés (3‑4‑3) | 1 | Espanyol Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Alavés Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Barcelona (7‑2‑1) vs Elche (3‑2‑5) | 0 | Barcelona Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Elche Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Sevilla FC (4‑5‑1) vs Atletico Madrid (5‑1‑4) | 0 | Sevilla FC Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Valencia (2‑5‑3) vs Real Madrid (9‑1) | 0 | Valencia Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Real Madrid Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (4‑4‑2) vs Real Sociedad (2‑5‑3) | 0 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Real Sociedad Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ||