The Rayo Vallecano What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifier |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 49% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 51% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifier |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 33 of 33 | 100% | 35 | 2 | 1 | 106 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 31 of 33 | 94% | 33 | 4 | 1 | 100 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 30 of 33 | 91% | 32 | 5 | 1 | 97 | 85% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 29 of 33 | 88% | 31 | 6 | 1 | 94 | 71% | 27% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 28 of 33 | 85% | 30 | 7 | 1 | 91 | 52% | 40% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 27 of 33 | 82% | 29 | 8 | 1 | 88 | 33% | 47% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 26 of 33 | 79% | 28 | 9 | 1 | 85 | 18% | 44% | 30% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 33 | 76% | 27 | 10 | 1 | 82 | 8% | 33% | 39% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 33 | 73% | 26 | 11 | 1 | 79 | 3% | 18% | 39% | 30% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 33 | 70% | 25 | 12 | 1 | 76 | 1% | 8% | 28% | 38% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 33 | 67% | 24 | 13 | 1 | 73 | <1% | 2% | 14% | 33% | 34% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 33 | 64% | 23 | 14 | 1 | 70 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 36% | 28% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 33 | 61% | 22 | 15 | 1 | 67 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 36% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 33 | 58% | 21 | 16 | 1 | 64 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 29% | 34% | 18% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 33 | 55% | 20 | 17 | 1 | 61 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 31% | 32% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 17 of 33 | 52% | 19 | 18 | 1 | 58 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 32% | 30% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 16 of 33 | 48% | 18 | 19 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 32% | 29% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 33 | 45% | 17 | 20 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 32% | 29% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 33 | 42% | 16 | 21 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 31% | 28% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 33 | 39% | 15 | 22 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 30% | 30% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 33 | 36% | 14 | 23 | 1 | 43 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 14% | 29% | 31% | 17% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| 11 of 33 | 33% | 13 | 24 | 1 | 40 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 28% | 32% | 18% | 5% | 1% |
| 10 of 33 | 30% | 12 | 25 | 1 | 37 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 28% | 34% | 19% | 5% |
| 9 of 33 | 27% | 11 | 26 | 1 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 35% | 22% |
| 8 of 33 | 24% | 10 | 27 | 1 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 51% |
| 7 of 33 | 21% | 9 | 28 | 1 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 79% |
| 6 of 33 | 18% | 8 | 29 | 1 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% |
| 5 of 33 | 15% | 7 | 30 | 1 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| 0 of 33 | 0% | 2 | 35 | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |