The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Real Madrid (10‑1‑2) vs Girona (2‑6‑5) |
26 | Real Madrid Wins | 45% | 29% | 16% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Girona Wins | 33% | 30% | 21% | 13% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alavés (4‑6‑3) vs Barcelona (10‑2‑1) |
11 | Alavés Wins | 47% | 26% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 42% | 28% | 18% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Oviedo (2‑7‑3) vs Atletico Madrid (8‑1‑4) |
7 | Real Oviedo Wins | 45% | 29% | 16% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 42% | 29% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Sociedad (4‑5‑4) vs Villarreal (9‑2‑2) |
5 | Real Sociedad Wins | 44% | 29% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | 42% | 28% | 18% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sevilla FC (5‑7‑1) vs Real Betis (5‑2‑6) |
1 | Sevilla FC Wins | 43% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 43% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Osasuna (3‑8‑2) vs Mallorca (3‑7‑3) |
1 | Osasuna Wins | 43% | 29% | 17% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mallorca Wins | 43% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (5‑6‑2) vs Levante (2‑7‑3) |
1 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | 43% | 29% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Levante Wins | 42% | 29% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Celta Vigo (3‑3‑7) vs Espanyol (5‑4‑3) |
0 | Celta Vigo Wins | 42% | 29% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Espanyol Wins | 42% | 29% | 18% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||