The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Real Madrid (6‑2) vs Sevilla FC (4‑2‑1) |
20 | Real Madrid Wins | 7% | 34% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sevilla FC Wins | 4% | 27% | 25% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Betis (6‑1‑1) vs Barcelona (8‑0) |
4 | Real Betis Wins | 9% | 29% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 6% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Espanyol (2‑4‑1) vs Atletico Madrid (6‑1‑1) |
3 | Espanyol Wins | 7% | 34% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 6% | 31% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Valencia (1‑5‑2) vs Athletic Bilbao (2‑2‑2) |
3 | Valencia Wins | 7% | 33% | 25% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao Wins | 7% | 31% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Elche (1‑4‑3) vs Villarreal (2‑4‑2) |
2 | Elche Wins | 7% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | 7% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano (2‑3‑2) vs Athletic Bilbao (2‑2‑2) |
1 | Rayo Vallecano Wins | 7% | 33% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao Wins | 7% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Levante (1‑3‑2) vs Sevilla FC (4‑2‑1) |
1 | Levante Wins | 7% | 33% | 25% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sevilla FC Wins | 7% | 31% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Deportivo (2‑2‑4) vs Levante (1‑3‑2) |
1 | Deportivo Wins | 7% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Levante Wins | 7% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Málaga (0‑4‑3) vs Espanyol (2‑4‑1) |
1 | Málaga Wins | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Espanyol Wins | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Osasuna (2‑4‑2) vs Santander (2‑4‑2) |
1 | Osasuna Wins | 7% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Santander Wins | 6% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Sociedad (4‑3‑1) vs Málaga (0‑4‑3) |
0 | Real Sociedad Wins | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Málaga Wins | 6% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alavés (3‑3‑2) vs Celta Vigo (1‑2‑5) |
0 | Alavés Wins | 7% | 31% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Celta Vigo Wins | 7% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||