The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Real Madrid (10‑1) vs Rayo Vallecano (4‑5‑2) |
25 | Real Madrid Wins | 65% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano Wins | 54% | 24% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Celta Vigo (2‑2‑7) vs Barcelona (8‑2‑1) |
7 | Celta Vigo Wins | 64% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 60% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Levante (2‑6‑3) vs Atletico Madrid (6‑1‑4) |
6 | Levante Wins | 64% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Espanyol (4‑3‑3) vs Villarreal (7‑2‑2) |
4 | Espanyol Wins | 63% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Elche (3‑3‑5) vs Real Sociedad (3‑5‑3) |
1 | Elche Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Sociedad Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mallorca (2‑6‑3) vs Getafe (5‑4‑2) |
1 | Mallorca Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Getafe Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Oviedo (2‑6‑2) vs Athletic Bilbao (4‑5‑2) |
1 | Real Oviedo Wins | 62% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Girona (1‑6‑4) vs Alavés (4‑4‑3) |
1 | Girona Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alavés Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Valencia (2‑6‑3) vs Real Betis (5‑2‑4) |
0 | Valencia Wins | 61% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Osasuna (3‑6‑2) vs Sevilla FC (4‑6‑1) |
0 | Osasuna Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sevilla FC Wins | 61% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||