The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Villarreal (16‑6‑3) vs Barcelona (20‑4‑1) |
34 | Villarreal Wins | 53% | 42% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 36% | 61% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Girona (7‑9‑9) vs Celta Vigo (9‑6‑10) |
2 | Girona Wins | 43% | 54% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Celta Vigo Wins | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Osasuna (9‑10‑6) vs Valencia (6‑11‑8) |
1 | Osasuna Wins | 43% | 54% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Valencia Wins | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Espanyol (10‑10‑5) vs Elche (5‑10‑10) |
1 | Espanyol Wins | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Elche Wins | 42% | 56% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Levante (4‑15‑6) vs Alavés (7‑12‑6) |
1 | Levante Wins | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Alavés Wins | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Oviedo (3‑13‑8) vs Atletico Madrid (14‑5‑6) |
1 | Real Oviedo Wins | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rayo Vallecano (6‑10‑8) vs Athletic Bilbao (10‑11‑4) |
0 | Rayo Vallecano Wins | 43% | 54% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Athletic Bilbao Wins | 42% | 54% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Sociedad (8‑9‑8) vs Mallorca (6‑13‑6) |
0 | Real Sociedad Wins | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mallorca Wins | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Betis (11‑5‑9) vs Sevilla FC (8‑12‑5) |
0 | Real Betis Wins | 43% | 54% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sevilla FC Wins | 42% | 54% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||