The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifier |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Real Madrid (6‑1) vs Girona (6‑0‑1) |
30 | Real Madrid Wins | 23% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Girona Wins | 15% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cádiz (2‑2‑3) vs Atletico Madrid (3‑1‑1) |
4 | Cádiz Wins | 21% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 19% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Osasuna (2‑3‑1) vs Atletico Madrid (3‑1‑1) |
3 | Osasuna Wins | 20% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 19% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sevilla FC (2‑3‑1) vs Barcelona (5‑0‑2) |
3 | Sevilla FC Wins | 20% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Sociedad (3‑1‑3) vs Athletic Bilbao (4‑1‑2) |
3 | Real Sociedad Wins | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao Wins | 19% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal (2‑4‑1) vs Getafe (2‑3‑2) |
2 | Villarreal Wins | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Getafe Wins | 19% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alavés (2‑3) vs Osasuna (2‑3‑1) |
1 | Alavés Wins | 19% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Osasuna Wins | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Granada (1‑5) vs Almería (0‑5‑2) |
1 | Granada Wins | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Almería Wins | 18% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Granada (1‑5) vs Real Betis (2‑2‑2) |
0 | Granada Wins | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 19% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mallorca (1‑3‑3) vs Rayo Vallecano (2‑2‑2) |
0 | Mallorca Wins | 19% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano Wins | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Celta Vigo (1‑4‑1) vs Alavés (2‑3) |
0 | Celta Vigo Wins | 19% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alavés Wins | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Valencia (3‑3‑1) vs Real Betis (2‑2‑2) |
0 | Valencia Wins | 19% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 19% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||