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Wed Sep 27 5:45 pm

La Liga - Week 8 of 42

Real Madrid Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Real Madrid Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Europa Conference
League Qualifier
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Real Madrid
(6‑1)

vs
Girona
(6‑0‑1)
30 Real Madrid Wins 23% 22% 17% 12% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Girona Wins 15% 19% 18% 14% 10% 8% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Cádiz
(2‑2‑3)

vs
Atletico Madrid
(3‑1‑1)
4 Cádiz Wins 21% 20% 17% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atletico Madrid Wins 19% 20% 17% 14% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Osasuna
(2‑3‑1)

vs
Atletico Madrid
(3‑1‑1)
3 Osasuna Wins 20% 19% 17% 13% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atletico Madrid Wins 19% 19% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sevilla FC
(2‑3‑1)

vs
Barcelona
(5‑0‑2)
3 Sevilla FC Wins 20% 20% 16% 13% 10% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Barcelona Wins 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Sociedad
(3‑1‑3)

vs
Athletic Bilbao
(4‑1‑2)
3 Real Sociedad Wins 19% 20% 17% 13% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Athletic Bilbao Wins 19% 20% 17% 14% 10% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Villarreal
(2‑4‑1)

vs
Getafe
(2‑3‑2)
2 Villarreal Wins 19% 20% 17% 13% 9% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Getafe Wins 19% 19% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Alavés
(2‑3)

vs
Osasuna
(2‑3‑1)
1 Alavés Wins 19% 19% 17% 14% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Osasuna Wins 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Granada
(1‑5)

vs
Almería
(0‑5‑2)
1 Granada Wins 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Almería Wins 18% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Granada
(1‑5)

vs
Real Betis
(2‑2‑2)
0 Granada Wins 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Betis Wins 19% 20% 17% 14% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Mallorca
(1‑3‑3)

vs
Rayo Vallecano
(2‑2‑2)
0 Mallorca Wins 19% 19% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rayo Vallecano Wins 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Celta Vigo
(1‑4‑1)

vs
Alavés
(2‑3)
0 Celta Vigo Wins 19% 19% 17% 14% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Alavés Wins 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Valencia
(3‑3‑1)

vs
Real Betis
(2‑2‑2)
0 Valencia Wins 19% 19% 17% 13% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Real Betis Wins 19% 20% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifing