The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Real Madrid (2‑0) vs Mallorca (0‑1‑1) |
44 | Real Madrid Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Mallorca Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 10% | ||
| Celta Vigo (0‑1‑2) vs Villarreal (2‑0) |
2 | Celta Vigo Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (2‑0) vs Real Betis (1‑0‑2) |
1 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Atletico Madrid (0‑1‑1) vs Alavés (1‑1) |
1 | Atletico Madrid Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Alavés Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Sevilla FC (0‑2) vs Girona (0‑2) |
1 | Sevilla FC Wins | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Girona Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Real Oviedo (0‑2) vs Real Sociedad (0‑0‑2) |
1 | Real Oviedo Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Real Sociedad Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano (1‑1) vs Barcelona (2‑0) |
0 | Rayo Vallecano Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Osasuna (1‑1) vs Espanyol (1‑0‑1) |
0 | Osasuna Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Espanyol Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | ||