The Real Madrid What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 20 | 3 | 3 | 63 | 44% | 53% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 19 | 3 | 3 | 60 | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 19 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 28% | 65% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | 53% | 42% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 42% | 55% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 36% | 61% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Villarreal beats Barcelona |
Worst Case Scenario Barcelona beats Villarreal |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 13 of 13 | 100% | 32 | 3 | 3 | 99 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 13 | 92% | 31 | 4 | 3 | 96 | 97% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 13 | 85% | 30 | 5 | 3 | 93 | 85% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 13 | 77% | 29 | 6 | 3 | 90 | 61% | 39% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 13 | 69% | 28 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 34% | 65% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 13 | 62% | 27 | 8 | 3 | 84 | 14% | 81% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 13 | 54% | 26 | 9 | 3 | 81 | 4% | 81% | 15% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 13 | 46% | 25 | 10 | 3 | 78 | <1% | 56% | 40% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 13 | 38% | 24 | 11 | 3 | 75 | <1% | 28% | 55% | 17% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 13 | 31% | 23 | 12 | 3 | 72 | <1% | 9% | 47% | 42% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 13 | 23% | 22 | 13 | 3 | 69 | <1% | 1% | 24% | 60% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 13 | 15% | 21 | 14 | 3 | 66 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 52% | 40% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 13 | 8% | 20 | 15 | 3 | 63 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 25% | 60% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 13 | 0% | 19 | 16 | 3 | 60 | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 48% | 38% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |