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Sun Oct 2 6:45 pm

La Liga - Week 8 of 43

Valencia What If?

The Valencia What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Valencia What If?

Next Game - Osasuna (4‑2‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
 6#
UEFA Europa Conference
League Qualifier
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 4 3 1 13 1% 4% 7% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1%
Current Standings 3 3 1 10 1% 3% 7% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 3 4 1 10 1% 2% 5% 8% 10% 10% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
 6#
UEFA Europa Conference
League Qualifier
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 1% 4% 7% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1%
Current Standings 1% 3% 7% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 2% 5% 8% 10% 10% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Best Case Scenario
   Valencia beats Osasuna
 Worst Case Scenario
   Osasuna beats Valencia
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
 6#
UEFA Europa Conference
League Qualifier
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
31 of 31 100% 34 3 1 103 98% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 33 4 1 100 92% 8% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 31 94% 32 5 1 97 79% 20% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 31 90% 31 6 1 94 59% 37% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 30 7 1 91 38% 49% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 29 8 1 88 21% 51% 25% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 28 9 1 85 10% 41% 40% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 27 10 1 82 3% 25% 47% 23% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 26 11 1 79 1% 12% 38% 37% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 25 12 1 76 <1% 4% 23% 41% 25% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 24 13 1 73 <1% 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 23 14 1 70 <1% <1% 3% 16% 35% 31% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 1% 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 31 58% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 31 55% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 27% 34% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 31 52% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 28% 34% 18% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 33% 31% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 31 39% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 31 35% 14 23 1 43 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 19% 34% 28% 11% 2% <1% <1%
10 of 31 32% 13 24 1 40 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1% <1%
9 of 31 29% 12 25 1 37 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 21% 37% 26% 9% 1%
8 of 31 26% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 8%
7 of 31 23% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 25% 38% 30%
6 of 31 19% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 28% 64%
5 of 31 16% 8 29 1 25 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 89%
0 of 31 0% 3 34 1 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa Conference League Qualifing