Are the Sacramento St. Hornets going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Sacramento St. standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| Ohio | 4i Ohio Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 03 @ Kent State 13-10 Won Sat, Oct 10 vs C. Michigan 31-14 Won Sat, Oct 17 @ Sacramento St. 48-7 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs E. Michigan 24-20 Tue, Nov 03 @ Akron Tue, Nov 10 @ Miami OH Tue, Nov 17 vs Ball State Fri, Nov 27 vs Toledo |
0 | 4 | 45% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Western Michigan | 4 Western Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 10 vs Kent State 38-7 Won Sat, Oct 17 @ C. Michigan 21-14 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Toledo 38-45 Won Sat, Oct 31 vs Bowling Green 23-10 Tue, Nov 10 @ Akron Tue, Nov 17 vs E. Michigan Tue, Nov 24 vs Miami OH |
1 | 5 | 16% | 33% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Toledo | 3 Toledo Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 03 @ Ball State 39-24 Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs Buffalo 8-23 Won Sat, Oct 17 @ E. Michigan 34-14 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs W. Michigan 45-38 Wed, Nov 04 @ Sacramento St. Wed, Nov 11 vs UMass Fri, Nov 20 vs Bowling Green Fri, Nov 27 @ Ohio |
1 | 4 | 22% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Miami OH | 3 Miami OH Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs Bowling Green 20-24 Won Sat, Oct 10 @ UMass 20-19 Won Sat, Oct 17 vs Akron 34-14 Won Sat, Oct 24 @ C. Michigan 28-27 Tue, Nov 03 vs Buffalo Tue, Nov 10 vs Ohio Tue, Nov 17 @ Kent State Tue, Nov 24 @ W. Michigan |
1 | 4 | 10% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Buffalo | 3 Buffalo Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs W. Michigan 17-20 Won Sat, Oct 10 @ Toledo 23-8 Won Sat, Oct 17 vs UMass 25-18 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs Bowling Green 31-24 Tue, Nov 03 @ Miami OH Wed, Nov 11 @ Ball State Wed, Nov 18 vs C. Michigan Fri, Nov 27 @ Akron |
1 | 4 | 7% | 12% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Eastern Michigan | 3 Eastern Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 03 @ UMass 38-14 Won Sat, Oct 10 @ Akron 25-23 Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Toledo 14-34 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Ohio 20-24 Wed, Nov 04 vs C. Michigan Tue, Nov 17 @ W. Michigan Tue, Nov 24 vs Kent State |
2 | 5 | <1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Ball State | 2 Ball State Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs Toledo 24-39 Lost Sat, Oct 10 @ N. Western 14-45 Won Sat, Oct 17 @ Bowling Green 32-31 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs Sacramento St. 34-17 Wed, Nov 04 @ UMass Wed, Nov 11 vs Buffalo Tue, Nov 17 @ Ohio Sat, Nov 28 vs C. Michigan |
2 | 4 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
| Kent State | 2 Kent State Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 10 @ W. Michigan 7-38 Lost Sat, Oct 17 @ South Florida 2-29 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs Akron 35-20 Lost Fri, Oct 30 @ Sacramento St. 10-31 Tue, Nov 10 @ Bowling Green Tue, Nov 17 vs Miami OH Tue, Nov 24 @ E. Michigan |
3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 4% | <1% |
| Bowling Green | 2 Bowling Green Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 10 vs Sacramento St. 38-10 Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Ball State 31-32 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Buffalo 24-31 Lost Sat, Oct 31 @ W. Michigan 10-23 Tue, Nov 10 vs Kent State Fri, Nov 20 @ Toledo Sat, Nov 28 vs UMass |
3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 24% | 5% | <1% |
| Central Michigan | 1 Central Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 03 vs Akron 41-17 Lost Sat, Oct 10 @ Ohio 14-31 Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs W. Michigan 14-21 Lost Sat, Oct 24 vs Miami OH 27-28 Wed, Nov 04 @ E. Michigan Wed, Nov 11 vs Sacramento St. Wed, Nov 18 @ Buffalo Sat, Nov 28 @ Ball State |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 3% |
| UMass | 1 UMass Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs E. Michigan 14-38 Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs Miami OH 19-20 Lost Sat, Oct 17 @ Buffalo 18-25 Lost Fri, Oct 23 @ UConn 16-35 Wed, Nov 04 vs Ball State Wed, Nov 11 @ Toledo Wed, Nov 18 vs Akron Sat, Nov 28 @ Bowling Green |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 8% | 4% |
| Sacramento St. | 1 Sacramento St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 10 @ Bowling Green 10-38 Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Ohio 7-48 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Ball State 17-34 Won Fri, Oct 30 vs Kent State 31-10 Wed, Nov 04 vs Toledo Wed, Nov 11 @ C. Michigan Sat, Nov 28 @ Hawaii |
5 | 6 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 48% | 29% |
| Akron | 0 Akron Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ C. Michigan 17-41 Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs E. Michigan 23-25 Lost Sat, Oct 17 @ Miami OH 14-34 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Kent State 20-35 Tue, Nov 03 vs Ohio Tue, Nov 10 vs W. Michigan Wed, Nov 18 @ UMass Fri, Nov 27 vs Buffalo |
4 | 4 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 21% | 63% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Michigan (4‑5) |
17‑28 | Away | Sat Aug 29, 6:30 pm |
| 4 | UMass (4‑4) |
6‑35 | Home | Sat Sep 26, 9:00 pm |
| 6 | Bowling Green (2‑7) |
10‑38 | Away | Sat Oct 10, 12:00 pm |
| 7 | Ohio (6‑2) |
7‑48 | Home | Sat Oct 17, 10:00 pm |
| 8 | Ball State (3‑5) |
17‑34 | Away | Sat Oct 24, 3:30 pm |
| 9 | Kent State (3‑6) |
31‑10 | Home | Fri Oct 30, 10:30 pm |
| 10 | Toledo (6‑2) |
Home | Wed Nov 4, 7:00 pm | |
| 11 | Central Michigan (3‑5) |
Away | Wed Nov 11, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mississippi Valley State | ‑‑ | 52‑0 | Home | Sat Sep 5, 10:00 pm |
| 2 | Fresno State (4‑3) |
PAC 12PAC 12 | 3‑49 | Away | Sat Sep 12, 10:30 pm |
| 3 | North Dakota St. (6‑2) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 10‑31 | Home | Sat Sep 19, 10:30 pm |
| 13 | Hawaii (2‑6) |
Mountain WestMntn West | Away | Sat Nov 28, 11:00 pm |