Are the Ball State Cardinals going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Ball State standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| Western Michigan | 6i Western Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Miami OH 17-26 Won Sat, Nov 01 vs C. Michigan 24-21 Won Tue, Nov 11 vs Ohio 17-13 Won Tue, Nov 18 @ N. Illinois 35-19 Tue, Nov 25 @ E. Michigan |
1 | 7 | 92% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Miami OH | 5 Miami OH Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 25 vs W. Michigan 26-17 Lost Tue, Nov 04 @ Ohio 20-24 Lost Wed, Nov 12 vs Toledo 3-24 Won Wed, Nov 19 @ Buffalo 37-20 Sat, Nov 29 vs Ball State |
2 | 7 | 7% | 16% | 20% | 33% | 19% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Ohio | 5 Ohio Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 25 @ E. Michigan 28-21 Won Tue, Nov 04 vs Miami OH 24-20 Lost Tue, Nov 11 @ W. Michigan 13-17 Won Tue, Nov 18 vs UMass 42-14 Fri, Nov 28 @ Buffalo |
2 | 7 | <1% | 29% | 28% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Central Michigan | 5 Central Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 25 vs UMass 38-13 Lost Sat, Nov 01 @ W. Michigan 21-24 Won Wed, Nov 12 vs Buffalo 38-19 Won Wed, Nov 19 @ Kent State 28-16 Sat, Nov 29 vs Toledo |
2 | 7 | X | 26% | 27% | 24% | 23% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Toledo | 4 Toledo Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Kent State 45-10 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Wash. St. 7-28 Won Wed, Nov 05 vs N. Illinois 42-3 Won Wed, Nov 12 @ Miami OH 24-3 Sat, Nov 22 vs Ball State Sat, Nov 29 @ C. Michigan |
2 | 6 | 1% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Buffalo | 4 Buffalo Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 25 vs Akron 16-24 Won Sat, Nov 01 @ Bowling Green 28-3 Lost Wed, Nov 12 @ C. Michigan 19-38 Lost Wed, Nov 19 vs Miami OH 20-37 Fri, Nov 28 vs Ohio |
3 | 7 | X | X | X | 11% | 21% | 17% | 27% | 20% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Akron | 4 Akron Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 25 @ Buffalo 24-16 Won Tue, Nov 04 vs UMass 44-10 Lost Tue, Nov 11 vs Kent State 35-42 Won Tue, Nov 18 @ Bowling Green 19-16 |
4 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | 19% | 31% | 26% | 18% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Ball State | 3 Ball State Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Akron 42-28 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ N. Illinois 7-21 Won Wed, Nov 05 vs Kent State 17-13 Lost Sat, Nov 15 vs E. Michigan 9-24 Sat, Nov 22 @ Toledo Sat, Nov 29 @ Miami OH |
3 | 6 | X | 2% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 51% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Kent State | 3 Kent State Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Bowling Green 24-21 Lost Wed, Nov 05 @ Ball State 13-17 Won Tue, Nov 11 @ Akron 42-35 Lost Wed, Nov 19 vs C. Michigan 16-28 Fri, Nov 28 @ N. Illinois |
4 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 1% | 46% | ^ | ^ |
| Eastern Michigan | 3 Eastern Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Miami OH 30-44 Lost Sat, Oct 25 vs Ohio 21-28 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Bowling Green 27-21 Won Sat, Nov 15 @ Ball State 24-9 Tue, Nov 25 vs W. Michigan |
4 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 10% | 27% | 42% | 19% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Northern Illinois | 2 Northern Illinois Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Ball State 21-7 Lost Wed, Nov 05 @ Toledo 3-42 Won Wed, Nov 12 @ UMass 45-3 Lost Tue, Nov 18 vs W. Michigan 19-35 Fri, Nov 28 vs Kent State |
5 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 23% | 22% | 36% | 18% | ^ |
| Bowling Green | 1 Bowling Green Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Kent State 21-24 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Buffalo 3-28 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ E. Michigan 21-27 Lost Tue, Nov 18 vs Akron 16-19 Tue, Nov 25 @ UMass |
6 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 49% | 33% |
| UMass | 0 UMass Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ C. Michigan 13-38 Lost Tue, Nov 04 @ Akron 10-44 Lost Wed, Nov 12 vs N. Illinois 3-45 Lost Tue, Nov 18 @ Ohio 14-42 Tue, Nov 25 vs Bowling Green |
7 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 67% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Western Michigan | 6 | 1 | 2% |
| (2)Miami OH | 5 | 2 | X |
| (3)Ohio | 5 | 2 | X |
| (4)Central Michigan | 5 | 2 | X |
| (5)Toledo | 4 | 2 | X |
| Elimination | 98% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ohio (7‑4) |
20‑14 | Home | Sat Oct 4, 12:00 pm |
| 7 | Western Michigan (7‑4) |
0‑42 | Away | Sat Oct 11, 3:30 pm |
| 8 | Akron (5‑7) |
42‑28 | Home | Sat Oct 18, 3:30 pm |
| 9 | Northern Illinois (3‑8) |
7‑21 | Away | Sat Oct 25, 3:30 pm |
| 11 | Kent State (4‑7) |
17‑13 | Home | Wed Nov 5, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Eastern Michigan (4‑7) |
9‑24 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 12:00 pm |
| 13 | Toledo (6‑4) |
Away | Sat Nov 22, 2:00 pm | |
| 14 | Miami OH (6‑5) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, 12:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Purdue (2‑9) |
Big 10Big 10 | 0‑31 | Away | Sat Aug 30, 12:00 pm |
| 2 | Auburn (4‑6) |
SECSEC | 3‑42 | Away | Sat Sep 6, 7:30 pm |
| 3 | New Hampshire | ‑‑ | 34‑29 | Home | Sat Sep 13, 2:00 pm |
| 4 | UConn (8‑3) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 25‑31 | Away | Sat Sep 20, 3:30 pm |