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Thu Nov 5 1:30 am

MAC Football - Week 11 of 13

Western Michigan Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Western Michigan Broncos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Western Michigan Broncos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Western Michigan Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Western Michigan Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Western Michigan
(6‑3)

vs
Akron
(1‑8)
42 Western Michigan Wins 16% 42% 20% 14% 5% 3% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities 14% 37% 20% 16% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Akron Wins 1% 15% 26% 27% 18% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
UMass
(5‑4)

vs
Toledo
(7‑2)
14 UMass Wins 23% 39% 16% 10% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 14% 37% 20% 16% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Toledo Wins 11% 37% 21% 17% 8% 4% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Ball State
(3‑6)

vs
Buffalo
(6‑3)
10 Ball State Wins 15% 43% 22% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 14% 37% 20% 16% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Buffalo Wins 13% 35% 19% 18% 9% 4% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Miami OH
(5‑4)

vs
Ohio
(7‑2)
6 Miami OH Wins 23% 32% 17% 13% 8% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 14% 37% 20% 16% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Ohio Wins 9% 40% 23% 17% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Kent State
(3‑6)

vs
Bowling Green
(2‑7)
1 Kent State Wins 14% 37% 19% 16% 7% 4% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 14% 37% 20% 16% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Bowling Green Wins 13% 38% 21% 15% 8% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Sacramento St.
(2‑8)

vs
Central Michigan
(4‑5)
1 Sacramento St. Wins 14% 39% 19% 16% 7% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities 14% 37% 20% 16% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Central Michigan Wins 14% 38% 20% 15% 7% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant