PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Dec 11 6:45 am

Missouri Valley Basketball - Week 5 of 17

Missouri St. Bears Standings

Where are the Missouri St. Bears going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Missouri St. standings table presents the probabilities of the Bears winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Missouri Valley Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
20 game season
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Illinois St. 2i
Illinois St. Recent Games

Lost Wed, Nov 22 vs Wright St.         49-74 
Won  Thu, Nov 30 @  UIC                69-64 
Won  Sun, Dec 03 vs Murray State       76-72 
Won  Wed, Dec 06 vs Northern Kentucky  62-59 
     Sat, Dec 09 vs Norfolk St.       
     Sun, Dec 17 vs North Dakota St.  
     Thu, Dec 21 vs SE Missouri St.   
     Fri, Dec 29 @  Kentucky          

0 2 5% 7% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 9% 5% 2%
Drake 2
Drake Recent Games

Won  Wed, Nov 29 @  Valparaiso         83-65 
Won  Sat, Dec 02 vs Missouri St.       74-57 
Won  Wed, Dec 06 vs St. Louis          75-69 
Won  Sat, Dec 09 @  Nevada             72-53 
     Thu, Dec 14 vs Grambling         
     Tue, Dec 19 vs Alcorn St.        
     Fri, Dec 22 @  UAB               
     Tue, Jan 02 vs Illinois St.      

0 2 32% 20% 15% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Indiana St. 2
Indiana St. Recent Games

Won  Tue, Nov 28 vs Southern Illinois  77-48 
Won  Sat, Dec 02 @  Bradley            85-77 
Won  Tue, Dec 05 @  Northern Illinois  90-67 
Won  Sat, Dec 09 vs Southern Indiana   98-54 
     Sat, Dec 16 vs Ball State        
     Tue, Dec 19 vs Tennessee St.     
     Sat, Dec 30 @  Michigan St.      
     Wed, Jan 03 vs Evansville        

0 2 30% 20% 15% 11% 9% 7% 4% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Belmont 2
Belmont Recent Games

Won  Sun, Nov 26 vs Lafayette          79-69 
Won  Wed, Nov 29 @  Northern Iowa      90-70 
Won  Sat, Dec 02 vs Valparaiso         77-68 
Won  Wed, Dec 06 vs Lipscomb           72-71 
     Sat, Dec 09 @  Middle Tenn.      
     Sat, Dec 16 @  Samford           
     Wed, Dec 20 vs Arkansas St.      
     Tue, Jan 02 @  Southern Illinois 

0 2 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 4% 1%
Missouri St. 1
Missouri St. Recent Games

Won  Sat, Nov 25 vs S. Carolina St.    92-74 
Won  Wed, Nov 29 vs Evansville         90-78 
Lost Sat, Dec 02 @  Drake              57-74 
Lost Tue, Dec 05 @  Middle Tenn.       73-77 
     Sat, Dec 09 vs Sam Houston       
     Sat, Dec 16 @  Tulsa             
     Tue, Dec 19 vs Lindenwood        
     Sat, Dec 23 @  St. Mary's        

1 2 4% 7% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 5% 2%
Murray State 1
Murray State Recent Games

Lost Wed, Nov 22 vs App.St.            57-67 
Won  Wed, Nov 29 vs Bradley            79-72 
Lost Sun, Dec 03 @  Illinois St.       72-76 
Lost Sat, Dec 09 @  Austin Peay        49-53 
     Wed, Dec 13 @  Mississippi St.   
     Sat, Dec 16 vs SE Louisiana      
     Mon, Dec 18 @  UALR              
     Fri, Dec 22 vs S. Methodist      

1 2 <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 9% 12% 18% 24% 21%
Evansville 1
Evansville Recent Games

Won  Sat, Nov 25 vs SE Missouri St.    93-74 
Lost Wed, Nov 29 @  Missouri St.       78-90 
Won  Sat, Dec 02 vs Northern Iowa      91-89 
Lost Tue, Dec 05 @  BYU                55-96 
     Sat, Dec 16 @  Bellarmine        
     Mon, Dec 18 vs Tenn-Martin       
     Wed, Dec 20 vs Tennessee Tech    
     Fri, Dec 29 @  Cincinnati        

1 2 7% 9% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1%
Southern Illinois 0
Southern Illinois Recent Games

Won  Wed, Nov 22 @  New Mexico St.     81-54 
Lost Tue, Nov 28 @  Indiana St.        48-77 
Won  Sat, Dec 02 vs St. Louis         101-62 
Won  Tue, Dec 05 vs Oklahoma St.       70-68 
     Tue, Dec 12 vs Austin Peay       
     Sat, Dec 16 @  Wichita St.       
     Tue, Dec 19 vs North Dakota St.  
     Fri, Dec 22 vs Southern Indiana  

1 1 8% 11% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 7% 5% 3% 1%
UIC 0
UIC Recent Games

Won  Sat, Nov 25 vs Geo. Washington    89-79 
Lost Sun, Nov 26 @  NC Greensb.        57-58 
Lost Thu, Nov 30 vs Illinois St.       64-69 
Won  Fri, Dec 08 @  Jacksonville St.   55-49 
     Tue, Dec 12 vs Green Bay         
     Sat, Dec 16 vs Western Michigan  
     Thu, Dec 21 vs Incarnate W.      
     Sat, Dec 30 @  Southern Illinois 

1 1 5% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 5% 3%
Bradley 0
Bradley Recent Games

Won  Sat, Nov 25 vs Vermont            79-70 
Lost Wed, Nov 29 @  Murray State       72-79 
Lost Sat, Dec 02 vs Indiana St.        77-85 
Lost Tue, Dec 05 @  Akron              52-67 
     Fri, Dec 15 vs Cleveland St.     
     Mon, Dec 18 vs Duquesne          
     Thu, Dec 21 vs SIU Ed.ville      
     Thu, Dec 28 vs Truman St.        

2 2 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 9% 7% 4% 1%
Valparaiso 0
Valparaiso Recent Games

Lost Wed, Nov 29 vs Drake              65-83 
Lost Sat, Dec 02 @  Belmont            68-77 
Lost Wed, Dec 06 @  Central Michigan   67-71 
Lost Sat, Dec 09 @  Virginia Tech      50-71 
     Sat, Dec 16 vs Chicago State     
     Tue, Dec 19 vs Samford           
     Fri, Dec 29 @  Elon              
     Wed, Jan 03 vs Bradley           

2 2 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 8% 10% 16% 23% 30%
Northern Iowa 0
Northern Iowa Recent Games

Lost Wed, Nov 29 vs Belmont            70-90 
Lost Sat, Dec 02 @  Evansville         89-91 
Won  Wed, Dec 06 vs Richmond           78-73 
Lost Sat, Dec 09 @  Toledo             80-84 
     Tue, Dec 12 vs Prairie View A&M  
     Sun, Dec 17 vs Alcorn St.        
     Thu, Dec 21 @  Northern Illinois 
     Wed, Jan 03 @  Missouri St.      

2 2 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 15% 23% 38%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(5) Bears 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 31%
(12)Northern Iowa 0 2 11%
(11)Valparaiso 0 2 11%
(6)Murray State 1 1 11%
(1)Illinois St. 2 0 6%
(4)Belmont 2 0 6%
(9)UIC 0 1 6%
(10)Bradley 0 2 5%
(7)Evansville 1 1 5%
(8)Southern Illinois 0 1 5%
(2)Drake 2 0 1%
(3)Indiana St. 2 0 1%
Elimination X



Bears Conference Schedule
Current Week 5
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
4 Evansville
(7‑2)
90‑78 Home Wed Nov 29, 8:00 am
4 Drake
(9‑1)
57‑74 Away Sat Dec 2, 4:00 am
9 Northern Iowa
(3‑7)
  Home Wed Jan 3, TBD
9 Bradley
(6‑3)
  Away Sat Jan 6, TBD
10 Murray State
(3‑5)
  Home Wed Jan 10, TBD
10 Evansville
(7‑2)
  Away Sat Jan 13, TBD
11 Indiana St.
(9‑1)
  Away Tue Jan 16, TBD
11 Illinois St.
(6‑3)
  Home Sat Jan 20, TBD
12 Drake
(9‑1)
  Home Wed Jan 24, TBD
12 Valparaiso
(4‑6)
  Away Sat Jan 27, TBD
13 Southern Illinois
(6‑2)
  Away Wed Jan 31, TBD
13 Belmont
(7‑3)
  Home Sat Feb 3, TBD
14 Northern Iowa
(3‑7)
  Away Wed Feb 7, 8:00 am
14 Indiana St.
(9‑1)
  Home Sat Feb 10, TBD
15 Murray State
(3‑5)
  Away Wed Feb 14, TBD
15 Valparaiso
(4‑6)
  Home Sat Feb 17, TBD
16 Bradley
(6‑3)
  Home Wed Feb 21, TBD
16 Belmont
(7‑3)
  Away Sat Feb 24, TBD
17 Illinois St.
(6‑3)
  Away Wed Feb 28, TBD
17 UIC
(6‑3)
  Home Sun Mar 3, TBD


Bears Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 West Virginia
(4‑5)
Big 12Big 12 59‑67 Away Mon Nov 6, 7:00 am
2 Oral Roberts
(4‑4)
SummitSummit 84‑69 Home Mon Nov 13, 8:00 am
2 Fla Gulf Coast
(3‑8)
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 70‑61 Away Fri Nov 17, 8:00 am
2 Kent State
(6‑6)
MACMAC 56‑52 Home Sun Nov 19, 8:00 am
3 Abilene Christian
(4‑6)
WACWAC 87‑69 Home Mon Nov 20, 8:00 am
3 S. Carolina St.
(2‑8)
MideasternMid-Eastern 92‑74 Home Sat Nov 25, 2:00 am
5 Middle Tenn.
(5‑5)
Conference USAConf. USA 73‑77 Away Tue Dec 5, 7:30 am
5 Sam Houston
(5‑4)
Conference USAConf. USA   Home Sat Dec 9, 7:00 am
6 Tulsa
(5‑3)
American AthleticAm. Athletic   Away Sat Dec 16, 3:00 am
7 Lindenwood
(3‑6)
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley   Home Tue Dec 19, TBD
7 St. Mary's
(5‑5)
West CoastWest Coast   Away Sat Dec 23, 8:00 am