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Sat Jul 5 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Royals What If?

The Royals What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Royals play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Royals What If?

Next Game - Diamondbacks (43‑44)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 43 47 <1% <1% <1% 3% 5% 7% 85%
Current Standings 42 47 <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 86%
Lose Next Game 42 48 <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 88%


Current Series - Diamondbacks (43‑44) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Royals Sweeps 44 47 <1% <1% 1% 4% 6% 8% 82%
Current Standings 42 47 <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 86%
Diamondbacks Sweeps 42 49 <1% <1% <1% 2% 3% 5% 89%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
73 of 73 100% 115 47 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
70 of 73 96% 112 50 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
64 of 73 88% 106 56 94% 4% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 73 86% 105 57 91% 7% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 73 85% 104 58 86% 9% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 73 84% 103 59 81% 12% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 73 82% 102 60 73% 16% <1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 73 81% 101 61 65% 19% <1% 16% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 73 79% 100 62 56% 23% <1% 21% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 73 78% 99 63 45% 26% 1% 28% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 73 77% 98 64 36% 28% 2% 34% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 73 75% 97 65 26% 28% 4% 41% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 73 74% 96 66 18% 26% 6% 49% 1% <1% <1%
53 of 73 73% 95 67 12% 24% 8% 55% 2% <1% <1%
52 of 73 71% 94 68 7% 20% 9% 61% 3% <1% <1%
51 of 73 70% 93 69 4% 15% 10% 65% 7% <1% <1%
50 of 73 68% 92 70 2% 10% 11% 63% 12% 1% <1%
49 of 73 67% 91 71 <1% 6% 11% 60% 20% 2% <1%
48 of 73 66% 90 72 <1% 3% 9% 53% 29% 6% <1%
47 of 73 64% 89 73 <1% 1% 7% 42% 37% 11% 1%
46 of 73 63% 88 74 <1% <1% 5% 31% 40% 20% 4%
45 of 73 62% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 19% 39% 29% 9%
44 of 73 60% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 11% 33% 35% 20%
43 of 73 59% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 5% 22% 37% 35%
42 of 73 58% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 2% 13% 31% 53%
41 of 73 56% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 22% 71%
40 of 73 55% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
39 of 73 53% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
30 of 73 41% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 73 27% 62 100 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 73 14% 52 110 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 73 0% 42 120 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs