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Sun Jun 22 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Yankees What If?

The Yankees What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Yankees play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Yankees What If?

Next Game - Orioles (33‑43)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 45 32 19% 20% 11% 16% 11% 8% 15%
Current Standings 44 32 18% 20% 11% 15% 11% 8% 16%
Lose Next Game 44 33 16% 19% 11% 16% 12% 9% 18%


Current Series - Orioles (33‑43) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Yankees Sweeps 45 32 19% 20% 11% 16% 11% 8% 15%
Current Standings 44 32 18% 20% 11% 15% 11% 8% 16%
Orioles Sweeps 44 33 16% 19% 11% 16% 12% 9% 18%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
86 of 86 100% 130 32 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 86 93% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
70 of 86 81% 114 48 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 86 73% 107 55 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 86 72% 106 56 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 86 71% 105 57 88% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 86 70% 104 58 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 86 69% 103 59 80% 19% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 86 67% 102 60 74% 24% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 86 66% 101 61 67% 30% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 86 65% 100 62 60% 36% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 86 64% 99 63 53% 40% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 86 63% 98 64 44% 45% 5% 6% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 86 62% 97 65 34% 48% 8% 9% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 86 60% 96 66 26% 49% 11% 13% 1% <1% <1%
51 of 86 59% 95 67 19% 46% 16% 18% 1% <1% <1%
50 of 86 58% 94 68 12% 42% 19% 24% 3% <1% <1%
49 of 86 57% 93 69 7% 36% 23% 29% 6% <1% <1%
48 of 86 56% 92 70 3% 28% 25% 32% 11% 1% <1%
47 of 86 55% 91 71 2% 19% 25% 34% 17% 3% <1%
46 of 86 53% 90 72 1% 12% 24% 32% 25% 6% 1%
45 of 86 52% 89 73 <1% 7% 21% 27% 31% 12% 2%
44 of 86 51% 88 74 <1% 4% 17% 21% 34% 19% 5%
43 of 86 50% 87 75 <1% 1% 13% 14% 32% 27% 13%
42 of 86 49% 86 76 <1% 1% 8% 8% 27% 32% 24%
41 of 86 48% 85 77 <1% <1% 5% 3% 18% 32% 41%
40 of 86 47% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% 1% 10% 27% 58%
39 of 86 45% 83 79 <1% <1% 2% 1% 5% 18% 75%
38 of 86 44% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 10% 87%
37 of 86 43% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
30 of 86 35% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 86 23% 64 98 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 86 12% 54 108 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 86 0% 44 118 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs