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Fri May 29 12:30 pm

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Yankees What If?

The Yankees What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Yankees play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Yankees What If?

Next Game - Athletics (27‑29)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 35 22 22% 6% 1% 39% 14% 7% 11%
Current Standings 34 22 21% 5% 1% 38% 14% 8% 12%
Lose Next Game 34 23 19% 6% 1% 39% 14% 8% 14%


Current Series - Athletics (27‑29) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Yankees Sweeps 37 22 24% 6% 1% 40% 14% 7% 9%
Current Standings 34 22 21% 5% 1% 38% 14% 8% 12%
Athletics Sweeps 34 25 16% 5% 1% 38% 14% 9% 16%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
106 of 106 100% 140 22 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 106 94% 134 28 >99% <1% X <1% ^ ^ ^
90 of 106 85% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 106 75% 114 48 98% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 106 73% 111 51 94% <1% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 106 72% 110 52 93% <1% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 106 71% 109 53 90% <1% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 106 70% 108 54 87% 1% <1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 106 69% 107 55 83% 1% <1% 16% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 106 68% 106 56 79% 2% <1% 19% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 106 67% 105 57 74% 2% <1% 24% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 106 66% 104 58 70% 3% <1% 27% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 106 65% 103 59 64% 4% <1% 32% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 106 64% 102 60 59% 6% <1% 34% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 106 63% 101 61 53% 7% <1% 41% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 106 62% 100 62 46% 8% <1% 45% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 106 61% 99 63 40% 10% <1% 50% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 106 60% 98 64 34% 11% <1% 54% 1% <1% <1%
63 of 106 59% 97 65 28% 11% 1% 59% 1% <1% <1%
62 of 106 58% 96 66 22% 12% 1% 63% 2% <1% <1%
61 of 106 58% 95 67 16% 13% 1% 66% 3% <1% <1%
60 of 106 57% 94 68 11% 14% 2% 68% 6% <1% <1%
59 of 106 56% 93 69 8% 12% 2% 69% 9% <1% <1%
58 of 106 55% 92 70 5% 10% 3% 69% 13% 1% <1%
57 of 106 54% 91 71 3% 8% 3% 66% 19% 1% <1%
56 of 106 53% 90 72 2% 6% 4% 62% 23% 3% <1%
55 of 106 52% 89 73 1% 4% 3% 54% 31% 6% <1%
54 of 106 51% 88 74 <1% 2% 2% 46% 38% 10% 1%
53 of 106 50% 87 75 <1% 1% 2% 36% 42% 16% 3%
52 of 106 49% 86 76 <1% 1% 2% 26% 43% 23% 6%
51 of 106 48% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 18% 40% 30% 11%
50 of 106 47% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 11% 34% 35% 19%
49 of 106 46% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 6% 26% 37% 30%
48 of 106 45% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 34% 45%
47 of 106 44% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 28% 60%
46 of 106 43% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 21% 73%
45 of 106 42% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 85%
44 of 106 42% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
40 of 106 38% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 106 28% 64 98 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 106 19% 54 108 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 106 9% 44 118 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 106 0% 34 128 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs