The Atlanta United What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Atlanta United play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 14 | 8 | 10 | 52 | X | 3% | 11% | 19% | 30% | 26% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 13 | 8 | 10 | 49 | X | 1% | 5% | 10% | 21% | 31% | 31% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 13 | 9 | 10 | 49 | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 37% | 46% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | 4% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 32% | 18% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | 1% | 5% | 10% | 21% | 31% | 31% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | 1% | 4% | 7% | 19% | 27% | 42% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario CF Montréal beats Orlando City SC Charlotte FC beats Revolution Sounders beats Nashville SC |
Worst Case Scenario Orlando City SC beats CF Montréal Revolution beats Charlotte FC Nashville SC beats Sounders |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | X | 16% | 54% | 29% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | X | <1% | 2% | 23% | 53% | 21% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 53% | 39% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 18% | 79% | 2% | ^ | ^ |