The Atlanta United What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Atlanta United play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 12 | 7 | 34 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 29% | 21% | 29% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 12 | 7 | 31 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 24% | 20% | 39% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 17% | 60% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 16% | 34% | 20% | 24% |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 24% | 20% | 39% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 15% | 68% |
|
Best Case Scenario Atlanta United beats Nashville SC Inter Miami CF beats Union Austin FC beats Toronto FC |
Worst Case Scenario Nashville SC beats Atlanta United Union beats Inter Miami CF Toronto FC beats Austin FC |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | X | <1% | <1% | 49% | 40% | 10% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | X | X | <1% | 6% | 30% | 43% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 20% | 51% | 26% | 1% | <1% |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 18% | 58% | 20% | 2% |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 41% | 37% |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 9 | 18 | 7 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 8 | 19 | 7 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |