The Most Important Games for the Austin FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Austin FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Austin FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Austin FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Austin FC (8‑10‑7) vs Nashville SC (6‑11‑8) |
17 | Austin FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% | ||
| D.C. United (6‑11‑8) vs FC Dallas (8‑11‑6) |
3 | D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 89% | ||
| Sounders (10‑8‑7) vs Minnesota United (9‑10‑6) |
2 | Sounders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 89% | ||
| Toronto FC (9‑14‑3) vs Dynamo (10‑7‑7) |
2 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (4‑10‑11) vs Timbers (10‑9‑6) |
2 | St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Timbers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 88% | ||
| LAFC (14‑5‑5) vs Whitecaps (11‑8‑5) |
1 | LAFC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Whitecaps Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Orlando City SC (9‑9‑7) vs Sporting KC (6‑14‑6) |
0 | Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Sporting KC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Galaxy (14‑5‑7) vs Atlanta United (7‑11‑7) |
0 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (4‑19‑2) vs Real Salt Lake (12‑5‑8) |
0 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||