The Austin FC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Austin FC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 79% |
Current Standings | 8 | 10 | 7 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% |
Lose Next Game | 8 | 11 | 7 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 76% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 94% |
Best Case Scenario D.C. United beats FC Dallas Toronto FC beats Dynamo Austin FC beats Nashville SC |
Worst Case Scenario FC Dallas beats D.C. United Dynamo beats Toronto FC Nashville SC beats Austin FC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
9 of 9 | 100% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | <1% | 8% | 35% | 48% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 35% | 43% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 9 | 78% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 20% | 42% | 28% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 9 | 67% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 32% | 39% | 16% | 2% |
5 of 9 | 56% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 23% | 44% | 29% |
4 of 9 | 44% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 22% | 76% |
3 of 9 | 33% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
2 of 9 | 22% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 9 | 11% | 9 | 18 | 7 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
0 of 9 | 0% | 8 | 19 | 7 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |