The Charlotte FC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Charlotte FC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 18 | 11 | 2 | 56 | 22% | 30% | 27% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Current Standings | 17 | 11 | 2 | 53 | 10% | 20% | 24% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 17 | 12 | 2 | 53 | 4% | 13% | 22% | 26% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 38% | 28% | 19% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
Current Standings | 10% | 20% | 24% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 8% | 23% | 30% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats NY City FC Revolution beats Union Galaxy beats FC Cincinnati |
Worst Case Scenario NY City FC beats Charlotte FC Union beats Revolution FC Cincinnati beats Galaxy |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
4 of 4 | 100% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 70% | 28% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 4 | 75% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | 13% | 45% | 34% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 4 | 50% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | <1% | 5% | 29% | 46% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
1 of 4 | 25% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | X | <1% | 1% | 10% | 33% | 39% | 15% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
0 of 4 | 0% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 45% | 39% | 2% | ^ |