The Charlotte FC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Charlotte FC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 9 | 11 | 2 | 29 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 33% |
Current Standings | 8 | 11 | 2 | 26 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 43% |
Lose Next Game | 8 | 12 | 2 | 26 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 54% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 31% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 43% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 17% | 60% |
Best Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats NY City FC Union beats Red Bulls San Diego FC beats Fire |
Worst Case Scenario NY City FC beats Charlotte FC Red Bulls beats Union Fire beats San Diego FC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
13 of 13 | 100% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 22% | 45% | 27% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
12 of 13 | 92% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | 3% | 20% | 39% | 29% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 13 | 85% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | <1% | 2% | 15% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 13 | 77% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 34% | 38% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 13 | 69% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 30% | 41% | 19% | 3% | <1% |
8 of 13 | 62% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 41% | 24% | 5% |
7 of 13 | 54% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 22% | 42% | 32% |
6 of 13 | 46% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 22% | 74% |
5 of 13 | 38% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 96% |
4 of 13 | 31% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 13 | 23% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 13 | 15% | 10 | 22 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 13 | 8% | 9 | 23 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 13 | 0% | 8 | 24 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |