The Charlotte FC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Charlotte FC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 9 | 8 | 1 | 28 | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 19% |
Current Standings | 8 | 8 | 1 | 25 | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 28% |
Lose Next Game | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 32% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 18% |
Current Standings | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 28% |
Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 32% |
Best Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats Union Austin FC beats Red Bulls |
Worst Case Scenario Union beats Charlotte FC Red Bulls beats Austin FC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
17 of 17 | 100% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | >99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 17 | 94% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 97% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 17 | 88% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | 86% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 17 | 82% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | 62% | 33% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
13 of 17 | 76% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | 30% | 46% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 17 | 71% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | 7% | 29% | 39% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 17 | 65% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | <1% | 5% | 23% | 36% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 17 | 59% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 31% | 32% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 17 | 53% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 34% | 27% | 10% | 2% |
8 of 17 | 47% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 31% | 35% | 20% |
7 of 17 | 41% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 29% | 63% |
6 of 17 | 35% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 93% |
5 of 17 | 29% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
4 of 17 | 24% | 12 | 21 | 1 | 37 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 17 | 18% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 17 | 12% | 10 | 23 | 1 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 17 | 6% | 9 | 24 | 1 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 17 | 0% | 8 | 25 | 1 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |