The Charlotte FC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Charlotte FC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 14 | 9 | 8 | 50 | X | 2% | 14% | 36% | 36% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 13 | 9 | 8 | 47 | X | 1% | 7% | 24% | 38% | 26% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 13 | 10 | 8 | 47 | X | <1% | 2% | 15% | 39% | 38% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | 2% | 15% | 45% | 26% | 10% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | 1% | 7% | 24% | 38% | 26% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 42% | 41% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Atlanta United beats Fire Charlotte FC beats Timbers |
Worst Case Scenario Fire beats Atlanta United Timbers beats Charlotte FC |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59 | X | 15% | 58% | 25% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56 | X | <1% | 13% | 56% | 29% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 15 | 11 | 8 | 53 | X | X | <1% | 16% | 55% | 28% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 14 | 12 | 8 | 50 | X | X | X | 1% | 19% | 66% | 15% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 13 | 13 | 8 | 47 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 29% | 61% | 10% | <1% | <1% |