The Most Important Games for the Crew are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crew final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Crew fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Crew Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Crew (4‑7‑4) vs NY City FC (5‑6‑4) |
34 | Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 60% | ||
| Crew (4‑7‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (5‑5‑5) |
33 | Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 62% | ||
| Dynamo (7‑6‑1) vs D.C. United (4‑5‑6) |
5 | Dynamo Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Union (1‑10‑4) vs Red Bull (6‑5‑4) |
4 | Union Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 56% | ||
| Whitecaps (10‑2‑2) vs FC Cincinnati (5‑5‑5) |
3 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 55% | ||
| Fire (8‑4‑2) vs NY City FC (5‑6‑4) |
3 | Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 54% | ||
| Whitecaps (10‑2‑2) vs Fire (8‑4‑2) |
3 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Nashville SC (11‑1‑3) vs Orlando City SC (4‑9‑2) |
3 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Sounders (7‑4‑3) vs Union (1‑10‑4) |
2 | Sounders Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (9‑2‑4) vs Fire (8‑4‑2) |
2 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Nashville SC (11‑1‑3) vs CF Montréal (4‑8‑3) |
2 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 56% | ||
| Atlanta United (3‑10‑2) vs Charlotte FC (6‑6‑3) |
2 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 55% | ||
| Revolution (8‑5‑1) vs Atlanta United (3‑10‑2) |
1 | Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 56% | ||
| Toronto FC (3‑6‑6) vs D.C. United (4‑5‑6) |
1 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 54% | ||
| Red Bull (6‑5‑4) vs Charlotte FC (6‑6‑3) |
1 | Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 54% | ||
| Revolution (8‑5‑1) vs Toronto FC (3‑6‑6) |
1 | Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 56% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (10‑3‑2) vs Orlando City SC (4‑9‑2) |
1 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (9‑2‑4) vs CF Montréal (4‑8‑3) |
0 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 54% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 55% | ||