The Most Important Games for the Crew are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crew final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Crew fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Crew Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Crew (11‑3‑8) vs D.C. United (4‑11‑7) |
27 | Crew Wins | 7% | 14% | 21% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 2% | 7% | 14% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Crew (11‑3‑8) vs Nashville SC (12‑5‑5) |
27 | Crew Wins | 11% | 20% | 25% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 3% | 9% | 17% | 24% | 22% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Toronto FC (4‑11‑6) vs Nashville SC (12‑5‑5) |
5 | Toronto FC Wins | 7% | 14% | 22% | 22% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 6% | 12% | 19% | 23% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (7‑10‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (13‑6‑3) |
4 | Real Salt Lake Wins | 6% | 14% | 21% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 6% | 12% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| CF Montréal (3‑13‑6) vs Union (13‑5‑4) |
3 | CF Montréal Wins | 8% | 15% | 19% | 21% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Union Wins | 6% | 12% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| CF Montréal (3‑13‑6) vs Fire (8‑9‑4) |
2 | CF Montréal Wins | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Fire Wins | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sporting KC (6‑11‑5) vs NY City FC (9‑8‑4) |
2 | Sporting KC Wins | 6% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 6% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Dynamo (7‑10‑5) vs Union (13‑5‑4) |
2 | Dynamo Wins | 7% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Union Wins | 5% | 12% | 20% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑10‑7) vs Charlotte FC (9‑11‑2) |
2 | Atlanta United Wins | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 6% | 13% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Atlanta United (4‑10‑7) vs Fire (8‑9‑4) |
2 | Atlanta United Wins | 6% | 12% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Fire Wins | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Revolution (6‑8‑7) vs Orlando City SC (9‑5‑8) |
2 | Revolution Wins | 6% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 6% | 12% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| D.C. United (4‑11‑7) vs Charlotte FC (9‑11‑2) |
1 | D.C. United Wins | 6% | 12% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Revolution (6‑8‑7) vs Red Bulls (8‑8‑6) |
1 | Revolution Wins | 6% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 6% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| NY City FC (9‑8‑4) vs Orlando City SC (9‑5‑8) |
1 | NY City FC Wins | 6% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 6% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (11‑3‑5) vs FC Cincinnati (13‑6‑3) |
1 | Inter Miami CF Wins | 5% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 7% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| San Diego FC (13‑6‑3) vs Toronto FC (4‑11‑6) |
0 | San Diego FC Wins | 6% | 13% | 19% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | 6% | 12% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Red Bulls (8‑8‑6) vs Inter Miami CF (11‑3‑5) |
0 | Red Bulls Wins | 7% | 13% | 20% | 21% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 5% | 12% | 20% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||