The Crew What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Crew play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 2% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 35% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 41% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 44% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 26% |
| Current Standings | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 41% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 56% |
|
Best Case Scenario Crew beats Nashville SC Crew beats Rapids Crew beats Charlotte FC |
Worst Case Scenario Nashville SC beats Crew Rapids beats Crew Charlotte FC beats Crew |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 21 of 21 | 100% | 26 | 5 | 3 | 81 | 86% | 14% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 21 | 95% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 73% | 27% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 21 | 90% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 56% | 42% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 21 | 86% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 39% | 53% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 21 | 81% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 21% | 55% | 22% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 21 | 76% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 9% | 44% | 38% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 15 of 21 | 71% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 2% | 23% | 44% | 26% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 21 | 67% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | <1% | 7% | 29% | 39% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 21 | 62% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 36% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 21 | 57% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 25% | 35% | 23% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| 11 of 21 | 52% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 32% | 28% | 12% | 2% |
| 10 of 21 | 48% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 30% | 31% | 21% |
| 9 of 21 | 43% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 64% |
| 8 of 21 | 38% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
| 5 of 21 | 24% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 21 | 0% | 5 | 26 | 3 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |