PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Apr 14 9:15 pm

MLS - Week 9 of 35

Crew What If?

The Crew What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Crew play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Crew What If?

Next Game - Timbers (2‑3‑3)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 4 1 4 16 13% 16% 15% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 4% 8%
Current Standings 3 1 4 13 11% 14% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 6% 5% 10%
Lose Next Game 3 2 4 13 9% 12% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 13%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 13% 16% 15% 13% 11% 9% 7% 5% 4% 8%
Current Standings 11% 14% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 6% 5% 10%
Worst Case Scenario 9% 12% 13% 13% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 13%
Best Case Scenario
   Crew beats Timbers
Worst Case Scenario
   Timbers beats Crew
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
26 of 26 100% 29 1 4 91 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 26 96% 28 2 4 88 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 26 85% 25 5 4 79 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 26 81% 24 6 4 76 81% 19% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 26 77% 23 7 4 73 64% 33% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 26 73% 22 8 4 70 44% 44% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 26 69% 21 9 4 67 25% 48% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 26 65% 20 10 4 64 11% 37% 37% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 26 62% 19 11 4 61 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 26 58% 18 12 4 58 <1% 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 26 54% 17 13 4 55 <1% 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% 1% <1% <1%
13 of 26 50% 16 14 4 52 <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1% <1%
12 of 26 46% 15 15 4 49 <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 7% 1%
11 of 26 42% 14 16 4 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 10%
10 of 26 38% 13 17 4 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 19% 34% 40%
9 of 26 35% 12 18 4 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 79%
5 of 26 19% 8 22 4 28 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 26 0% 3 27 4 13 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs