The Crew What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Crew play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
Current Standings | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
Lose Next Game | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 10% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 19% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
Current Standings | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
Worst Case Scenario | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% |
Best Case Scenario Austin FC beats FC Cincinnati CF Montréal beats NY City FC Crew beats Union |
Worst Case Scenario FC Cincinnati beats Austin FC NY City FC beats CF Montréal Union beats Crew |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
23 of 23 | 100% | 30 | 1 | 3 | 93 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 23 | 87% | 27 | 4 | 3 | 84 | 99% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 23 | 78% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 88% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 23 | 74% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 73% | 25% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 23 | 70% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 52% | 40% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
15 of 23 | 65% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 28% | 47% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 23 | 61% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 10% | 37% | 37% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 23 | 57% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 2% | 16% | 37% | 32% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 23 | 52% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | <1% | 4% | 19% | 36% | 29% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 23 | 48% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 35% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 23 | 43% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 34% | 29% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
9 of 23 | 39% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 34% | 31% | 12% | 1% |
8 of 23 | 35% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 37% | 31% | 11% |
7 of 23 | 30% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 39% | 37% |
6 of 23 | 26% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 23% | 72% |
5 of 23 | 22% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 93% |
0 of 23 | 0% | 7 | 24 | 3 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |