The Crew What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Crew play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 15 | 9 | 6 | 51 | <1% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48 | <1% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 13% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48 | X | 4% | 12% | 19% | 22% | 22% | 20% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 23% | 22% | 22% | 15% | 12% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | <1% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 13% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | 4% | 11% | 19% | 23% | 23% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Crew beats FC Dallas Inter Miami CF beats Orlando City SC |
Worst Case Scenario FC Dallas beats Crew Orlando City SC beats Inter Miami CF |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 19 | 9 | 6 | 63 | <1% | 86% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 18 | 10 | 6 | 60 | X | 36% | 52% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | X | 2% | 24% | 53% | 20% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 16 | 12 | 6 | 54 | X | <1% | <1% | 11% | 46% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51 | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 38% | 58% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 14 | 14 | 6 | 48 | X | X | X | X | X | 10% | 83% | 7% | <1% | ^ |