The Crew What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Crew play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 13 | 6 | 10 | 49 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 20% | 7% | 1% |
Current Standings | 12 | 6 | 10 | 46 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 12% | 4% |
Lose Next Game | 12 | 7 | 10 | 46 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 23% | 30% | 18% | 8% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 10% | 4% |
Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 12% | 4% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 21% | 24% | 17% | 6% |
Best Case Scenario Inter Miami CF beats Fire Whitecaps beats Orlando City SC |
Worst Case Scenario Fire beats Inter Miami CF Orlando City SC beats Whitecaps |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
6 of 6 | 100% | 18 | 6 | 10 | 64 | 9% | 50% | 35% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 6 | 83% | 17 | 7 | 10 | 61 | <1% | 10% | 39% | 39% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
4 of 6 | 67% | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 20% | 41% | 30% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
3 of 6 | 50% | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 29% | 47% | 18% | 1% | <1% |
2 of 6 | 33% | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 19% | 54% | 23% | 2% |
1 of 6 | 17% | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 50% | 32% |
0 of 6 | 0% | 12 | 12 | 10 | 46 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 14% | 85% |