The Crew What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Crew play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 13 | 4 | 7 | 46 | 36% | 46% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 12 | 4 | 7 | 43 | 29% | 46% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 12 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 20% | 47% | 24% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 36% | 46% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 29% | 46% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 20% | 47% | 24% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Crew beats Union |
Worst Case Scenario Union beats Crew |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
11 of 11 | 100% | 23 | 4 | 7 | 76 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
10 of 11 | 91% | 22 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 91% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 11 | 82% | 21 | 6 | 7 | 70 | 68% | 32% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 11 | 73% | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 35% | 61% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 11 | 64% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 11% | 68% | 21% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 11 | 55% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | 1% | 43% | 50% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 11 | 45% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | <1% | 13% | 53% | 31% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 11 | 36% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | 1% | 21% | 50% | 24% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
3 of 11 | 27% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | X | <1% | 2% | 24% | 44% | 27% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
2 of 11 | 18% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 49% | 26% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
1 of 11 | 9% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 24% | 57% | 15% | 1% | <1% |
0 of 11 | 0% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 28% | 42% | 23% | 6% |