The Most Important Games for the D.C. United are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the D.C. United final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. D.C. United fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
D.C. United Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| D.C. United (6‑9‑12) vs Orlando City SC (11‑13‑4) |
36 | D.C. United Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 89% | ||
| D.C. United (6‑9‑12) vs Red Bull (10‑12‑6) |
31 | D.C. United Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (13‑5‑10) vs NY City FC (8‑11‑9) |
6 | Inter Miami CF Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 82% | ||
| Revolution (14‑10‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (9‑9‑9) |
5 | Revolution Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 81% | ||
| Crew (8‑15‑5) vs FC Cincinnati (9‑9‑9) |
4 | Crew Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 80% | ||
| Toronto FC (7‑10‑11) vs Orlando City SC (11‑13‑4) |
4 | Toronto FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 80% | ||
| Toronto FC (7‑10‑11) vs Red Bull (10‑12‑6) |
3 | Toronto FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 81% | ||
| Charlotte FC (13‑8‑7) vs Crew (8‑15‑5) |
1 | Charlotte FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Crew Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 80% | ||
| Charlotte FC (13‑8‑7) vs Union (12‑10‑6) |
1 | Charlotte FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Union Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (13‑5‑10) vs Atlanta United (7‑15‑6) |
1 | Inter Miami CF Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 79% | ||
| CF Montréal (6‑16‑6) vs Sounders (11‑9‑8) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Sounders Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 80% | ||
| Revolution (14‑10‑4) vs Fire (14‑8‑6) |
1 | Revolution Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Fire Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Fire (14‑8‑6) vs Union (12‑10‑6) |
0 | Fire Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Union Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Atlanta United (7‑15‑6) vs CF Montréal (6‑16‑6) |
0 | Atlanta United Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 80% | ||
| Nashville SC (19‑3‑6) vs Sporting KC (6‑18‑4) |
0 | Nashville SC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Sporting KC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (13‑8‑7) vs Nashville SC (19‑3‑6) |
0 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 79% | ||