The D.C. United What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the D.C. United play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 36% |
Current Standings | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 40% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 42% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 36% |
Current Standings | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 40% |
Worst Case Scenario | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 44% |
Best Case Scenario D.C. United beats CF Montréal Sporting KC beats Toronto FC Crew beats Nashville SC |
Worst Case Scenario CF Montréal beats D.C. United Toronto FC beats Sporting KC Nashville SC beats Crew |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
29 of 29 | 100% | 30 | 1 | 3 | 93 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
26 of 29 | 90% | 27 | 4 | 3 | 84 | 92% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 29 | 86% | 26 | 5 | 3 | 81 | 82% | 17% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
24 of 29 | 83% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 67% | 30% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
23 of 29 | 79% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 48% | 42% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
22 of 29 | 76% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 29% | 47% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
21 of 29 | 72% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 13% | 40% | 34% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
20 of 29 | 69% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 5% | 25% | 40% | 24% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
19 of 29 | 66% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 1% | 10% | 30% | 36% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
18 of 29 | 62% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | <1% | 3% | 15% | 34% | 32% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
17 of 29 | 59% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 18% | 34% | 29% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 29 | 55% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 34% | 27% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
15 of 29 | 52% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 35% | 26% | 8% | 1% |
14 of 29 | 48% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 35% | 25% | 9% |
13 of 29 | 45% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 36% | 29% |
12 of 29 | 41% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 62% |
11 of 29 | 38% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 87% |
10 of 29 | 34% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
5 of 29 | 17% | 6 | 25 | 3 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 29 | 0% | 1 | 30 | 3 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |