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D.C. United What If?

The D.C. United What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how D.C. United play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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D.C. United What If?

Next Game - Wizards (0-0)

   Resultant Record Eastern Conference Western Conference Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 1 0 0 3 13% 13%     6% 6% 6% 6% 49%
Current Standings 0 0 0 0 13% 12%     6% 6% 6% 6% 50%
Lose Next Game 0 1 0 0 2% 3%     4% 5% 4% 4% 78%




Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Eastern Conference Western Conference Wildcard No Playoffs
  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 13% 13%     7% 6% 6% 6% 48%
Current Standings 13% 12%     6% 6% 6% 6% 50%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 4%     4% 5% 4% 4% 78%
Best Case Scenario
   D.C. United beats Wizards
Worst Case Scenario
   Wizards beats D.C. United
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record  Eastern Conference Western Conference Wildcard No Playoffs
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
30 of 30 100% 30 0 0 90 100% ^     ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 25 5 0 75 > 99% < 1%     < 1% < 1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 30 67% 20 10 0 60 > 99% < 1%     < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
18 of 30 60% 18 12 0 54 88% 12%     < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
17 of 30 57% 17 13 0 51 54% 36%     9% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
16 of 30 53% 16 14 0 48 13% 31%     20% 22% 11% 2% < 1%
15 of 30 50% 15 15 0 45 1% 8%     3% 12% 21% 21% 33%
10 of 30 33% 10 20 0 30 < 1% < 1%     < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
5 of 30 17% 5 25 0 15 X X     X X X X 100%
0 of 30 0% 0 30 0 0 X X     X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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