The D.C. United What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the D.C. United play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 6 | 5 | 26 | <1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 29% |
Current Standings | 6 | 6 | 5 | 23 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 37% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 41% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 28% |
Current Standings | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 37% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 44% |
Best Case Scenario D.C. United beats Atlanta United Minnesota United beats CF Montréal Sounders beats Charlotte FC |
Worst Case Scenario Atlanta United beats D.C. United CF Montréal beats Minnesota United Charlotte FC beats Sounders |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
17 of 17 | 100% | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 32% | 63% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 17 | 94% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 16% | 64% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 17 | 88% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 6% | 49% | 38% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
14 of 17 | 82% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 1% | 28% | 46% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
13 of 17 | 76% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | <1% | 10% | 38% | 37% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 17 | 71% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | <1% | 2% | 17% | 38% | 32% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 17 | 65% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 38% | 29% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 17 | 59% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 36% | 28% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
9 of 17 | 53% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 34% | 31% | 12% | 2% |
8 of 17 | 47% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 31% | 33% | 21% |
7 of 17 | 41% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 27% | 63% |
6 of 17 | 35% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
5 of 17 | 29% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
4 of 17 | 24% | 10 | 19 | 5 | 35 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 17 | 18% | 9 | 20 | 5 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 17 | 12% | 8 | 21 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 17 | 6% | 7 | 22 | 5 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
0 of 17 | 0% | 6 | 23 | 5 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |