The Dynamo What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dynamo play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 31% |
Current Standings | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 38% |
Lose Next Game | 5 | 8 | 3 | 18 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 41% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 1% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 30% |
Current Standings | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 38% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 43% |
Best Case Scenario CF Montréal beats Minnesota United Dynamo beats LAFC NY City FC beats Real Salt Lake |
Worst Case Scenario Minnesota United beats CF Montréal LAFC beats Dynamo Real Salt Lake beats NY City FC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
19 of 19 | 100% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 87% | 13% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 19 | 95% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 70% | 28% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 19 | 89% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 50% | 44% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 19 | 84% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 28% | 53% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
15 of 19 | 79% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 12% | 45% | 35% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
14 of 19 | 74% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | 3% | 25% | 45% | 23% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 19 | 68% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 8% | 31% | 39% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 19 | 63% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 30% | 36% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 19 | 58% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 28% | 35% | 20% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
10 of 19 | 53% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 25% | 35% | 24% | 7% | 1% |
9 of 19 | 47% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 34% | 28% | 12% |
8 of 19 | 42% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 32% | 48% |
7 of 19 | 37% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 85% |
6 of 19 | 32% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
5 of 19 | 26% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
4 of 19 | 21% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 19 | 16% | 8 | 23 | 3 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 19 | 11% | 7 | 24 | 3 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
1 of 19 | 5% | 6 | 25 | 3 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 19 | 0% | 5 | 26 | 3 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |