PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 24 1:00 am

MLS - Week 6 of 35

Dynamo What If?

The Dynamo What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dynamo play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Dynamo What If?

Next Game - Earthquakes (1‑4)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 3 1 1 10 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 17%
Current Standings 2 1 1 7 5% 8% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 20%
Lose Next Game 2 2 1 7 4% 6% 8% 9% 9% 11% 10% 10% 9% 25%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 17%
Current Standings 5% 8% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 20%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 6% 8% 9% 9% 11% 10% 10% 9% 25%
Best Case Scenario
   Dynamo beats Earthquakes
Worst Case Scenario
   Earthquakes beats Dynamo
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
30 of 30 100% 32 1 1 97 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 30 87% 28 5 1 85 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 27 6 1 82 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 30 80% 26 7 1 79 75% 23% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 30 77% 25 8 1 76 59% 37% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
22 of 30 73% 24 9 1 73 40% 46% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 30 70% 23 10 1 70 24% 47% 25% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 30 67% 22 11 1 67 11% 38% 37% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 30 63% 21 12 1 64 4% 24% 41% 25% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 30 60% 20 13 1 61 1% 10% 32% 36% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 30 57% 19 14 1 58 <1% 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 30 53% 18 15 1 55 <1% 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1% <1% <1%
15 of 30 50% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 4% <1% <1%
14 of 30 47% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 32% 34% 15% 3% <1%
13 of 30 43% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 2%
12 of 30 40% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 21% 38% 27% 9%
11 of 30 37% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 25% 38% 29%
10 of 30 33% 12 21 1 37 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 30% 60%
9 of 30 30% 11 22 1 34 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
5 of 30 17% 7 26 1 22 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 30 0% 2 31 1 7 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs