The Dynamo What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Dynamo play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 11 | 7 | 7 | 40 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 2% |
Current Standings | 10 | 7 | 7 | 37 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 3% |
Lose Next Game | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 20% | 14% | 7% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 1% |
Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 3% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 15% | 7% |
Best Case Scenario Dynamo beats Toronto FC St. Louis City SC beats Timbers |
Worst Case Scenario Toronto FC beats Dynamo Timbers beats St. Louis City SC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
10 of 10 | 100% | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 80% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 10 | 90% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 33% | 47% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 10 | 80% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | 4% | 27% | 45% | 22% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 10 | 70% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | <1% | 3% | 22% | 53% | 20% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
6 of 10 | 60% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 27% | 46% | 23% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 10 | 50% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 22% | 47% | 25% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 10 | 40% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 46% | 29% | 5% | <1% |
3 of 10 | 30% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 45% | 32% | 6% |
2 of 10 | 20% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 46% | 37% |
1 of 10 | 10% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 18% | 81% |
0 of 10 | 0% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |