The Most Important Games for the Earthquakes are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Earthquakes final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Earthquakes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Earthquakes Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (9‑1) vs Toronto FC (3‑3‑4) |
6 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 40% | 37% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | 30% | 38% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Galaxy (3‑4‑3) vs Whitecaps (8‑1) |
2 | Galaxy Wins | 44% | 33% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Whitecaps Wins | 37% | 38% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sporting KC (1‑7‑1) vs Sounders (6‑1‑1) |
1 | Sporting KC Wins | 39% | 38% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sounders Wins | 38% | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego FC (3‑5‑2) vs LAFC (6‑2‑2) |
1 | San Diego FC Wins | 38% | 38% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LAFC Wins | 37% | 37% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Timbers (3‑5‑1) vs Real Salt Lake (5‑3‑1) |
1 | Timbers Wins | 38% | 37% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | 38% | 37% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota United (5‑3‑2) vs Crew (3‑4‑3) |
0 | Minnesota United Wins | 39% | 37% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crew Wins | 37% | 37% | 17% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Dynamo (4‑5) vs Rapids (4‑5‑1) |
0 | Dynamo Wins | 38% | 37% | 17% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rapids Wins | 38% | 37% | 17% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Dallas (3‑3‑4) vs Red Bull (3‑4‑3) |
0 | FC Dallas Wins | 38% | 37% | 17% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | 38% | 37% | 17% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (1‑5‑3) vs Austin FC (2‑4‑4) |
0 | St. Louis City SC Wins | 39% | 36% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | 37% | 38% | 17% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||