The Earthquakes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Earthquakes play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 11 | 10 | 11 | 44 | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 13% | 16% |
Current Standings | 10 | 10 | 11 | 41 | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 36% |
Lose Next Game | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 12% | 16% | 55% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 10% | 13% |
Current Standings | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 36% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 64% |
Best Case Scenario Earthquakes beats Minnesota United St. Louis CITY SC beats Sporting KC Galaxy beats Timbers |
Worst Case Scenario Minnesota United beats Earthquakes Sporting KC beats St. Louis CITY SC Timbers beats Galaxy |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
3 of 3 | 100% | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50 | X | <1% | 5% | 24% | 39% | 25% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
2 of 3 | 67% | 12 | 11 | 11 | 47 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 36% | 33% | 11% | 1% |
1 of 3 | 33% | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 28% | 65% |
0 of 3 | 0% | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |