PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Apr 14 9:15 pm

MLS - Week 9 of 35

Earthquakes What If?

The Earthquakes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Earthquakes play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Earthquakes What If?

Next Game - Galaxy (4‑1‑3)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 2 7 0 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 90%
Current Standings 1 7 0 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 93%
Lose Next Game 1 8 0 3 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 93%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 90%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 93%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 93%
Best Case Scenario
   Earthquakes beats Galaxy
Worst Case Scenario
   Galaxy beats Earthquakes
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
26 of 26 100% 27 7 0 81 98% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 26 96% 26 8 0 78 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 26 92% 25 9 0 75 85% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
23 of 26 88% 24 10 0 72 72% 26% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
22 of 26 85% 23 11 0 69 52% 40% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
21 of 26 81% 22 12 0 66 31% 47% 20% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 26 77% 21 13 0 63 13% 39% 34% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 26 73% 20 14 0 60 4% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 26 69% 19 15 0 57 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 26 65% 18 16 0 54 <1% 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% <1% <1%
16 of 26 62% 17 17 0 51 <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1% <1%
15 of 26 58% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
14 of 26 54% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 21% 34% 28% 11%
13 of 26 50% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 35% 41%
12 of 26 46% 13 21 0 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 77%
11 of 26 42% 12 22 0 36 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
10 of 26 38% 11 23 0 33 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 26 19% 6 28 0 18 X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 26 0% 1 33 0 3 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs