The Earthquakes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Earthquakes play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 4% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 11% |
Current Standings | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 3% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 2% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 18% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 4% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 10% |
Current Standings | 3% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% |
Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 19% |
Best Case Scenario NY City FC beats Real Salt Lake Earthquakes beats Union FC Cincinnati beats Whitecaps |
Worst Case Scenario Real Salt Lake beats NY City FC Union beats Earthquakes Whitecaps beats FC Cincinnati |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
18 of 18 | 100% | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 | 82% | 18% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 18 | 94% | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 67% | 32% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 18 | 89% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 50% | 46% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 18 | 83% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 32% | 55% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 18 | 78% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 16% | 53% | 28% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
13 of 18 | 72% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 6% | 39% | 42% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 18 | 67% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | 1% | 17% | 43% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 18 | 61% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | 4% | 25% | 40% | 25% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 18 | 56% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 25% | 37% | 23% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 18 | 50% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 35% | 25% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
8 of 18 | 44% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 19% | 34% | 28% | 11% | 2% |
7 of 18 | 39% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 31% | 32% | 19% |
6 of 18 | 33% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 29% | 59% |
5 of 18 | 28% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
4 of 18 | 22% | 10 | 19 | 5 | 35 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
3 of 18 | 17% | 9 | 20 | 5 | 32 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 18 | 11% | 8 | 21 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 18 | 6% | 7 | 22 | 5 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 18 | 0% | 6 | 23 | 5 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |