The FC Cincinnati What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Cincinnati play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 17 | 9 | 4 | 55 | 10% | 31% | 31% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 16 | 9 | 4 | 52 | 5% | 20% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 16 | 10 | 4 | 52 | 1% | 9% | 19% | 23% | 22% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 6% | 23% | 24% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5% | 20% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 5% | 17% | 27% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Fire beats Inter Miami CF |
Worst Case Scenario Inter Miami CF beats Fire |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 21 | 9 | 4 | 67 | 64% | 33% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64 | 21% | 57% | 22% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 19 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 1% | 25% | 51% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 18 | 12 | 4 | 58 | <1% | 1% | 12% | 37% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 17 | 13 | 4 | 55 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 45% | 30% | 4% | <1% | ^ |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 16 | 14 | 4 | 52 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 43% | 42% | 7% | <1% |