The FC Cincinnati What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Cincinnati play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 14 | 6 | 3 | 45 | 10% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 6% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
Lose Next Game | 13 | 7 | 3 | 42 | 3% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 14% | 18% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 6% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 26% | 18% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
Best Case Scenario FC Cincinnati beats Inter Miami CF FC Cincinnati beats Real Salt Lake |
Worst Case Scenario Inter Miami CF beats FC Cincinnati Real Salt Lake beats FC Cincinnati |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
12 of 12 | 100% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 12 | 92% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 99% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
10 of 12 | 83% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 89% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 12 | 75% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 62% | 32% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 12 | 67% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 27% | 44% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 12 | 58% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 5% | 26% | 42% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
6 of 12 | 50% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | <1% | 5% | 25% | 45% | 23% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 12 | 42% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 27% | 50% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 12 | 33% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 32% | 42% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
3 of 12 | 25% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 26% | 40% | 23% | 5% | <1% |
2 of 12 | 17% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 38% | 30% | 9% |
1 of 12 | 8% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 39% | 46% |
0 of 12 | 0% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% |