The FC Cincinnati What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Cincinnati play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 9 | 9 | 36 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 23% | 21% | 15% | 25% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 41% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 52% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 41% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 17% | 55% |
|
Best Case Scenario Fire beats NY City FC FC Cincinnati beats Atlanta United Real Salt Lake beats Union |
Worst Case Scenario NY City FC beats Fire Atlanta United beats FC Cincinnati Union beats Real Salt Lake |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 16 | 9 | 9 | 57 | X | 10% | 36% | 40% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 15 | 10 | 9 | 54 | X | <1% | 4% | 25% | 46% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 14 | 11 | 9 | 51 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 19% | 60% | 19% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 13 | 12 | 9 | 48 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 31% | 54% | 13% | 1% | <1% |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 34% | 45% | 15% | 2% |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 18% | 39% | 40% |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 10 | 15 | 9 | 39 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 9 | 16 | 9 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 8 | 17 | 9 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |