The FC Cincinnati What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Cincinnati play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 47% |
Current Standings | 6 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 53% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 8 | 2 | 20 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 58% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Best Case Scenario | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% |
Current Standings | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 53% |
Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 60% |
Best Case Scenario FC Cincinnati beats Orlando City SC Real Salt Lake beats Crew LAFC beats Red Bulls |
Worst Case Scenario Orlando City SC beats FC Cincinnati Crew beats Real Salt Lake Red Bulls beats LAFC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
19 of 19 | 100% | 25 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 98% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 19 | 95% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 19 | 89% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 73% | 24% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
16 of 19 | 84% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 51% | 39% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
15 of 19 | 79% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 27% | 45% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 19 | 74% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | 9% | 34% | 39% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 19 | 68% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | 2% | 14% | 35% | 34% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 19 | 63% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | 3% | 15% | 34% | 32% | 14% | 2% | <1% |
11 of 19 | 58% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 31% | 34% | 16% | 4% |
10 of 19 | 53% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 28% | 35% | 26% |
9 of 19 | 47% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 68% |
8 of 19 | 42% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% |
7 of 19 | 37% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
6 of 19 | 32% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
5 of 19 | 26% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
4 of 19 | 21% | 10 | 22 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 19 | 16% | 9 | 23 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
2 of 19 | 11% | 8 | 24 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
1 of 19 | 5% | 7 | 25 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 19 | 0% | 6 | 26 | 2 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |