The FC Cincinnati What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Cincinnati play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 22% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
Current Standings | 9 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 19% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
Lose Next Game | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
Current Standings | 19% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
Worst Case Scenario | 14% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
Best Case Scenario Timbers beats Orlando City SC Toronto FC beats Nashville SC FC Cincinnati beats Atlanta United |
Worst Case Scenario Orlando City SC beats Timbers Nashville SC beats Toronto FC Atlanta United beats FC Cincinnati |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
20 of 20 | 100% | 29 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 20 | 95% | 28 | 4 | 2 | 86 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 20 | 90% | 27 | 5 | 2 | 83 | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 20 | 85% | 26 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 99% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 20 | 80% | 25 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 96% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 20 | 75% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 88% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 20 | 70% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 73% | 25% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
13 of 20 | 65% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 49% | 42% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
12 of 20 | 60% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 22% | 46% | 26% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 20 | 55% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | 6% | 28% | 40% | 21% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 20 | 50% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | 1% | 7% | 26% | 37% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 20 | 45% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 35% | 26% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 20 | 40% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 33% | 31% | 13% | 3% | <1% |
7 of 20 | 35% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 35% | 18% | 4% |
6 of 20 | 30% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 27% | 37% | 26% |
5 of 20 | 25% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 27% | 65% |
4 of 20 | 20% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 92% |
3 of 20 | 15% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
2 of 20 | 10% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 20 | 5% | 10 | 22 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 20 | 0% | 9 | 23 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |