The FC Cincinnati What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Cincinnati play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 16 | 7 | 3 | 51 | 14% | 29% | 43% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 15 | 7 | 3 | 48 | 7% | 21% | 47% | 18% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 2% | 17% | 49% | 22% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 17% | 33% | 39% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 7% | 21% | 47% | 18% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 13% | 48% | 28% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats Red Bulls FC Cincinnati beats Inter Miami CF Union beats Crew |
Worst Case Scenario Red Bulls beats Charlotte FC Inter Miami CF beats FC Cincinnati Crew beats Union |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
9 of 9 | 100% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 89% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 9 | 78% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 58% | 39% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 9 | 67% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 21% | 57% | 22% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 9 | 56% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 4% | 38% | 56% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 9 | 44% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | <1% | 12% | 73% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 9 | 33% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 2% | 49% | 44% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 9 | 22% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 15% | 49% | 30% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
1 of 9 | 11% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | X | <1% | 1% | 16% | 43% | 34% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
0 of 9 | 0% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 47% | 37% | 2% | <1% | <1% |