The FC Cincinnati What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Cincinnati play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 10 | 10 | 9 | 39 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 35% | 26% | 16% | 19% |
| Current Standings | 9 | 10 | 9 | 36 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 35% |
| Lose Next Game | 9 | 11 | 9 | 36 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 53% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | 20% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 35% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 16% | 17% | 57% |
|
Best Case Scenario LAFC beats NY City FC D.C. United beats Orlando City SC FC Cincinnati beats Crew |
Worst Case Scenario NY City FC beats LAFC Orlando City SC beats D.C. United Crew beats FC Cincinnati |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 15 | 10 | 9 | 54 | X | <1% | 1% | 14% | 45% | 36% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 14 | 11 | 9 | 51 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 43% | 51% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 13 | 12 | 9 | 48 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 6% | 79% | 14% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 36% | 49% | 14% | 1% |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 14% | 37% | 48% |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 10 | 15 | 9 | 39 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 9 | 16 | 9 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |