The FC Cincinnati What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Cincinnati play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 17 | 8 | 4 | 55 | 1% | 39% | 60% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 16 | 8 | 4 | 52 | <1% | 27% | 70% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 16 | 9 | 4 | 52 | <1% | 19% | 77% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 2% | 68% | 30% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | <1% | 27% | 70% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 6% | 88% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Toronto FC beats Crew FC Cincinnati beats Minnesota United FC Cincinnati beats Nashville SC |
Worst Case Scenario Crew beats Toronto FC Minnesota United beats FC Cincinnati Nashville SC beats FC Cincinnati |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 23% | 75% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 21 | 9 | 4 | 67 | 4% | 80% | 16% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64 | <1% | 54% | 45% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 19 | 11 | 4 | 61 | X | 25% | 75% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 18 | 12 | 4 | 58 | X | 7% | 93% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 17 | 13 | 4 | 55 | X | 1% | 85% | 14% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 16 | 14 | 4 | 52 | X | <1% | 35% | 46% | 17% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |