The FC Cincinnati What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Cincinnati play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 18 | 9 | 4 | 58 | 30% | 36% | 21% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 17 | 9 | 4 | 55 | 19% | 30% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 17 | 10 | 4 | 55 | 6% | 20% | 26% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 47% | 29% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 19% | 30% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 3% | 14% | 28% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario NY City FC beats Charlotte FC Revolution beats Union FC Cincinnati beats Galaxy |
Worst Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats NY City FC Union beats Revolution Galaxy beats FC Cincinnati |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 21 | 9 | 4 | 67 | 91% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64 | 44% | 48% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 19 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 4% | 34% | 44% | 17% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 18 | 12 | 4 | 58 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 38% | 34% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 17 | 13 | 4 | 55 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 40% | 35% | 8% | <1% | ^ |