The FC Dallas What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Dallas play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 6 | 10 | 7 | 25 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 70% |
Current Standings | 5 | 10 | 7 | 22 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 77% |
Lose Next Game | 5 | 11 | 7 | 22 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 68% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 77% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 88% |
Best Case Scenario FC Dallas beats St. Louis City SC FC Cincinnati beats Real Salt Lake Minnesota United beats Timbers |
Worst Case Scenario St. Louis City SC beats FC Dallas Real Salt Lake beats FC Cincinnati Timbers beats Minnesota United |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
12 of 12 | 100% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | 1% | 11% | 31% | 38% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 12 | 92% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | 1% | 9% | 33% | 44% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 12 | 83% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 42% | 42% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 12 | 75% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 47% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
8 of 12 | 67% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 36% | 32% | 13% | 2% |
7 of 12 | 58% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 26% | 36% | 30% |
6 of 12 | 50% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 85% |
5 of 12 | 42% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
4 of 12 | 33% | 9 | 18 | 7 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 12 | 25% | 8 | 19 | 7 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
2 of 12 | 17% | 7 | 20 | 7 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
1 of 12 | 8% | 6 | 21 | 7 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 12 | 0% | 5 | 22 | 7 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |