The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (8‑8‑4) vs San Diego FC (12‑6‑3) |
43 | Fire Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 38% | ||
| CF Montréal (3‑13‑5) vs Orlando City SC (9‑5‑7) |
7 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 32% | ||
| Union (12‑5‑4) vs Red Bulls (8‑7‑6) |
7 | Union Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 33% | ||
| Austin FC (7‑8‑5) vs Revolution (6‑8‑6) |
7 | Austin FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% | ||
| Revolution Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 32% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (13‑5‑3) vs Crew (10‑3‑8) |
2 | FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% | ||
| Nashville SC (12‑4‑5) vs Inter Miami CF (10‑3‑5) |
1 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% | ||
| Galaxy (2‑13‑6) vs D.C. United (4‑10‑7) |
1 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% | ||
| Toronto FC (4‑11‑5) vs Atlanta United (4‑10‑6) |
0 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% | ||
| NY City FC (9‑7‑4) vs Charlotte FC (8‑11‑2) |
0 | NY City FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 31% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 32% | ||