The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||||
| Fire (3‑4‑7) vs Toronto FC (3‑5‑7) |
32 | Fire Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 43% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 54% | |||
| Fire (3‑4‑7) vs FC Cincinnati (10‑1‑3) |
28 | Fire Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 41% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 50% | |||
| Revolution (7‑3‑4) vs Atlanta United (6‑4‑5) |
3 | Revolution Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| LAFC (7‑1‑4) vs Atlanta United (6‑4‑5) |
3 | LAFC Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 50% | |||
| FC Cincinnati (10‑1‑3) vs NY City FC (4‑6‑4) |
2 | FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Red Bulls (3‑5‑7) vs Orlando City SC (5‑4‑5) |
2 | Red Bulls Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Charlotte FC (6‑6‑3) vs Crew (5‑5‑3) |
1 | Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Crew Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Rapids (2‑7‑6) vs Crew (5‑5‑3) |
1 | Rapids Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Crew Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Nashville SC (7‑3‑4) vs Crew (5‑5‑3) |
1 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Crew Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Revolution (7‑3‑4) vs NY City FC (4‑6‑4) |
1 | Revolution Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Union (7‑4‑3) vs Charlotte FC (6‑6‑3) |
1 | Union Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| FC Dallas (6‑3‑5) vs Nashville SC (7‑3‑4) |
1 | FC Dallas Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Nashville SC Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Minnesota United (5‑5‑4) vs Toronto FC (3‑5‑7) |
1 | Minnesota United Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| D.C. United (5‑6‑4) vs CF Montréal (6‑8) |
1 | D.C. United Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Inter Miami CF (5‑9) vs Red Bulls (3‑5‑7) |
0 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Red Bulls Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | |||
| D.C. United (5‑6‑4) vs Inter Miami CF (5‑9) |
0 | D.C. United Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| Union (7‑4‑3) vs CF Montréal (6‑8) |
0 | Union Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% | |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 49% | |||