The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (2‑4‑3) vs Atlanta United (3‑3‑2) |
24 | Fire Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 66% | ||
| Revolution (1‑6‑1) vs Inter Miami CF (5‑2‑3) |
3 | Revolution Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 63% | ||
| Sounders (1‑4‑3) vs D.C. United (2‑3‑4) |
2 | Sounders Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 62% | ||
| Rapids (4‑2‑3) vs FC Cincinnati (4‑2‑3) |
2 | Rapids Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 63% | ||
| Toronto FC (4‑4‑1) vs Orlando City SC (2‑3‑3) |
1 | Toronto FC Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 63% | ||
| CF Montréal (3‑3‑2) vs Crew (3‑1‑5) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 63% | ||
| Union (3‑0‑4) vs Real Salt Lake (4‑2‑3) |
1 | Union Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 62% | ||
| Nashville SC (1‑3‑4) vs EarthquakesEarthquaks (1‑8) |
1 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| NY City FC (3‑4‑2) vs Charlotte FC (3‑4‑2) |
0 | NY City FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 63% | ||
| Whitecaps (5‑2‑1) vs Red Bulls (4‑1‑4) |
0 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 62% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 62% | ||