The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (2‑1‑1) vs Whitecaps (4‑0) |
19 | Fire Wins | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% | ||
| Whitecaps Wins | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 32% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (2‑0‑2) vs Union (3‑1) |
3 | St. Louis City SC Wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% | ||
| Union Wins | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Toronto FC (0‑3‑1) vs Red Bulls (1‑1‑2) |
2 | Toronto FC Wins | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 32% | ||
| NY City FC (2‑1‑1) vs Crew (2‑0‑2) |
2 | NY City FC Wins | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% | ||
| Crew Wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% | ||
| Nashville SC (2‑1‑1) vs CF Montréal (0‑3‑1) |
1 | Nashville SC Wins | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 32% | ||
| Orlando City SC (1‑2‑1) vs D.C. United (1‑0‑3) |
1 | Orlando City SC Wins | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% | ||
| Charlotte FC (2‑1‑1) vs EarthquakesEarthquaks (2‑2) |
1 | Charlotte FC Wins | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 31% | ||
| Atlanta United (1‑2‑1) vs FC Cincinnati (2‑2) |
1 | Atlanta United Wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 31% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 31% | ||