The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (12‑11‑6) vs Minnesota United (15‑6‑9) |
41 | Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 56% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 56% | 34% | ||
| CF Montréal (5‑16‑9) vs Red Bulls (11‑12‑7) |
24 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 67% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 46% | 38% | ||
| Charlotte FC (17‑11‑2) vs NY City FC (14‑9‑5) |
5 | Charlotte FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 54% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 58% | 28% | ||
| Toronto FC (5‑13‑11) vs Crew (13‑6‑10) |
4 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 53% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 58% | 27% | ||
| Nashville SC (15‑10‑5) vs Orlando City SC (13‑7‑9) |
3 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 54% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 59% | 27% | ||
| Sounders (12‑7‑9) vs Inter Miami CF (13‑6‑7) |
3 | Sounders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 55% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 56% | 28% | ||
| D.C. United (5‑15‑10) vs Inter Miami CF (13‑6‑7) |
2 | D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 55% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 57% | 28% | ||
| Revolution (8‑14‑8) vs Union (17‑7‑6) |
1 | Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% | ||
| Union Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% | ||
| Galaxy (4‑16‑9) vs FC Cincinnati (17‑9‑4) |
1 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 55% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 55% | 28% | ||
| Crew (13‑6‑10) vs NY City FC (14‑9‑5) |
0 | Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 57% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 57% | 27% | ||
| Atlanta United (5‑13‑11) vs San Diego FC (17‑8‑5) |
0 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 56% | 27% | ||