The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (5‑2‑2) vs FC Cincinnati (3‑4‑3) |
15 | Fire Wins | 4% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 2% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Orlando City SC (2‑7‑1) vs Inter Miami CF (5‑1‑4) |
2 | Orlando City SC Wins | 4% | 26% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 4% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Minnesota United (5‑3‑2) vs Crew (3‑4‑3) |
1 | Minnesota United Wins | 4% | 24% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Crew Wins | 4% | 24% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Revolution (5‑3‑1) vs Charlotte FC (4‑4‑2) |
1 | Revolution Wins | 4% | 24% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 4% | 25% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Nashville SC (7‑1‑1) vs Union (1‑7‑2) |
1 | Nashville SC Wins | 4% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Union Wins | 5% | 22% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| FC Dallas (3‑3‑4) vs Red Bull (3‑4‑3) |
0 | FC Dallas Wins | 4% | 24% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | 4% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Atlanta United (2‑7‑1) vs CF Montréal (3‑6) |
0 | Atlanta United Wins | 4% | 24% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | 4% | 24% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (9‑1) vs Toronto FC (3‑3‑4) |
0 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 4% | 24% | 22% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | 4% | 23% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| NY City FC (3‑4‑3) vs D.C. United (3‑4‑3) |
0 | NY City FC Wins | 4% | 24% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 4% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ||