The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (3‑4‑3) vs Orlando City SC (4‑2‑4) |
25 | Fire Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 65% | ||
| Charlotte FC (6‑3‑1) vs Crew (6‑1‑3) |
5 | Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 61% | ||
| Toronto FC (1‑5‑4) vs Revolution (4‑4‑1) |
2 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Revolution Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 61% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (7‑2‑1) vs NY City FC (4‑4‑2) |
1 | FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 61% | ||
| CF Montréal (0‑7‑3) vs Union (6‑3‑1) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 60% | ||
| Red Bulls (4‑3‑3) vs Inter Miami CF (5‑1‑3) |
0 | Red Bulls Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 60% | ||
| Atlanta United (2‑5‑3) vs Nashville SC (5‑4‑1) |
0 | Atlanta United Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 59% | ||
| D.C. United (2‑5‑3) vs Rapids (4‑2‑4) |
0 | D.C. United Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Rapids Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 60% | ||