The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (11‑6‑5) vs Revolution (11‑7‑4) |
21 | Fire Wins | <1% | 20% | 29% | 24% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Revolution Wins | <1% | 8% | 18% | 27% | 25% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Fire (11‑6‑5) vs Inter Miami CF (12‑4‑7) |
20 | Fire Wins | <1% | 22% | 27% | 24% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | 7% | 22% | 26% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| CF Montréal (5‑12‑6) vs Charlotte FC (10‑7‑6) |
4 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | 16% | 26% | 26% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | 15% | 23% | 23% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nashville SC (16‑2‑5) vs Inter Miami CF (12‑4‑7) |
3 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | 18% | 23% | 24% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | 12% | 25% | 26% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (8‑9‑5) vs NY City FC (7‑8‑8) |
2 | Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| NY City FC (7‑8‑8) vs Revolution (11‑7‑4) |
2 | NY City FC Wins | <1% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Revolution Wins | <1% | 13% | 21% | 27% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (8‑7‑7) vs Charlotte FC (10‑7‑6) |
2 | FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | 16% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 23% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nashville SC (16‑2‑5) vs Toronto FC (5‑7‑11) |
2 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | 16% | 25% | 24% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Union (7‑10‑6) vs FC Cincinnati (8‑7‑7) |
1 | Union Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 21% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego FC (8‑9‑6) vs Union (7‑10‑6) |
1 | San Diego FC Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Atlanta United (6‑13‑4) vs Orlando City SC (8‑11‑4) |
1 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | 16% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Crew (6‑12‑5) vs D.C. United (5‑7‑10) |
0 | Crew Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 21% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Toronto FC (5‑7‑11) vs Orlando City SC (8‑11‑4) |
0 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rapids (10‑12‑1) vs CF Montréal (5‑12‑6) |
0 | Rapids Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 21% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Red Bull (7‑10‑6) vs Crew (6‑12‑5) |
0 | Red Bull Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Bull (7‑10‑6) vs LAFC (10‑7‑7) |
0 | Red Bull Wins | <1% | 16% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| LAFC Wins | <1% | 15% | 23% | 25% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atlanta United (6‑13‑4) vs D.C. United (5‑7‑10) |
0 | Atlanta United Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 25% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||