The Most Important Games for the Fire are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fire final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fire fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fire Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Fire (1‑1) vs Crew (0‑1‑1) |
53 | Fire Wins | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Crew Wins | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (2‑0) vs Union (0‑2) |
4 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Union Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Austin FC (1‑0‑1) vs Charlotte FC (0‑1‑1) |
2 | Austin FC Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| D.C. United (1‑1) vs Inter Miami CF (1‑1) |
2 | D.C. United Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 34% | ||
| Minnesota United (1‑0‑1) vs Nashville SC (1‑0‑1) |
1 | Minnesota United Wins | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (1‑1) vs Toronto FC (0‑2) |
1 | FC Cincinnati Wins | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (1‑1) vs Atlanta United (0‑2) |
1 | Real Salt Lake Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| NY City FC (1‑0‑1) vs Orlando City SC (0‑2) |
0 | NY City FC Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| Red Bull (2‑0) vs CF Montréal (0‑2) |
0 | Red Bull Wins | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% | ||