PlayoffStatus.com

Home >MLS >Eastern Playoff Picture >Fire Playoff Picture >Fire What If?

MLS - Week 12 of 35

Fire What If?

The Fire What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Fire play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Fire Playoff Picture
Fire Most Important Games
> Fire What If?
Fire Clinching Options
Fire Elimination Options

Eastern Playoff Picture
Eastern Winning Magic Numbers
Eastern Losing Magic Numbers
Eastern Strength of Schedule
Eastern Most Important Games

MLS Home
MLS Schedule
MLS Playoff Schedule
Post Season Probabilities

PlayoffStatus.com Home




Data may change several
times on day of play
Bookmark site for easy return

Fire What If?

Next Game - Real Salt Lake (5-5-2)

   Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No
Playoffs
  W L T Pts 1* 2* 3* 4** 5
Win Next Game 3 7 1 10 < 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 80%
Current Standings 2 7 1 7 < 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 83%
Lose Next Game 2 8 1 7 < 1% 1% 2% 5% 7% 85%




Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No
Playoffs
  1* 2* 3* 4** 5
Best Case Scenario < 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 82%
Current Standings < 1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 83%
Worst Case Scenario < 1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 83%
Best Case Scenario
   D.C. United beats Sporting KC
Worst Case Scenario
   Sporting KC beats D.C. United
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record  Conference Playoff Spots No
Playoffs
W L T Pts 1* 2* 3* 4** 5
24 of 24 100% 26 7 1 79 95% 5% < 1% ^ ^ ^
23 of 24 96% 25 8 1 76 87% 13% < 1% < 1% ^ ^
22 of 24 92% 24 9 1 73 73% 26% 1% < 1% < 1% ^
21 of 24 88% 23 10 1 70 54% 41% 5% < 1% < 1% < 1%
20 of 24 83% 22 11 1 67 34% 50% 15% 1% < 1% < 1%
19 of 24 79% 21 12 1 64 16% 47% 30% 6% < 1% < 1%
18 of 24 75% 20 13 1 61 5% 32% 43% 18% 2% < 1%
17 of 24 71% 19 14 1 58 1% 14% 40% 34% 10% 1%
16 of 24 67% 18 15 1 55 < 1% 4% 23% 41% 26% 5%
15 of 24 63% 17 16 1 52 < 1% 1% 8% 31% 39% 21%
14 of 24 58% 16 17 1 49 < 1% < 1% 2% 14% 37% 48%
13 of 24 54% 15 18 1 46 < 1% < 1% < 1% 3% 20% 76%
12 of 24 50% 14 19 1 43 < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% 6% 94%
10 of 24 42% 12 21 1 37 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
5 of 24 21% 7 26 1 22 X X X X X 100%
0 of 24 0% 2 31 1 7 X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round playoff bye
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage