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Fire What If?
Next Game - Real Salt Lake (5-5-2)
| Win Next Game |
3 |
7 |
1 |
10 |
< 1% |
2% |
4% |
6% |
8% |
80% |
| Current Standings |
2 |
7 |
1 |
7 |
< 1% |
1% |
3% |
5% |
7% |
83% |
| Lose Next Game |
2 |
8 |
1 |
7 |
< 1% |
1% |
2% |
5% |
7% |
85% |
Best/Worst Case Scenarios
| Best Case Scenario |
< 1% |
1% |
3% |
5% |
8% |
82% |
| Current Standings |
< 1% |
1% |
3% |
5% |
7% |
83% |
| Worst Case Scenario |
< 1% |
1% |
3% |
5% |
8% |
83% |
Best Case Scenario
D.C. United beats Sporting KC
|
Worst Case Scenario
Sporting KC beats D.C. United
|
- Notes
- Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
- Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three
Remaining Games
| 24 of 24 |
100% |
26 |
7 |
1 |
79 |
95% |
5% |
< 1% |
^ |
^ |
^ |
| 23 of 24 |
96% |
25 |
8 |
1 |
76 |
87% |
13% |
< 1% |
< 1% |
^ |
^ |
| 22 of 24 |
92% |
24 |
9 |
1 |
73 |
73% |
26% |
1% |
< 1% |
< 1% |
^ |
| 21 of 24 |
88% |
23 |
10 |
1 |
70 |
54% |
41% |
5% |
< 1% |
< 1% |
< 1% |
| 20 of 24 |
83% |
22 |
11 |
1 |
67 |
34% |
50% |
15% |
1% |
< 1% |
< 1% |
| 19 of 24 |
79% |
21 |
12 |
1 |
64 |
16% |
47% |
30% |
6% |
< 1% |
< 1% |
| 18 of 24 |
75% |
20 |
13 |
1 |
61 |
5% |
32% |
43% |
18% |
2% |
< 1% |
| 17 of 24 |
71% |
19 |
14 |
1 |
58 |
1% |
14% |
40% |
34% |
10% |
1% |
| 16 of 24 |
67% |
18 |
15 |
1 |
55 |
< 1% |
4% |
23% |
41% |
26% |
5% |
| 15 of 24 |
63% |
17 |
16 |
1 |
52 |
< 1% |
1% |
8% |
31% |
39% |
21% |
| 14 of 24 |
58% |
16 |
17 |
1 |
49 |
< 1% |
< 1% |
2% |
14% |
37% |
48% |
| 13 of 24 |
54% |
15 |
18 |
1 |
46 |
< 1% |
< 1% |
< 1% |
3% |
20% |
76% |
| 12 of 24 |
50% |
14 |
19 |
1 |
43 |
< 1% |
< 1% |
< 1% |
< 1% |
6% |
94% |
| 10 of 24 |
42% |
12 |
21 |
1 |
37 |
X |
X |
< 1% |
< 1% |
< 1% |
> 99% |
| 5 of 24 |
21% |
7 |
26 |
1 |
22 |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
100% |
| 0 of 24 |
0% |
2 |
31 |
1 |
7 |
X |
X |
X |
X |
X |
100% |
- Notes
- ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
- X means the team cannot win this playoff spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
- 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
- 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
- * denotes first round playoff bye
- ** denotes first round home field advantage
|