PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 26 1:15 am

MLS - Week 6 of 35

Fire What If?

The Fire What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Fire play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Fire What If?

Next Game - D.C. United (1‑3‑1)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 2 1 2 8 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 38%
Current Standings 1 1 2 5 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 40%
Lose Next Game 1 2 2 5 4% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 43%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 38%
Current Standings 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 40%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 43%
Best Case Scenario
   Fire beats D.C. United
Worst Case Scenario
   D.C. United beats Fire
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
30 of 30 100% 31 1 2 95 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 30 90% 28 4 2 86 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 30 87% 27 5 2 83 74% 25% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 26 6 2 80 54% 40% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
24 of 30 80% 25 7 2 77 31% 48% 19% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
23 of 30 77% 24 8 2 74 14% 42% 34% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 30 73% 23 9 2 71 4% 25% 41% 24% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 30 70% 22 10 2 68 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 30 67% 21 11 2 65 <1% 3% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 30 63% 20 12 2 62 <1% 1% 5% 20% 36% 27% 10% 1% <1% <1%
18 of 30 60% 19 13 2 59 <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1% <1%
17 of 30 57% 18 14 2 56 <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4% <1%
16 of 30 53% 17 15 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 3%
15 of 30 50% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 35% 25% 11%
14 of 30 47% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 27% 34% 27%
13 of 30 43% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 31% 51%
12 of 30 40% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 19% 75%
11 of 30 37% 12 20 2 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
10 of 30 33% 11 21 2 35 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
5 of 30 17% 6 26 2 20 X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 30 0% 1 31 2 5 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs