The Fire What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Fire play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 12 | 7 | 28 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 14% | 69% |
Current Standings | 6 | 12 | 7 | 25 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 82% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 13 | 7 | 25 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 86% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 14% | 67% |
Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 82% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 91% |
Best Case Scenario Fire beats NY City FC Dynamo beats Toronto FC Galaxy beats Atlanta United |
Worst Case Scenario NY City FC beats Fire Toronto FC beats Dynamo Atlanta United beats Galaxy |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
9 of 9 | 100% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | X | <1% | <1% | 13% | 46% | 33% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 9 | 89% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 40% | 37% | 9% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 9 | 78% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 44% | 41% | 4% | <1% |
6 of 9 | 67% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 51% | 30% | 7% |
5 of 9 | 56% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 33% | 54% |
4 of 9 | 44% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
3 of 9 | 33% | 9 | 18 | 7 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 9 | 22% | 8 | 19 | 7 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
1 of 9 | 11% | 7 | 20 | 7 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 9 | 0% | 6 | 21 | 7 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |