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Sun Sep 27 10:15 pm

MLS - Week 33 of 38

Galaxy Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Galaxy are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Galaxy final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Galaxy fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Galaxy Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Galaxy Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Galaxy
(9‑10‑9)

vs
St. Louis City SC
(12‑6‑8)
58 Galaxy Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 19% 21% 18% 33%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
St. Louis City SC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 13% 17% 62%
Sporting KC
(6‑17‑3)

vs
Sounders
(9‑9‑8)
13 Sporting KC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 13% 16% 16% 51%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
Sounders Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 9% 14% 17% 57%
Revolution
(14‑9‑4)

vs
Sounders
(9‑9‑8)
12 Revolution Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11% 15% 16% 54%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
Sounders Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 14% 18% 58%
EarthquakesEarthquaks
(13‑8‑6)

vs
Rapids
(11‑13‑3)
11 EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 12% 16% 17% 52%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
Rapids Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 8% 13% 17% 58%
Union
(11‑10‑6)

vs
Real Salt Lake
(9‑13‑5)
9 Union Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11% 15% 17% 53%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
Real Salt Lake Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 13% 15% 59%
Red Bull
(9‑11‑6)

vs
San Diego FC
(8‑11‑8)
7 Red Bull Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11% 15% 18% 52%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
San Diego FC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 14% 16% 57%
Sporting KC
(6‑17‑3)

vs
Timbers
(9‑13‑5)
7 Sporting KC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11% 16% 18% 52%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
Timbers Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 14% 16% 57%
Whitecaps
(15‑6‑5)

vs
LAFC
(11‑9‑8)
3 Whitecaps Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 54%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
LAFC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 15% 17% 55%
Nashville SC
(18‑3‑6)

vs
Austin FC
(7‑10‑10)
2 Nashville SC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
Austin FC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 14% 16% 57%
Dynamo
(13‑9‑5)

vs
Minnesota United
(7‑12‑8)
1 Dynamo Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 15% 17% 54%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
Minnesota United Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 14% 16% 56%
Fire
(12‑8‑6)

vs
Whitecaps
(15‑6‑5)
0 Fire Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 16% 55%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
Whitecaps Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 14% 17% 55%
FC Dallas
(13‑6‑8)

vs
Charlotte FC
(12‑8‑7)
0 FC Dallas Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
Charlotte FC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 10% 15% 17% 55%
St. Louis City SC
(12‑6‑8)

vs
Red Bull
(9‑11‑6)
0 St. Louis City SC Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 11% 15% 17% 55%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 17% 55%
Red Bull Wins <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 15% 16% 55%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs