The Galaxy What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Galaxy play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 15 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 22% | 32% | 33% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 17% | 29% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 14 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 9% | 23% | 38% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 26% | 39% | 24% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 17% | 29% | 35% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 8% | 22% | 39% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Earthquakes beats Real Salt Lake Galaxy beats Atlanta United |
Worst Case Scenario Real Salt Lake beats Earthquakes Atlanta United beats Galaxy |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
8 of 8 | 100% | 22 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 8 | 88% | 21 | 6 | 7 | 70 | 86% | 14% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 8 | 75% | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 56% | 40% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 8 | 63% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 21% | 54% | 24% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 8 | 50% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | 4% | 33% | 56% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 8 | 38% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | <1% | 7% | 50% | 35% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
2 of 8 | 25% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | <1% | 12% | 38% | 37% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
1 of 8 | 13% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 28% | 42% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
0 of 8 | 0% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 44% | 32% | 6% | <1% |