The Galaxy What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Galaxy play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 8 | 8 | 29 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 84% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 8 | 8 | 26 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 92% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 84% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 92% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
|
Best Case Scenario Galaxy beats San Diego FC |
Worst Case Scenario San Diego FC beats Galaxy |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 12 of 12 | 100% | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 | 5% | 62% | 29% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 11 of 12 | 92% | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59 | 1% | 30% | 46% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 12 | 83% | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56 | <1% | 5% | 26% | 40% | 23% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 12 | 75% | 15 | 11 | 8 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 34% | 31% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 12 | 67% | 14 | 12 | 8 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 34% | 28% | 11% | 2% |
| 7 of 12 | 58% | 13 | 13 | 8 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 21% | 34% | 38% |
| 6 of 12 | 50% | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| 5 of 12 | 42% | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 4 of 12 | 33% | 10 | 16 | 8 | 38 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 12 | 25% | 9 | 17 | 8 | 35 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 12 | 17% | 8 | 18 | 8 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 1 of 12 | 8% | 7 | 19 | 8 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 12 | 0% | 6 | 20 | 8 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |