PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Apr 14 9:15 pm

MLS - Week 9 of 35

Galaxy What If?

The Galaxy What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Galaxy play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Galaxy What If?

Next Game - Earthquakes (1‑7)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 5 1 3 18 28% 18% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 5%
Current Standings 4 1 3 15 27% 17% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 6%
Lose Next Game 4 2 3 15 21% 16% 13% 11% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 8%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 29% 17% 13% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 5%
Current Standings 27% 17% 12% 10% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 6%
Worst Case Scenario 21% 15% 13% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 8%
Best Case Scenario
   Crew beats Timbers
   Charlotte FC beats Minnesota United
   Galaxy beats Earthquakes
Worst Case Scenario
   Timbers beats Crew
   Minnesota United beats Charlotte FC
   Earthquakes beats Galaxy
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
26 of 26 100% 30 1 3 93 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 26 96% 29 2 3 90 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 26 81% 25 6 3 78 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 26 77% 24 7 3 75 85% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 26 73% 23 8 3 72 71% 27% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 26 69% 22 9 3 69 51% 41% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 26 65% 21 10 3 66 30% 46% 21% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 26 62% 20 11 3 63 13% 38% 35% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 26 58% 19 12 3 60 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 26 54% 18 13 3 57 <1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 26 50% 17 14 3 54 <1% 1% 7% 23% 36% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1%
12 of 26 46% 16 15 3 51 <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% <1%
11 of 26 42% 15 16 3 48 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
10 of 26 38% 14 17 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9%
9 of 26 35% 13 18 3 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 22% 37% 36%
8 of 26 31% 12 19 3 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 72%
7 of 26 27% 11 20 3 36 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
5 of 26 19% 9 22 3 30 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 26 0% 4 27 3 15 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs