The Galaxy What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Galaxy play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 3 | 9 | 3 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 87% |
Current Standings | 2 | 9 | 3 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 90% |
Lose Next Game | 2 | 10 | 3 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 87% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 90% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
Best Case Scenario Galaxy beats Real Salt Lake |
Worst Case Scenario Real Salt Lake beats Galaxy |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
20 of 20 | 100% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 44% | 47% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 20 | 95% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 23% | 50% | 24% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
18 of 20 | 90% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 9% | 36% | 40% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
17 of 20 | 85% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | 2% | 16% | 38% | 32% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 20 | 80% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 3% | 19% | 36% | 29% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 20 | 75% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 35% | 29% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 20 | 70% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 33% | 30% | 13% | 3% | <1% |
13 of 20 | 65% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 30% | 33% | 16% | 4% |
12 of 20 | 60% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 28% | 34% | 24% |
11 of 20 | 55% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 27% | 62% |
10 of 20 | 50% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
9 of 20 | 45% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
8 of 20 | 40% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
7 of 20 | 35% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
6 of 20 | 30% | 8 | 23 | 3 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
5 of 20 | 25% | 7 | 24 | 3 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
4 of 20 | 20% | 6 | 25 | 3 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
3 of 20 | 15% | 5 | 26 | 3 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
2 of 20 | 10% | 4 | 27 | 3 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
1 of 20 | 5% | 3 | 28 | 3 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 20 | 0% | 2 | 29 | 3 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |