PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 22 10:45 pm

MLS - Week 7 of 38

Galaxy What If?

The Galaxy What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Galaxy play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Galaxy What If?

Next Game - Minnesota United (1‑2‑2)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 2 2 2 8 <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 6% 9% 71%
Current Standings 1 2 2 5 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 73%
Lose Next Game 1 3 2 5 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 78%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 6% 9% 71%
Current Standings <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 73%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 78%
Best Case Scenario
   Galaxy beats Minnesota United
Worst Case Scenario
   Minnesota United beats Galaxy
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
29 of 29 100% 30 2 2 92 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 29 97% 29 3 2 89 95% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 29 93% 28 4 2 86 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 29 90% 27 5 2 83 73% 26% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 29 86% 26 6 2 80 54% 40% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
24 of 29 83% 25 7 2 77 33% 49% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
23 of 29 79% 24 8 2 74 16% 44% 31% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 29 76% 23 9 2 71 6% 29% 41% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 29 72% 22 10 2 68 1% 14% 35% 33% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 29 69% 21 11 2 65 <1% 4% 19% 37% 28% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 29 66% 20 12 2 62 <1% 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1% <1% <1%
18 of 29 62% 19 13 2 59 <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% <1% <1%
17 of 29 59% 18 14 2 56 <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 36% 18% 4% <1%
16 of 29 55% 17 15 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
15 of 29 52% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 36% 31% 11%
14 of 29 48% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 23% 39% 32%
13 of 29 45% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 29% 61%
12 of 29 41% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 84%
10 of 29 34% 11 21 2 35 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
5 of 29 17% 6 26 2 20 X X X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 29 0% 1 31 2 5 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs