The Galaxy What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Galaxy play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 9% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 14% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 6% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 20% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 3% | 12% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 22% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 11% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 13% |
| Current Standings | 6% | 13% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 20% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 3% | 10% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 23% |
|
Best Case Scenario Galaxy beats LAFC Atlanta United beats Austin FC Charlotte FC beats Nashville SC |
Worst Case Scenario LAFC beats Galaxy Austin FC beats Atlanta United Nashville SC beats Charlotte FC |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 17 of 17 | 100% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 93% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 17 | 94% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 79% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 17 | 88% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 60% | 36% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 17 | 82% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 39% | 48% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 17 | 76% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 19% | 50% | 29% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 12 of 17 | 71% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 6% | 36% | 46% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 17 | 65% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | 1% | 14% | 46% | 31% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 17 | 59% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 3% | 22% | 42% | 26% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| 9 of 17 | 53% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 22% | 38% | 26% | 8% | 1% |
| 8 of 17 | 47% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 35% | 30% | 12% |
| 7 of 17 | 41% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 32% | 52% |
| 6 of 17 | 35% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| 5 of 17 | 29% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 4 of 17 | 24% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 17 | 18% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 17 | 12% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 1 of 17 | 6% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 17 | 0% | 8 | 23 | 3 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |