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MLS - Week 1 of 31

Galaxy What If?

The Galaxy What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Galaxy play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Galaxy What If?

Next Game - Revolution (0-0)

   Resultant Record Eastern Conference Western Conference Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 1 0 0 3     26% 20% 12% 10% 6% 4% 21%
Current Standings 0 0 0 0     13% 13% 6% 6% 6% 6% 50%
Lose Next Game 0 1 0 0     12% 12% 6% 6% 6% 6% 52%




Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Eastern Conference Western Conference Wildcard No Playoffs
  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario     26% 20% 13% 10% 6% 4% 20%
Current Standings     13% 13% 6% 6% 6% 6% 50%
Worst Case Scenario     12% 12% 6% 6% 6% 6% 51%
Best Case Scenario
   Galaxy beats Revolution
Worst Case Scenario
   Revolution beats Galaxy
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record  Eastern Conference Western Conference Wildcard No Playoffs
W L T Pts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
30 of 30 100% 30 0 0 90     100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 25 5 0 75     > 99% < 1% < 1% < 1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 30 67% 20 10 0 60     > 99% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
18 of 30 60% 18 12 0 54     88% 11% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
17 of 30 57% 17 13 0 51     54% 36% 9% 1% < 1% < 1% < 1%
16 of 30 53% 16 14 0 48     14% 32% 20% 22% 10% 2% < 1%
15 of 30 50% 15 15 0 45     1% 8% 3% 12% 21% 21% 33%
10 of 30 33% 10 20 0 30     < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
5 of 30 17% 5 25 0 15     X X X X X X 100%
0 of 30 0% 0 30 0 0     X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot - ties of future unplayed games are not considered
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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