The Most Important Games for the LAFC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the LAFC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. LAFC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
LAFC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| LAFC (11‑9‑9) vs Austin FC (7‑11‑10) |
33 | LAFC Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 28% | 34% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 14% | 35% | 30% | 11% | 4% | 1% | ||
| LAFC (11‑9‑9) vs NY City FC (8‑11‑9) |
29 | LAFC Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 21% | 30% | 28% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 38% | 25% | 8% | 2% | 1% | ||
| CF Montréal (6‑16‑6) vs Sounders (11‑9‑8) |
6 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 26% | 40% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sounders Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 23% | 32% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota United (7‑12‑9) vs Rapids (11‑13‑4) |
5 | Minnesota United Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 20% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rapids Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 23% | 33% | 19% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| San Diego FC (8‑12‑8) vs Dynamo (13‑9‑6) |
5 | San Diego FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 26% | 32% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 40% | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Timbers (9‑13‑6) vs Rapids (11‑13‑4) |
4 | Timbers Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 36% | 19% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rapids Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 23% | 34% | 19% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| FC Dallas (13‑7‑8) vs Sounders (11‑9‑8) |
4 | FC Dallas Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 25% | 38% | 16% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sounders Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 20% | 28% | 27% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nashville SC (19‑3‑6) vs EarthquakesEarthquaks (13‑8‑7) |
3 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 24% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 24% | 38% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (9‑14‑5) vs EarthquakesEarthquaks (13‑8‑7) |
3 | Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 14% | 24% | 32% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 23% | 38% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| FC Dallas (13‑7‑8) vs Dynamo (13‑9‑6) |
2 | FC Dallas Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 27% | 33% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 20% | 38% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota United (7‑12‑9) vs St. Louis City SC (14‑6‑8) |
1 | Minnesota United Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 20% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sporting KC (6‑18‑4) vs Real Salt Lake (9‑14‑5) |
1 | Sporting KC Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego FC (8‑12‑8) vs Galaxy (9‑11‑9) |
1 | San Diego FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 34% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Galaxy Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 23% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Whitecaps (15‑7‑6) vs St. Louis City SC (14‑6‑8) |
1 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 23% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 25% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Whitecaps (15‑7‑6) vs Austin FC (7‑11‑10) |
0 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 34% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Timbers (9‑13‑6) vs Galaxy (9‑11‑9) |
0 | Timbers Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 34% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Galaxy Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 34% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nashville SC (19‑3‑6) vs Sporting KC (6‑18‑4) |
0 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sporting KC Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||