The LAFC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the LAFC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 19% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 15% |
Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 18% |
Lose Next Game | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 19% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 19% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 15% |
Current Standings | 19% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 18% |
Worst Case Scenario | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 19% |
Best Case Scenario LAFC beats FC Dallas |
Worst Case Scenario FC Dallas beats LAFC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
31 of 31 | 100% | 33 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
30 of 31 | 97% | 32 | 1 | 1 | 97 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
28 of 31 | 90% | 30 | 3 | 1 | 91 | 95% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
27 of 31 | 87% | 29 | 4 | 1 | 88 | 87% | 13% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
26 of 31 | 84% | 28 | 5 | 1 | 85 | 72% | 27% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 31 | 81% | 27 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 54% | 40% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
24 of 31 | 77% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | 34% | 49% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
23 of 31 | 74% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 18% | 46% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
22 of 31 | 71% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 7% | 33% | 41% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
21 of 31 | 68% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | 2% | 17% | 39% | 32% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
20 of 31 | 65% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | <1% | 6% | 26% | 39% | 22% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
19 of 31 | 61% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 35% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
18 of 31 | 58% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 21% | 37% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
17 of 31 | 55% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 27% | 36% | 21% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 31 | 52% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 33% | 33% | 14% | 2% | <1% |
15 of 31 | 48% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 35% | 25% | 8% | 1% |
14 of 31 | 45% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 30% | 35% | 17% | 4% |
13 of 31 | 42% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 35% | 30% | 12% |
12 of 31 | 39% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 27% | 36% | 28% |
11 of 31 | 35% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 34% | 49% |
10 of 31 | 32% | 12 | 21 | 1 | 37 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 22% | 73% |
9 of 31 | 29% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 89% |
5 of 31 | 16% | 7 | 26 | 1 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 31 | 0% | 2 | 31 | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |