The LAFC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the LAFC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 13 | 9 | 9 | 48 | 4% | 57% | 23% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 12 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 2% | 41% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | X | 19% | 23% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 4% | 58% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 2% | 41% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | 18% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Galaxy beats Timbers D.C. United beats Whitecaps LAFC beats Real Salt Lake |
Worst Case Scenario Timbers beats Galaxy Whitecaps beats D.C. United Real Salt Lake beats LAFC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
4 of 4 | 100% | 16 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 20% | 80% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 4 | 75% | 15 | 10 | 9 | 54 | X | 79% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 4 | 50% | 14 | 11 | 9 | 51 | X | 19% | 46% | 30% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 4 | 25% | 13 | 12 | 9 | 48 | X | <1% | 3% | 21% | 42% | 27% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
0 of 4 | 0% | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 33% | 40% | 15% | 1% |