The LAFC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the LAFC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 15 | 5 | 5 | 50 | 69% | 21% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 14 | 5 | 5 | 47 | 57% | 24% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 14 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 48% | 27% | 17% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 83% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 57% | 24% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 44% | 27% | 21% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario LAFC beats Whitecaps Earthquakes beats Real Salt Lake Atlanta United beats Galaxy |
Worst Case Scenario Whitecaps beats LAFC Real Salt Lake beats Earthquakes Galaxy beats Atlanta United |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
10 of 10 | 100% | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 10 | 90% | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 10 | 80% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 10 | 70% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 10 | 60% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 59% | 36% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 10 | 50% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 21% | 49% | 28% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 10 | 40% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | 3% | 24% | 56% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
3 of 10 | 30% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | 2% | 32% | 44% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
2 of 10 | 20% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 41% | 28% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
1 of 10 | 10% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 37% | 40% | 11% | 1% | <1% |
0 of 10 | 0% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 30% | 43% | 19% | 3% |