The LAFC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the LAFC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 18% |
Current Standings | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 21% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 25% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 17% |
Current Standings | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 21% |
Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 27% |
Best Case Scenario FC Cincinnati beats Rapids FC Dallas beats Dynamo LAFC beats Timbers |
Worst Case Scenario Rapids beats FC Cincinnati Dynamo beats FC Dallas Timbers beats LAFC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
25 of 25 | 100% | 28 | 3 | 3 | 87 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
22 of 25 | 88% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 88% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
21 of 25 | 84% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 74% | 24% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 25 | 80% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 54% | 38% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
19 of 25 | 76% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 33% | 46% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
18 of 25 | 72% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 16% | 41% | 33% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
17 of 25 | 68% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 5% | 26% | 41% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 25 | 64% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | 1% | 10% | 32% | 38% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 25 | 60% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 2% | 15% | 36% | 33% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 25 | 56% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 37% | 31% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 25 | 52% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 36% | 29% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
12 of 25 | 48% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 36% | 29% | 10% | 1% |
11 of 25 | 44% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 36% | 28% | 10% |
10 of 25 | 40% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 21% | 37% | 37% |
9 of 25 | 36% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 22% | 72% |
8 of 25 | 32% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
5 of 25 | 20% | 8 | 23 | 3 | 27 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 25 | 0% | 3 | 28 | 3 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |