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Sun Mar 1 11:45 pm

MLS - Week 3 of 38

LAFC What If?

The LAFC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the LAFC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

LAFC What If?

Next Game - FC Dallas (1‑0‑1)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Win Next Game 3 0 0 9 15% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 21%
Current Standings 2 0 0 6 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 28%
Lose Next Game 2 1 0 6 7% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 35%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
Best Case Scenario 15% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 20%
Current Standings 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 28%
Worst Case Scenario 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 36%
Best Case Scenario
   Union beats Earthquakes
   Nashville SC beats Minnesota United
   LAFC beats FC Dallas
 Worst Case Scenario
   Earthquakes beats Union
   Minnesota United beats Nashville SC
   FC Dallas beats LAFC
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 9 10
32 of 32 100% 34 0 0 102 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 32 94% 32 2 0 96 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 32 78% 27 7 0 81 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 32 63% 22 12 0 66 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 32 59% 21 13 0 63 82% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 32 56% 20 14 0 60 56% 36% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 32 53% 19 15 0 57 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 32 50% 18 16 0 54 3% 17% 33% 29% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 32 47% 17 17 0 51 <1% 1% 7% 19% 31% 26% 12% 3% <1% <1%
14 of 32 44% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 16% 29% 28% 16% 6%
13 of 32 41% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 11% 24% 61%
10 of 32 31% 12 22 0 36 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 32 16% 7 27 0 21 X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 32 0% 2 32 0 6 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs