PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Jun 30 10:30 pm

MLS - Week 19 of 33

LAFC What If?

The LAFC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the LAFC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

LAFC What If?

Next Game - Whitecaps (6‑8‑3)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 12 3 3 39 61% 20% 9% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1%
Current Standings 11 3 3 36 57% 20% 10% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 11 4 3 36 50% 22% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 64% 19% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1%
Current Standings 57% 20% 10% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Worst Case Scenario 49% 22% 12% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Best Case Scenario
   LAFC beats Whitecaps
   Minnesota United beats Real Salt Lake
   Timbers beats Nashville SC
Worst Case Scenario
   Whitecaps beats LAFC
   Real Salt Lake beats Minnesota United
   Nashville SC beats Timbers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
17 of 17 100% 28 3 3 87 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 17 94% 27 4 3 84 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 of 17 88% 26 5 3 81 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 17 82% 25 6 3 78 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 17 76% 24 7 3 75 95% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 17 71% 23 8 3 72 86% 14% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
11 of 17 65% 22 9 3 69 67% 30% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
10 of 17 59% 21 10 3 66 42% 46% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
9 of 17 53% 20 11 3 63 18% 46% 29% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1%
8 of 17 47% 19 12 3 60 4% 25% 41% 24% 5% <1% <1% <1%
7 of 17 41% 18 13 3 57 <1% 6% 25% 38% 23% 6% 1% <1%
6 of 17 35% 17 14 3 54 <1% <1% 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
5 of 17 29% 16 15 3 51 <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 33% 31% 17%
4 of 17 24% 15 16 3 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 28% 60%
3 of 17 18% 14 17 3 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 94%
2 of 17 12% 13 18 3 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 17 6% 12 19 3 39 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 17 0% 11 20 3 36 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs