The Minnesota United What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Minnesota United play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 10 | 10 | 6 | 36 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 24% | 25% | 15% |
Current Standings | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 29% | 25% |
Lose Next Game | 9 | 11 | 6 | 33 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 35% | 35% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 25% | 23% | 12% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 29% | 25% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 31% | 42% |
Best Case Scenario Minnesota United beats Sounders D.C. United beats FC Dallas St. Louis City SC beats Timbers |
Worst Case Scenario Sounders beats Minnesota United FC Dallas beats D.C. United Timbers beats St. Louis City SC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
9 of 9 | 100% | 18 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 1% | 17% | 45% | 34% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | <1% | 1% | 15% | 54% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
7 of 9 | 78% | 16 | 12 | 6 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 20% | 42% | 30% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 9 | 67% | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 35% | 38% | 14% | 1% | <1% |
5 of 9 | 56% | 14 | 14 | 6 | 48 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 28% | 46% | 20% | 1% |
4 of 9 | 44% | 13 | 15 | 6 | 45 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 26% | 56% | 16% |
3 of 9 | 33% | 12 | 16 | 6 | 42 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 44% | 53% |
2 of 9 | 22% | 11 | 17 | 6 | 39 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 13% | 87% |
1 of 9 | 11% | 10 | 18 | 6 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 99% |
0 of 9 | 0% | 9 | 19 | 6 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |