The Minnesota United What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Minnesota United play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 65% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 7 | 7 | 25 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 76% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 8 | 7 | 25 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 81% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 63% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 76% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 83% |
|
Best Case Scenario FC Cincinnati beats Sounders Orlando City SC beats Real Salt Lake Minnesota United beats Earthquakes |
Worst Case Scenario Sounders beats FC Cincinnati Real Salt Lake beats Orlando City SC Earthquakes beats Minnesota United |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 14 of 14 | 100% | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 32% | 65% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 14 | 93% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 14% | 69% | 17% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 12 of 14 | 86% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | 3% | 44% | 41% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 14 | 79% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | <1% | 11% | 37% | 36% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 14 | 71% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | 1% | 8% | 29% | 38% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 14 | 64% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 35% | 31% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
| 8 of 14 | 57% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 25% | 35% | 24% | 9% |
| 7 of 14 | 50% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 33% | 52% |
| 6 of 14 | 43% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
| 5 of 14 | 36% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 4 of 14 | 29% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 14 | 21% | 9 | 18 | 7 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 14 | 14% | 8 | 19 | 7 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 1 of 14 | 7% | 7 | 20 | 7 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 14 | 0% | 6 | 21 | 7 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |