The Minnesota United What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Minnesota United play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 16 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 25% | 35% | 33% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 15 | 6 | 9 | 54 | 17% | 30% | 40% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 15 | 7 | 9 | 54 | 4% | 20% | 50% | 24% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 47% | 30% | 18% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 17% | 30% | 40% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 12% | 58% | 26% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Atlanta United beats San Diego FC Minnesota United beats Fire Sporting KC beats Whitecaps |
Worst Case Scenario San Diego FC beats Atlanta United Fire beats Minnesota United Whitecaps beats Sporting KC |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 19 | 6 | 9 | 66 | 62% | 33% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 17% | 46% | 35% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 1% | 17% | 62% | 20% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 16 | 9 | 9 | 57 | <1% | 1% | 42% | 53% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 15 | 10 | 9 | 54 | X | <1% | 13% | 60% | 27% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |