The Most Important Games for the NY City FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the NY City FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. NY City FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
NY City FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| NY City FC (8‑10‑8) vs Atlanta United (7‑14‑5) |
64 | NY City FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 36% | ||
| CF Montréal (5‑15‑6) vs FC Cincinnati (8‑8‑9) |
13 | CF Montréal Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 26% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (12‑6‑8) vs Red Bull (9‑11‑6) |
9 | St. Louis City SC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 27% | ||
| Nashville SC (17‑3‑6) vs Toronto FC (6‑9‑11) |
8 | Nashville SC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 27% | ||
| Whitecaps (15‑6‑4) vs D.C. United (6‑8‑11) |
6 | Whitecaps Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Union (10‑10‑6) vs Orlando City SC (10‑12‑4) |
3 | Union Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (12‑4‑9) vs Crew (7‑14‑5) |
1 | Inter Miami CF Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% | ||
| Crew Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% | ||
| Charlotte FC (12‑7‑7) vs Fire (11‑8‑6) |
1 | Charlotte FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% | ||
| Fire Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 23% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (8‑12‑5) vs Revolution (14‑7‑4) |
0 | Real Salt Lake Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% | ||
| Revolution Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 24% | ||
| San Diego FC (8‑11‑6) vs Inter Miami CF (12‑4‑9) |
0 | San Diego FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 24% | ||