The Most Important Games for the NY City FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the NY City FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. NY City FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
NY City FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| NY City FC (8‑10‑9) vs Fire (12‑8‑6) |
65 | NY City FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 32% | 20% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 26% | ||
| Fire Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 22% | 17% | 33% | ||
| Atlanta United (7‑14‑6) vs FC Cincinnati (8‑9‑9) |
11 | Atlanta United Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 11% | 27% | 20% | 15% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 26% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 27% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (12‑5‑10) vs D.C. United (6‑8‑12) |
10 | Inter Miami CF Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 27% | 21% | 15% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 26% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 10% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 28% | ||
| San Diego FC (8‑11‑8) vs Red Bull (9‑12‑6) |
9 | San Diego FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 10% | 26% | 22% | 16% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 26% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 10% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 28% | ||
| Crew (8‑14‑5) vs Orlando City SC (10‑13‑4) |
7 | Crew Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 11% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 26% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 27% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (9‑13‑5) vs Union (11‑10‑6) |
6 | Real Salt Lake Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 26% | ||
| Union Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 26% | 22% | 16% | 26% | ||
| CF Montréal (6‑15‑6) vs Toronto FC (6‑10‑11) |
3 | CF Montréal Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 26% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 27% | ||
| Whitecaps (15‑6‑5) vs Fire (12‑8‑6) |
2 | Whitecaps Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 26% | ||
| Fire Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 26% | 22% | 16% | 26% | ||
| Charlotte FC (12‑8‑7) vs FC Dallas (13‑6‑8) |
2 | Charlotte FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 26% | 21% | 16% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 26% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 26% | ||
| Revolution (14‑9‑4) vs Sounders (10‑9‑8) |
1 | Revolution Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 26% | 21% | 16% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 26% | ||
| Sounders Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Austin FC (7‑10‑10) vs Nashville SC (18‑3‑6) |
0 | Austin FC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 26% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 26% | ||