The Most Important Games for the NY City FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the NY City FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. NY City FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
NY City FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| NY City FC (5‑5‑2) vs Red Bulls (5‑4‑3) |
37 | NY City FC Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 43% | ||
| NY City FC (5‑5‑2) vs D.C. United (3‑6‑3) |
33 | NY City FC Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 44% | ||
| Charlotte FC (6‑5‑1) vs Orlando City SC (4‑2‑6) |
4 | Charlotte FC Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Toronto FC (2‑6‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (8‑3‑1) |
4 | Toronto FC Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 38% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (5‑6‑1) vs Revolution (5‑4‑2) |
2 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Revolution Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 37% | ||
| D.C. United (3‑6‑3) vs Nashville SC (6‑4‑2) |
2 | D.C. United Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 37% | ||
| Austin FC (5‑6‑1) vs Atlanta United (2‑6‑4) |
2 | Austin FC Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 37% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (5‑6‑1) vs Inter Miami CF (6‑2‑3) |
2 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Union (7‑3‑2) vs Atlanta United (2‑6‑4) |
1 | Union Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Crew (7‑1‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (8‑3‑1) |
1 | Crew Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Galaxy (0‑9‑3) vs Union (7‑3‑2) |
1 | Galaxy Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Union Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 37% | ||
| Nashville SC (6‑4‑2) vs Red Bulls (5‑4‑3) |
1 | Nashville SC Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 38% | ||
| CF Montréal (1‑8‑3) vs Crew (7‑1‑4) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Crew Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 36% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (6‑2‑3) vs Orlando City SC (4‑2‑6) |
0 | Inter Miami CF Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 38% | ||
| CF Montréal (1‑8‑3) vs Toronto FC (2‑6‑4) |
0 | CF Montréal Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 38% | ||
| Charlotte FC (6‑5‑1) vs Fire (4‑4‑4) |
0 | Charlotte FC Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 37% | ||
| Fire Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 38% | ||