The NY City FC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the NY City FC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 23% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 21% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 13% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 15% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 17% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 25% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Standings | 21% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 13% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 14% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 17% |
|
Best Case Scenario NY City FC beats Atlanta United Crew beats Union |
Worst Case Scenario Atlanta United beats NY City FC Union beats Crew |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 18 of 18 | 100% | 26 | 4 | 4 | 82 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 18 | 94% | 25 | 5 | 4 | 79 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 18 | 89% | 24 | 6 | 4 | 76 | 96% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 18 | 83% | 23 | 7 | 4 | 73 | 88% | 12% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 18 | 78% | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 72% | 26% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 18 | 72% | 21 | 9 | 4 | 67 | 50% | 41% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 12 of 18 | 67% | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64 | 27% | 46% | 24% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 18 | 61% | 19 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 9% | 34% | 40% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 18 | 56% | 18 | 12 | 4 | 58 | 2% | 14% | 35% | 35% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 18 | 50% | 17 | 13 | 4 | 55 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 33% | 34% | 15% | 3% | <1% |
| 8 of 18 | 44% | 16 | 14 | 4 | 52 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 29% | 36% | 20% | 5% |
| 7 of 18 | 39% | 15 | 15 | 4 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 35% | 35% |
| 6 of 18 | 33% | 14 | 16 | 4 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 82% |
| 5 of 18 | 28% | 13 | 17 | 4 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
| 4 of 18 | 22% | 12 | 18 | 4 | 40 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 18 | 17% | 11 | 19 | 4 | 37 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 18 | 11% | 10 | 20 | 4 | 34 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 1 of 18 | 6% | 9 | 21 | 4 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 18 | 0% | 8 | 22 | 4 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |