PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Mar 25 5:45 pm

MLS - Week 6 of 35

Rapids What If?

The Rapids What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rapids play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Rapids What If?

Next Game - Charlotte FC (3‑1‑1)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 3 1 2 11 8% 10% 10% 10% 9% 10% 8% 9% 7% 20%
Current Standings 2 1 2 8 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 25%
Lose Next Game 2 2 2 8 5% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 27%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 8% 10% 10% 10% 9% 10% 8% 9% 7% 20%
Current Standings 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 25%
Worst Case Scenario 5% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 27%
Best Case Scenario
   Rapids beats Charlotte FC
Worst Case Scenario
   Charlotte FC beats Rapids
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
29 of 29 100% 31 1 2 95 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 29 86% 27 5 2 83 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 29 83% 26 6 2 80 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
23 of 29 79% 25 7 2 77 75% 23% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
22 of 29 76% 24 8 2 74 58% 37% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
21 of 29 72% 23 9 2 71 39% 46% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 29 69% 22 10 2 68 22% 46% 26% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 29 66% 21 11 2 65 10% 35% 37% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 29 62% 20 12 2 62 3% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 29 59% 19 13 2 59 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 29 55% 18 14 2 56 <1% 2% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 29 52% 17 15 2 53 <1% <1% 3% 14% 30% 33% 16% 4% <1% <1%
14 of 29 48% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 33% 31% 13% 3% <1%
13 of 29 45% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
12 of 29 41% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 34% 30% 15%
11 of 29 38% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 35% 42%
10 of 29 34% 12 20 2 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 20% 74%
9 of 29 31% 11 21 2 35 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
5 of 29 17% 7 25 2 23 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 29 0% 2 30 2 8 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs