The Rapids What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rapids play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 20% |
Current Standings | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 25% |
Lose Next Game | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 27% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 20% |
Current Standings | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 25% |
Worst Case Scenario | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 27% |
Best Case Scenario Rapids beats Charlotte FC |
Worst Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats Rapids |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
29 of 29 | 100% | 31 | 1 | 2 | 95 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 29 | 86% | 27 | 5 | 2 | 83 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
24 of 29 | 83% | 26 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 87% | 13% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
23 of 29 | 79% | 25 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 75% | 23% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
22 of 29 | 76% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 58% | 37% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
21 of 29 | 72% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 39% | 46% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
20 of 29 | 69% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 22% | 46% | 26% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
19 of 29 | 66% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 10% | 35% | 37% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
18 of 29 | 62% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | 3% | 20% | 37% | 29% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
17 of 29 | 59% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | 1% | 7% | 26% | 37% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 29 | 55% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | 2% | 10% | 29% | 35% | 19% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 29 | 52% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 30% | 33% | 16% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 29 | 48% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 33% | 31% | 13% | 3% | <1% |
13 of 29 | 45% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 33% | 31% | 13% | 2% |
12 of 29 | 41% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 34% | 30% | 15% |
11 of 29 | 38% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 35% | 42% |
10 of 29 | 34% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 74% |
9 of 29 | 31% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 94% |
5 of 29 | 17% | 7 | 25 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 29 | 0% | 2 | 30 | 2 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |