The Rapids What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rapids play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 12 | 13 | 6 | 42 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 14% | 27% | 38% | 17% | 3% |
Current Standings | 11 | 13 | 6 | 39 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 15% | 31% | 23% | 25% |
Lose Next Game | 11 | 14 | 6 | 39 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 26% | 26% | 37% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 19% | 31% | 34% | 13% | 2% |
Current Standings | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 15% | 31% | 23% | 25% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 27% | 46% |
Best Case Scenario Sounders beats Austin FC Rapids beats FC Dallas LAFC beats Real Salt Lake |
Worst Case Scenario Austin FC beats Sounders FC Dallas beats Rapids Real Salt Lake beats LAFC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
4 of 4 | 100% | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51 | X | X | X | 2% | 23% | 65% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
3 of 4 | 75% | 14 | 14 | 6 | 48 | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 43% | 44% | 11% | <1% | <1% |
2 of 4 | 50% | 13 | 15 | 6 | 45 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 33% | 53% | 9% | <1% |
1 of 4 | 25% | 12 | 16 | 6 | 42 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 28% | 46% | 25% |
0 of 4 | 0% | 11 | 17 | 6 | 39 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 8% | 91% |