The Rapids What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rapids play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 77% |
Current Standings | 2 | 8 | 7 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 82% |
Lose Next Game | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 85% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 77% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 82% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 85% |
Best Case Scenario Rapids beats Orlando City SC |
Worst Case Scenario Orlando City SC beats Rapids |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
17 of 17 | 100% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 9% | 46% | 39% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
16 of 17 | 94% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | 3% | 28% | 49% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 17 | 88% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | <1% | 10% | 39% | 37% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 17 | 82% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | 2% | 16% | 38% | 32% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 17 | 76% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 34% | 32% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 17 | 71% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 30% | 33% | 18% | 5% | 1% |
11 of 17 | 65% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 33% | 24% | 10% |
10 of 17 | 59% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 32% | 44% |
9 of 17 | 53% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 84% |
8 of 17 | 47% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
7 of 17 | 41% | 9 | 18 | 7 | 34 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
6 of 17 | 35% | 8 | 19 | 7 | 31 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
5 of 17 | 29% | 7 | 20 | 7 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
4 of 17 | 24% | 6 | 21 | 7 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
3 of 17 | 18% | 5 | 22 | 7 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
2 of 17 | 12% | 4 | 23 | 7 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
1 of 17 | 6% | 3 | 24 | 7 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 17 | 0% | 2 | 25 | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |