The Rapids What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rapids play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 1% | 5% | 14% | 32% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 12 | 9 | 5 | 41 | <1% | 3% | 9% | 26% | 24% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
Lose Next Game | 12 | 10 | 5 | 41 | <1% | 1% | 5% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 3% | 10% | 31% | 26% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
Current Standings | <1% | 3% | 9% | 26% | 24% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 3% | 9% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
Best Case Scenario Toronto FC beats Dynamo St. Louis City SC beats Timbers |
Worst Case Scenario Dynamo beats Toronto FC Timbers beats St. Louis City SC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
8 of 8 | 100% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 29% | 51% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 8 | 88% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 5% | 32% | 47% | 16% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 8 | 75% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | <1% | 6% | 35% | 52% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
5 of 8 | 63% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 55% | 33% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 8 | 50% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 45% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
3 of 8 | 38% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 37% | 38% | 11% | 1% | <1% |
2 of 8 | 25% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 28% | 44% | 20% | 2% |
1 of 8 | 13% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 21% | 49% | 28% |
0 of 8 | 0% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 78% |