The Rapids What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rapids play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 6% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
Current Standings | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 6% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 12% |
Lose Next Game | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 4% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 6% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
Current Standings | 6% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 12% |
Worst Case Scenario | 4% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 15% |
Best Case Scenario Rapids beats D.C. United |
Worst Case Scenario D.C. United beats Rapids |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
24 of 24 | 100% | 28 | 2 | 4 | 88 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
22 of 24 | 92% | 26 | 4 | 4 | 82 | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
21 of 24 | 88% | 25 | 5 | 4 | 79 | 81% | 19% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 24 | 83% | 24 | 6 | 4 | 76 | 68% | 32% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 24 | 79% | 23 | 7 | 4 | 73 | 52% | 46% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
18 of 24 | 75% | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 37% | 57% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
17 of 24 | 71% | 21 | 9 | 4 | 67 | 22% | 61% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 24 | 67% | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64 | 10% | 55% | 30% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 24 | 63% | 19 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 3% | 37% | 43% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 24 | 58% | 18 | 12 | 4 | 58 | 1% | 16% | 40% | 32% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 24 | 54% | 17 | 13 | 4 | 55 | <1% | 4% | 22% | 38% | 27% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 24 | 50% | 16 | 14 | 4 | 52 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 35% | 26% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 24 | 46% | 15 | 15 | 4 | 49 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 33% | 28% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
10 of 24 | 42% | 14 | 16 | 4 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 30% | 32% | 16% | 4% |
9 of 24 | 38% | 13 | 17 | 4 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 26% | 34% | 29% |
8 of 24 | 33% | 12 | 18 | 4 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 21% | 72% |
5 of 24 | 21% | 9 | 21 | 4 | 31 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 24 | 0% | 4 | 26 | 4 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |