The Red Bulls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Red Bulls play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 27% |
| Current Standings | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 32% |
| Lose Next Game | 7 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 3% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 39% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 22% |
| Current Standings | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 32% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 46% |
|
Best Case Scenario Fire beats Union Red Bulls beats Atlanta United Red Bulls beats Sporting KC |
Worst Case Scenario Union beats Fire Atlanta United beats Red Bulls Sporting KC beats Red Bulls |
|||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 17 of 17 | 100% | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77 | 99% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 17 | 94% | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74 | 91% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 17 | 88% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 75% | 23% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 17 | 82% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 52% | 38% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 13 of 17 | 76% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 27% | 45% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 17 | 71% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 9% | 34% | 38% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 17 | 65% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | 2% | 13% | 34% | 35% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 17 | 59% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 33% | 34% | 15% | 3% | <1% |
| 9 of 17 | 53% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 29% | 35% | 19% | 5% |
| 8 of 17 | 47% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 24% | 36% | 31% |
| 7 of 17 | 41% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 75% |
| 6 of 17 | 35% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 96% |
| 5 of 17 | 29% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 4 of 17 | 24% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 17 | 18% | 10 | 19 | 5 | 35 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 17 | 12% | 9 | 20 | 5 | 32 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 1 of 17 | 6% | 8 | 21 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 17 | 0% | 7 | 22 | 5 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |