The Red Bulls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Red Bulls play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 12 | 11 | 7 | 43 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 37% | 40% |
Current Standings | 11 | 11 | 7 | 40 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 30% | 57% |
Lose Next Game | 11 | 12 | 7 | 40 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 25% | 68% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 33% | 52% |
Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 30% | 57% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 21% | 68% |
Best Case Scenario Inter Miami CF beats Fire |
Worst Case Scenario Fire beats Inter Miami CF |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
5 of 5 | 100% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 33% | 44% | 14% | 1% | <1% |
4 of 5 | 80% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 49% | 29% | 3% |
3 of 5 | 60% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 56% | 33% |
2 of 5 | 40% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 26% | 74% |
1 of 5 | 20% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 95% |
0 of 5 | 0% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |