The Red Bulls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Red Bulls play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 9 | 8 | 6 | 33 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 25% |
Current Standings | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 34% |
Lose Next Game | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 47% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 14% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 34% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 57% |
Best Case Scenario Red Bulls beats Revolution CF Montréal beats Fire Red Bulls beats Inter Miami CF |
Worst Case Scenario Revolution beats Red Bulls Fire beats CF Montréal Inter Miami CF beats Red Bulls |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
12 of 12 | 100% | 20 | 8 | 6 | 66 | 27% | 46% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 12 | 92% | 19 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 5% | 26% | 43% | 23% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
10 of 12 | 83% | 18 | 10 | 6 | 60 | <1% | 4% | 23% | 42% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 12 | 75% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 42% | 30% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 12 | 67% | 16 | 12 | 6 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 44% | 31% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
7 of 12 | 58% | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 39% | 33% | 11% | 1% |
6 of 12 | 50% | 14 | 14 | 6 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 35% | 37% | 15% |
5 of 12 | 42% | 13 | 15 | 6 | 45 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 35% | 54% |
4 of 12 | 33% | 12 | 16 | 6 | 42 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 89% |
3 of 12 | 25% | 11 | 17 | 6 | 39 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
2 of 12 | 17% | 10 | 18 | 6 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 12 | 8% | 9 | 19 | 6 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 12 | 0% | 8 | 20 | 6 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |