The Red Bulls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Red Bulls play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 19% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
Current Standings | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 8% |
Lose Next Game | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 9% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 19% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
Current Standings | 16% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 8% |
Worst Case Scenario | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 9% |
Best Case Scenario Red Bulls beats LAFC |
Worst Case Scenario LAFC beats Red Bulls |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
26 of 26 | 100% | 30 | 1 | 3 | 93 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 26 | 96% | 29 | 2 | 3 | 90 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
22 of 26 | 85% | 26 | 5 | 3 | 81 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
21 of 26 | 81% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 88% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 26 | 77% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 77% | 22% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 26 | 73% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 59% | 36% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
18 of 26 | 69% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 39% | 47% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
17 of 26 | 65% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 20% | 47% | 27% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 26 | 62% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 8% | 34% | 40% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 26 | 58% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | 2% | 16% | 37% | 32% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 26 | 54% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 4% | 20% | 36% | 29% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 26 | 50% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | 1% | 6% | 21% | 36% | 27% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 26 | 46% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 35% | 27% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
11 of 26 | 42% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 18% | 33% | 29% | 12% | 3% |
10 of 26 | 38% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 31% | 32% | 19% |
9 of 26 | 35% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 30% | 55% |
8 of 26 | 31% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 88% |
5 of 26 | 19% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 26 | 0% | 4 | 27 | 3 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |