The Red Bulls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Red Bulls play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 11 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 1% | 7% | 26% | 45% | 15% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 10 | 4 | 11 | 41 | <1% | 4% | 18% | 39% | 22% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 10 | 5 | 11 | 41 | <1% | 2% | 12% | 33% | 28% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 1% | 7% | 26% | 45% | 15% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | <1% | 4% | 18% | 39% | 22% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 12% | 33% | 28% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Red Bulls beats Charlotte FC |
Worst Case Scenario Charlotte FC beats Red Bulls |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
9 of 9 | 100% | 19 | 4 | 11 | 68 | 27% | 57% | 15% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 6% | 42% | 46% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 9 | 78% | 17 | 6 | 11 | 62 | <1% | 14% | 57% | 29% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 9 | 67% | 16 | 7 | 11 | 59 | <1% | 2% | 33% | 60% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 9 | 56% | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 60% | 29% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
4 of 9 | 44% | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53 | X | <1% | 1% | 25% | 48% | 25% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
3 of 9 | 33% | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 26% | 53% | 16% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
2 of 9 | 22% | 12 | 11 | 11 | 47 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 39% | 48% | 9% | <1% | <1% |
1 of 9 | 11% | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 37% | 39% | 15% | 2% |
0 of 9 | 0% | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 37% | 42% |