The Red Bulls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Red Bulls play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 9 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 15% |
Current Standings | 8 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 21% |
Lose Next Game | 8 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 26% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 14% |
Current Standings | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 21% |
Worst Case Scenario | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 27% |
Best Case Scenario Whitecaps beats Crew Red Bulls beats Austin FC |
Worst Case Scenario Crew beats Whitecaps Austin FC beats Red Bulls |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
17 of 17 | 100% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 17 | 94% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 99% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 17 | 88% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 93% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 17 | 82% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 78% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
13 of 17 | 76% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 48% | 41% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
12 of 17 | 71% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 18% | 43% | 31% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 17 | 65% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | 3% | 18% | 38% | 29% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 17 | 59% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 32% | 33% | 16% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 17 | 53% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 22% | 34% | 25% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
8 of 17 | 47% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 29% | 33% | 18% | 4% |
7 of 17 | 41% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 37% | 32% |
6 of 17 | 35% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 21% | 75% |
5 of 17 | 29% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 96% |
4 of 17 | 24% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 17 | 18% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 17 | 12% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 17 | 6% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 17 | 0% | 8 | 23 | 3 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |