The Most Important Games for the Sounders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Sounders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Sounders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Sounders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Sounders (7‑9‑6) vs Galaxy (7‑9‑8) |
31 | Sounders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Galaxy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% | ||
| Sounders (7‑9‑6) vs Sporting KC (4‑16‑3) |
22 | Sounders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Sporting KC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Union (7‑10‑6) vs San Diego FC (8‑9‑6) |
5 | Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 81% | ||
| Austin FC (6‑10‑7) vs Rapids (10‑12‑1) |
4 | Austin FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Rapids Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 81% | ||
| NY City FC (7‑8‑8) vs Real Salt Lake (8‑9‑5) |
3 | NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 81% | ||
| CF Montréal (5‑12‑6) vs Rapids (10‑12‑1) |
3 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Rapids Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 80% | ||
| FC Dallas (10‑6‑7) vs Timbers (9‑10‑4) |
3 | FC Dallas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Timbers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 81% | ||
| Sporting KC (4‑16‑3) vs LAFC (10‑7‑7) |
2 | Sporting KC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| LAFC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (10‑6‑7) vs Timbers (9‑10‑4) |
2 | St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Timbers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 81% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (10‑6‑7) vs Minnesota United (7‑8‑8) |
2 | St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 81% | ||
| Dynamo (11‑7‑4) vs Real Salt Lake (8‑9‑5) |
2 | Dynamo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 81% | ||
| Whitecaps (13‑5‑4) vs Galaxy (7‑9‑8) |
2 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Galaxy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 81% | ||
| FC Dallas (10‑6‑7) vs Minnesota United (7‑8‑8) |
2 | FC Dallas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 81% | ||
| Dynamo (11‑7‑4) vs EarthquakesEarthquaks (10‑8‑5) |
2 | Dynamo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (10‑8‑5) vs San Diego FC (8‑9‑6) |
1 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 79% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 81% | ||
| Red Bull (7‑10‑6) vs LAFC (10‑7‑7) |
1 | Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| LAFC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Whitecaps (13‑5‑4) vs Austin FC (6‑10‑7) |
1 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 80% | ||