The Sounders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sounders play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 32% |
Current Standings | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 33% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 38% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 31% |
Current Standings | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 33% |
Worst Case Scenario | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 38% |
Best Case Scenario Galaxy beats Minnesota United Sounders beats Dynamo |
Worst Case Scenario Minnesota United beats Galaxy Dynamo beats Sounders |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
30 of 30 | 100% | 31 | 2 | 1 | 94 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
27 of 30 | 90% | 28 | 5 | 1 | 85 | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
26 of 30 | 87% | 27 | 6 | 1 | 82 | 76% | 23% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
25 of 30 | 83% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | 59% | 36% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
24 of 30 | 80% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 40% | 45% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
23 of 30 | 77% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 23% | 46% | 26% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
22 of 30 | 73% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | 11% | 37% | 37% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
21 of 30 | 70% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | 4% | 23% | 40% | 26% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
20 of 30 | 67% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | 1% | 11% | 32% | 37% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
19 of 30 | 63% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | <1% | 4% | 18% | 37% | 30% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
18 of 30 | 60% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 26% | 37% | 23% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
17 of 30 | 57% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 31% | 34% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 30 | 53% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 35% | 31% | 11% | 2% | <1% |
15 of 30 | 50% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 37% | 26% | 8% | 1% |
14 of 30 | 47% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 26% | 37% | 22% | 6% |
13 of 30 | 43% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 36% | 22% |
12 of 30 | 40% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 32% | 51% |
11 of 30 | 37% | 12 | 21 | 1 | 37 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 80% |
10 of 30 | 33% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 95% |
5 of 30 | 17% | 6 | 27 | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 30 | 0% | 1 | 32 | 1 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |