The Sounders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sounders play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 3% | 8% | 14% | 22% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Current Standings | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 3% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
Lose Next Game | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 1% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 28% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 5% | 11% | 18% | 24% | 27% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 3% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 5% |
Best Case Scenario Sounders beats Rapids Sounders beats Earthquakes |
Worst Case Scenario Rapids beats Sounders Earthquakes beats Sounders |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
13 of 13 | 100% | 22 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 13 | 92% | 21 | 7 | 6 | 69 | 81% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 13 | 85% | 20 | 8 | 6 | 66 | 52% | 40% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
10 of 13 | 77% | 19 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 21% | 46% | 27% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
9 of 13 | 69% | 18 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 4% | 25% | 42% | 24% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
8 of 13 | 62% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | <1% | 6% | 26% | 44% | 23% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 13 | 54% | 16 | 12 | 6 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 33% | 49% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 13 | 46% | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 47% | 35% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 13 | 38% | 14 | 14 | 6 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 40% | 33% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
4 of 13 | 31% | 13 | 15 | 6 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 34% | 35% | 16% | 3% |
3 of 13 | 23% | 12 | 16 | 6 | 42 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 22% | 37% | 35% |
2 of 13 | 15% | 11 | 17 | 6 | 39 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% |
1 of 13 | 8% | 10 | 18 | 6 | 36 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 13 | 0% | 9 | 19 | 6 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |