PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 26 1:15 am

MLS - Week 6 of 35

Sounders What If?

The Sounders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sounders play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sounders What If?

Next Game - Galaxy (0‑1‑3)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 4 1 1 13 12% 13% 11% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 17%
Current Standings 3 1 1 10 11% 13% 10% 9% 8% 7% 8% 7% 7% 20%
Lose Next Game 3 2 1 10 9% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 22%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario 12% 13% 11% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 17%
Current Standings 11% 13% 10% 9% 8% 7% 8% 7% 7% 20%
Worst Case Scenario 9% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 22%
Best Case Scenario
   Sounders beats Galaxy
Worst Case Scenario
   Galaxy beats Sounders
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
29 of 29 100% 32 1 1 97 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 29 93% 30 3 1 91 95% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 29 90% 29 4 1 88 85% 15% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 29 86% 28 5 1 85 71% 28% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 29 83% 27 6 1 82 54% 40% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 29 79% 26 7 1 79 37% 49% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
22 of 29 76% 25 8 1 76 21% 49% 26% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 29 72% 24 9 1 73 10% 38% 39% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 29 69% 23 10 1 70 3% 23% 42% 27% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 29 66% 22 11 1 67 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 29 62% 21 12 1 64 <1% 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 29 59% 20 13 1 61 <1% 1% 7% 26% 38% 22% 5% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 29 55% 19 14 1 58 <1% <1% 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% <1% <1%
15 of 29 52% 18 15 1 55 <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1% <1%
14 of 29 48% 17 16 1 52 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
13 of 29 45% 16 17 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 4%
12 of 29 41% 15 18 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 19% 35% 28% 12%
11 of 29 38% 14 19 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 26% 35% 28%
10 of 29 34% 13 20 1 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 32% 51%
9 of 29 31% 12 21 1 37 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 21% 74%
8 of 29 28% 11 22 1 34 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
5 of 29 17% 8 25 1 25 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 29 0% 3 30 1 10 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs