PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 24 1:00 am

MLS - Week 6 of 35

Sounders What If?

The Sounders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sounders play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sounders What If?

Next Game - Galaxy (2‑0‑3)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Win Next Game 1 2 2 5 <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 75%
Current Standings 0 2 2 2 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 6% 80%
Lose Next Game 0 3 2 2 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 6% 81%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Best Case Scenario <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 75%
Current Standings <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 6% 80%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 6% 81%
Best Case Scenario
   Sounders beats Galaxy
Worst Case Scenario
   Galaxy beats Sounders
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
30 of 30 100% 30 2 2 92 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 30 90% 27 5 2 83 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 30 87% 26 6 2 80 84% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 25 7 2 77 70% 28% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
24 of 30 80% 24 8 2 74 53% 40% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
23 of 30 77% 23 9 2 71 35% 47% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
22 of 30 73% 22 10 2 68 19% 45% 29% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 30 70% 21 11 2 65 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 30 67% 20 12 2 62 2% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 30 63% 19 13 2 59 <1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 30 60% 18 14 2 56 <1% 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 30 57% 17 15 2 53 <1% <1% 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% <1% <1%
16 of 30 53% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% <1%
15 of 30 50% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
14 of 30 47% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 8%
13 of 30 43% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 26% 37% 28%
12 of 30 40% 12 20 2 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 31% 58%
11 of 30 37% 11 21 2 35 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 84%
10 of 30 33% 10 22 2 32 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 96%
5 of 30 17% 5 27 2 17 X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 30 0% 0 32 2 2 X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs