The Sounders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sounders play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Win Next Game | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 2% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 40% |
Current Standings | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 46% |
Lose Next Game | 7 | 8 | 2 | 23 | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 52% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Best Case Scenario | 2% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 40% |
Current Standings | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 46% |
Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 52% |
Best Case Scenario Sounders beats Toronto FC |
Worst Case Scenario Toronto FC beats Sounders |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
18 of 18 | 100% | 25 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 88% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 18 | 94% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 74% | 25% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 18 | 89% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 53% | 43% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 18 | 83% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 31% | 53% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
14 of 18 | 78% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 13% | 49% | 32% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 18 | 72% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | 3% | 28% | 44% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 18 | 67% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | <1% | 9% | 32% | 38% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 18 | 61% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 31% | 36% | 17% | 3% | <1% |
10 of 18 | 56% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 29% | 36% | 19% | 5% |
9 of 18 | 50% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 36% | 30% |
8 of 18 | 44% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 75% |
7 of 18 | 39% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
6 of 18 | 33% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
5 of 18 | 28% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
4 of 18 | 22% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 18 | 17% | 10 | 22 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 18 | 11% | 9 | 23 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
1 of 18 | 6% | 8 | 24 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 18 | 0% | 7 | 25 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |