The Sounders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sounders play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 19% | 8% | 2% |
Current Standings | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 7% |
Lose Next Game | 10 | 9 | 7 | 37 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 24% | 11% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 18% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 2% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 7% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 17% | 24% | 26% | 12% |
Best Case Scenario Sounders beats Minnesota United Toronto FC beats Dynamo St. Louis City SC beats Timbers |
Worst Case Scenario Minnesota United beats Sounders Dynamo beats Toronto FC Timbers beats St. Louis City SC |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
9 of 9 | 100% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 14% | 46% | 33% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | 2% | 18% | 46% | 33% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 9 | 78% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | <1% | 2% | 21% | 59% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
6 of 9 | 67% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 32% | 44% | 19% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 9 | 56% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 22% | 42% | 27% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 9 | 44% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 39% | 37% | 8% | <1% |
3 of 9 | 33% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 42% | 41% | 8% |
2 of 9 | 22% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 49% | 38% |
1 of 9 | 11% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 78% |
0 of 9 | 0% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 97% |