The Sporting KC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sporting KC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 6 | 10 | 5 | 23 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 72% |
Current Standings | 5 | 10 | 5 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 81% |
Lose Next Game | 5 | 11 | 5 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 87% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 71% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 81% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 89% |
Best Case Scenario Minnesota United beats FC Dallas Sporting KC beats Rapids Revolution beats Timbers |
Worst Case Scenario FC Dallas beats Minnesota United Rapids beats Sporting KC Timbers beats Revolution |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
14 of 14 | 100% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 19% | 46% | 30% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
13 of 14 | 93% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | 4% | 24% | 44% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 14 | 86% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | 5% | 26% | 43% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 14 | 79% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 41% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 14 | 71% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 40% | 24% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 14 | 64% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 37% | 29% | 8% | 1% |
8 of 14 | 57% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 34% | 34% | 15% |
7 of 14 | 50% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 62% |
6 of 14 | 43% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 95% |
5 of 14 | 36% | 10 | 19 | 5 | 35 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
4 of 14 | 29% | 9 | 20 | 5 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 14 | 21% | 8 | 21 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 14 | 14% | 7 | 22 | 5 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
1 of 14 | 7% | 6 | 23 | 5 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 14 | 0% | 5 | 24 | 5 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |