The Most Important Games for the Timbers are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Timbers final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Timbers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Timbers Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Timbers (9‑5‑6) vs St. Louis City SC (3‑12‑6) |
39 | Timbers Wins | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% | ||
| St. Louis City SC Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 9% | ||
| Revolution (6‑8‑6) vs Austin FC (7‑8‑5) |
5 | Revolution Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Minnesota United (10‑4‑7) vs EarthquakesEarthquaks (7‑7‑7) |
4 | Minnesota United Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 7% | ||
| Sporting KC (6‑10‑5) vs Sounders (8‑6‑6) |
3 | Sporting KC Wins | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Sounders Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Real Salt Lake (6‑10‑4) vs Dynamo (7‑9‑5) |
2 | Real Salt Lake Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Fire (8‑8‑4) vs San Diego FC (12‑6‑3) |
2 | Fire Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 6% | ||
| LAFC (8‑5‑5) vs FC Dallas (5‑9‑6) |
1 | LAFC Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Whitecaps (11‑4‑5) vs Rapids (7‑10‑5) |
1 | Whitecaps Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Rapids Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Galaxy (2‑13‑6) vs D.C. United (4‑10‑7) |
0 | Galaxy Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% | ||