The Most Important Games for the Timbers are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Timbers final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Timbers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Timbers Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Timbers (6‑3‑5) vs Orlando City SC (5‑2‑6) |
34 | Timbers Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 19% | ||
| Galaxy (0‑10‑3) vs LAFC (6‑4‑3) |
4 | Galaxy Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| LAFC Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Galaxy (0‑10‑3) vs San Diego FC (7‑4‑3) |
3 | Galaxy Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Whitecaps (8‑1‑4) vs Real Salt Lake (4‑8‑2) |
3 | Whitecaps Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 18% | ||
| Minnesota United (7‑3‑4) vs Austin FC (5‑6‑3) |
3 | Minnesota United Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Austin FC Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 18% | ||
| CF Montréal (1‑9‑4) vs LAFC (6‑4‑3) |
2 | CF Montréal Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| LAFC Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (2‑7‑5) vs Rapids (5‑5‑4) |
2 | St. Louis City SC Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Rapids Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Revolution (5‑4‑3) vs Sporting KC (3‑8‑3) |
2 | Revolution Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Sporting KC Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 18% | ||
| FC Dallas (4‑5‑4) vs Sounders (5‑4‑5) |
1 | FC Dallas Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Sounders Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (5‑6‑3) vs Dynamo (4‑6‑4) |
1 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 17% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 18% | ||