The Most Important Games for the Timbers are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Timbers final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Timbers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Timbers Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Timbers (10‑9‑8) vs Minnesota United (14‑6‑8) |
56 | Timbers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 46% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 30% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 25% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Sporting KC (6‑15‑6) vs Rapids (10‑12‑6) |
16 | Sporting KC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 33% | 25% | 17% | 11% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 30% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Rapids Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 26% | 23% | 20% | 14% | 13% | ||
| Galaxy (4‑16‑7) vs FC Dallas (7‑11‑9) |
7 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 30% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 30% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 11% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 29% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Sounders (12‑7‑8) vs Real Salt Lake (9‑14‑4) |
7 | Sounders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 31% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 30% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 14% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (5‑16‑6) vs Dynamo (7‑12‑8) |
3 | St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 30% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 30% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 30% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 13% | ||
| Whitecaps (14‑6‑7) vs Orlando City SC (13‑7‑8) |
1 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 30% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 30% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 29% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Austin FC (9‑9‑8) vs EarthquakesEarthquaks (9‑11‑8) |
1 | Austin FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 29% | 26% | 18% | 11% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 30% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 11% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 30% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 12% | ||