The Most Important Games for the Timbers are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Timbers final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Timbers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Timbers Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Timbers (5‑2‑3) vs EarthquakesEarthquaks (3‑6‑1) |
27 | Timbers Wins | 10% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 11% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | 6% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 13% | ||
| D.C. United (2‑5‑3) vs Rapids (4‑2‑4) |
2 | D.C. United Wins | 8% | 20% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 11% | ||
| Rapids Wins | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 11% | ||
| Austin FC (5‑4‑1) vs Minnesota United (4‑2‑4) |
1 | Austin FC Wins | 8% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 11% | ||
| Minnesota United Wins | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 11% | ||
| Galaxy (0‑7‑3) vs Sporting KC (2‑7‑1) |
1 | Galaxy Wins | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 11% | ||
| Sporting KC Wins | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 12% | ||
| Dynamo (2‑4‑4) vs LAFC (4‑4‑2) |
1 | Dynamo Wins | 8% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 11% | ||
| LAFC Wins | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 11% | ||
| FC Dallas (4‑3‑3) vs San Diego FC (4‑4‑2) |
1 | FC Dallas Wins | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 11% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | 8% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 12% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (2‑4‑4) vs Sounders (3‑3‑4) |
1 | St. Louis City SC Wins | 8% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 11% | ||
| Sounders Wins | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 12% | ||
| Whitecaps (7‑1‑2) vs Real Salt Lake (4‑6) |
0 | Whitecaps Wins | 8% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 11% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | 10% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ||