The Timbers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Timbers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 11 | 9 | 6 | 39 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 4% |
Current Standings | 10 | 9 | 6 | 36 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 7% |
Lose Next Game | 10 | 10 | 6 | 36 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 17% | 12% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 4% |
Current Standings | <1% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 7% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 13% |
Best Case Scenario LAFC beats Whitecaps Toronto FC beats Dynamo Timbers beats St. Louis City SC |
Worst Case Scenario Whitecaps beats LAFC Dynamo beats Toronto FC St. Louis City SC beats Timbers |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
9 of 9 | 100% | 19 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 16% | 52% | 28% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 18 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 2% | 19% | 46% | 32% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
7 of 9 | 78% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | <1% | 1% | 17% | 57% | 22% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
6 of 9 | 67% | 16 | 12 | 6 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 25% | 45% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 9 | 56% | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 42% | 32% | 7% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 9 | 44% | 14 | 14 | 6 | 48 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 37% | 40% | 12% | 1% |
3 of 9 | 33% | 13 | 15 | 6 | 45 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 35% | 43% | 16% |
2 of 9 | 22% | 12 | 16 | 6 | 42 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 33% | 60% |
1 of 9 | 11% | 11 | 17 | 6 | 39 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 93% |
0 of 9 | 0% | 10 | 18 | 6 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |