The Timbers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Timbers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 8% |
Current Standings | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 11% |
Lose Next Game | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 6% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 13% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 10% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 8% |
Current Standings | 8% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 11% |
Worst Case Scenario | 6% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 13% |
Best Case Scenario Timbers beats Earthquakes |
Worst Case Scenario Earthquakes beats Timbers |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
24 of 24 | 100% | 29 | 2 | 3 | 90 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
22 of 24 | 92% | 27 | 4 | 3 | 84 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
21 of 24 | 88% | 26 | 5 | 3 | 81 | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 24 | 83% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 79% | 21% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 24 | 79% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 66% | 34% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 24 | 75% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 51% | 48% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
17 of 24 | 71% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 34% | 59% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
16 of 24 | 67% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | 19% | 62% | 17% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 24 | 63% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | 8% | 52% | 33% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 24 | 58% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | 2% | 31% | 44% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 24 | 54% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | 12% | 35% | 35% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 24 | 50% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | 2% | 16% | 34% | 31% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 24 | 46% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 31% | 32% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 24 | 42% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 28% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 1% |
9 of 24 | 38% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 23% | 34% | 24% | 9% |
8 of 24 | 33% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 33% | 44% |
7 of 24 | 29% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 84% |
5 of 24 | 21% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 24 | 0% | 5 | 26 | 3 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |