The Timbers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Timbers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 77% |
Current Standings | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 7 | 7 | 16 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 77% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 86% |
Best Case Scenario Timbers beats Rapids |
Worst Case Scenario Rapids beats Timbers |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
18 of 18 | 100% | 21 | 6 | 7 | 70 | 52% | 40% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
17 of 18 | 94% | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 27% | 47% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
16 of 18 | 89% | 19 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 10% | 36% | 38% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
15 of 18 | 83% | 18 | 9 | 7 | 61 | 2% | 16% | 37% | 32% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 18 | 78% | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58 | <1% | 3% | 17% | 35% | 31% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
13 of 18 | 72% | 16 | 11 | 7 | 55 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 34% | 32% | 13% | 2% |
12 of 18 | 67% | 15 | 12 | 7 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 31% | 33% | 21% |
11 of 18 | 61% | 14 | 13 | 7 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 27% | 63% |
10 of 18 | 56% | 13 | 14 | 7 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
9 of 18 | 50% | 12 | 15 | 7 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
8 of 18 | 44% | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
7 of 18 | 39% | 10 | 17 | 7 | 37 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
6 of 18 | 33% | 9 | 18 | 7 | 34 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
5 of 18 | 28% | 8 | 19 | 7 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
4 of 18 | 22% | 7 | 20 | 7 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
3 of 18 | 17% | 6 | 21 | 7 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
2 of 18 | 11% | 5 | 22 | 7 | 22 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
1 of 18 | 6% | 4 | 23 | 7 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 18 | 0% | 3 | 24 | 7 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |