The Timbers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Timbers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 7% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 13% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 16% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 6% |
| Current Standings | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 13% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 18% |
|
Best Case Scenario Sporting KC beats Rapids Red Bulls beats Earthquakes Timbers beats Revolution |
Worst Case Scenario Rapids beats Sporting KC Earthquakes beats Red Bulls Revolution beats Timbers |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 15 of 15 | 100% | 23 | 5 | 6 | 75 | 97% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 15 | 93% | 22 | 6 | 6 | 72 | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 15 | 87% | 21 | 7 | 6 | 69 | 72% | 27% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 15 | 80% | 20 | 8 | 6 | 66 | 43% | 47% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 15 | 73% | 19 | 9 | 6 | 63 | 17% | 48% | 31% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 10 of 15 | 67% | 18 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 3% | 25% | 46% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 15 | 60% | 17 | 11 | 6 | 57 | <1% | 5% | 31% | 43% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 15 | 53% | 16 | 12 | 6 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 34% | 40% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 15 | 47% | 15 | 13 | 6 | 51 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 35% | 40% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 15 | 40% | 14 | 14 | 6 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 37% | 37% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
| 5 of 15 | 33% | 13 | 15 | 6 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 33% | 36% | 17% | 3% |
| 4 of 15 | 27% | 12 | 16 | 6 | 42 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 25% | 38% | 30% |
| 3 of 15 | 20% | 11 | 17 | 6 | 39 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 78% |
| 2 of 15 | 13% | 10 | 18 | 6 | 36 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| 1 of 15 | 7% | 9 | 19 | 6 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 15 | 0% | 8 | 20 | 6 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |