PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 24 5:30 pm

MLS - Week 26 of 32

Timbers What If?

The Timbers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Timbers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Timbers What If?

Next Game - Real Salt Lake (12‑10‑4)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 12 11 4 40 <1% 12% 16% 17% 15% 14% 11% 14%
Current Standings 11 11 4 37 <1% 8% 12% 14% 14% 14% 14% 24%
Lose Next Game 11 12 4 37 X 3% 7% 11% 14% 16% 17% 32%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario <1% 10% 15% 16% 15% 13% 11% 20%
Current Standings <1% 8% 12% 14% 14% 14% 14% 24%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 8% 11% 13% 13% 14% 14% 27%
Best Case Scenario
   Rapids beats Real Salt Lake
   Whitecaps beats Earthquakes
   Dynamo beats FC Dallas
Worst Case Scenario
   Real Salt Lake beats Rapids
   Earthquakes beats Whitecaps
   FC Dallas beats Dynamo
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
8 of 8 100% 19 11 4 61 <1% 91% 9% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 8 88% 18 12 4 58 X 61% 35% 4% <1% <1% ^ ^
6 of 8 75% 17 13 4 55 X 18% 45% 31% 6% <1% <1% <1%
5 of 8 63% 16 14 4 52 X 1% 11% 35% 36% 15% 2% <1%
4 of 8 50% 15 15 4 49 X <1% <1% 4% 21% 40% 29% 7%
3 of 8 38% 14 16 4 46 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 35% 55%
2 of 8 25% 13 17 4 43 X X X X <1% <1% 4% 96%
1 of 8 13% 12 18 4 40 X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 8 0% 11 19 4 37 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs