The Timbers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Timbers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 39% |
Current Standings | 4 | 7 | 5 | 17 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 45% |
Lose Next Game | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 51% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 38% |
Current Standings | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 45% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 53% |
Best Case Scenario CF Montréal beats Minnesota United FC Cincinnati beats Whitecaps Timbers beats FC Dallas |
Worst Case Scenario Minnesota United beats CF Montréal Whitecaps beats FC Cincinnati FC Dallas beats Timbers |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
18 of 18 | 100% | 22 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 48% | 46% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 18 | 94% | 21 | 8 | 5 | 68 | 30% | 55% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 18 | 89% | 20 | 9 | 5 | 65 | 15% | 52% | 29% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
15 of 18 | 83% | 19 | 10 | 5 | 62 | 6% | 35% | 44% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
14 of 18 | 78% | 18 | 11 | 5 | 59 | 1% | 15% | 40% | 33% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 18 | 72% | 17 | 12 | 5 | 56 | <1% | 3% | 20% | 38% | 28% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 18 | 67% | 16 | 13 | 5 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 21% | 36% | 27% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 18 | 61% | 15 | 14 | 5 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 34% | 29% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
10 of 18 | 56% | 14 | 15 | 5 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 32% | 32% | 15% | 3% |
9 of 18 | 50% | 13 | 16 | 5 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 29% | 34% | 24% |
8 of 18 | 44% | 12 | 17 | 5 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 26% | 64% |
7 of 18 | 39% | 11 | 18 | 5 | 38 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 93% |
6 of 18 | 33% | 10 | 19 | 5 | 35 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
5 of 18 | 28% | 9 | 20 | 5 | 32 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
4 of 18 | 22% | 8 | 21 | 5 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 18 | 17% | 7 | 22 | 5 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 18 | 11% | 6 | 23 | 5 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
1 of 18 | 6% | 5 | 24 | 5 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 18 | 0% | 4 | 25 | 5 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |