The Most Important Games for the Toronto FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Toronto FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toronto FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toronto FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Toronto FC (0‑3‑1) vs Red Bulls (1‑1‑2) |
10 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 86% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (2‑2) vs Charlotte FC (2‑1‑1) |
2 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 85% | ||
| NY City FC (2‑1‑1) vs Crew (2‑0‑2) |
1 | NY City FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Whitecaps (4‑0) vs Fire (2‑1‑1) |
1 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (2‑0‑2) vs Union (3‑1) |
0 | St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Nashville SC (2‑1‑1) vs CF Montréal (0‑3‑1) |
0 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Orlando City SC (1‑2‑1) vs D.C. United (1‑0‑3) |
0 | Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (2‑2) vs Atlanta United (1‑2‑1) |
0 | FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 84% | ||