The Most Important Games for the Toronto FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Toronto FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toronto FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toronto FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Toronto FC (5‑4‑1) vs FC Dallas (2‑5‑2) |
29 | Toronto FC Wins | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 47% | ||
| Minnesota United (5‑2‑2) vs Atlanta United (3‑3‑3) |
3 | Minnesota United Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Rapids (4‑3‑3) vs NY City FC (4‑4‑2) |
3 | Rapids Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Timbers (2‑4‑4) vs Charlotte FC (3‑5‑2) |
3 | Timbers Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Union (3‑2‑4) vs D.C. United (3‑3‑4) |
1 | Union Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 43% | ||
| CF Montréal (3‑3‑3) vs Nashville SC (1‑3‑5) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Orlando City SC (2‑4‑3) vs FC Cincinnati (5‑2‑3) |
1 | Orlando City SC Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (6‑2‑3) vs Red Bulls (4‑1‑5) |
1 | Inter Miami CF Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Fire (2‑4‑4) vs Revolution (1‑7‑1) |
0 | Fire Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Revolution Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 41% | ||