The Most Important Games for the Toronto FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Toronto FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toronto FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toronto FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Toronto FC (4‑10‑5) vs NY City FC (8‑7‑4) |
3 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| FC Cincinnati (12‑5‑3) vs Fire (8‑7‑4) |
1 | FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Sounders (8‑6‑5) vs Crew (10‑3‑7) |
0 | Sounders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Orlando City SC (9‑5‑6) vs Charlotte FC (8‑11‑1) |
0 | Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Timbers (8‑5‑6) vs Revolution (6‑6‑6) |
0 | Timbers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| CF Montréal (3‑12‑5) vs Inter Miami CF (8‑3‑5) |
0 | CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| D.C. United (4‑10‑6) vs Atlanta United (4‑10‑5) |
0 | D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Union (12‑4‑4) vs Nashville SC (11‑4‑5) |
0 | Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (7‑7‑6) vs Red Bulls (8‑7‑5) |
0 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Red Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (8‑3‑5) vs Atlanta United (4‑10‑5) |
0 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||