The Most Important Games for the Toronto FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Toronto FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toronto FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toronto FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Toronto FC (3‑6‑7) vs D.C. United (4‑5‑7) |
28 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 69% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 74% | ||
| Fire (8‑5‑2) vs NY City FC (6‑6‑4) |
2 | Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 69% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Charlotte FC (6‑6‑4) vs Red Bull (6‑6‑4) |
1 | Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Red Bull Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Nashville SC (12‑1‑3) vs Orlando City SC (5‑9‑2) |
1 | Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 70% | ||
| Revolution (8‑5‑2) vs Atlanta United (3‑10‑3) |
1 | Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 70% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (10‑2‑4) vs CF Montréal (4‑9‑3) |
1 | Inter Miami CF Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 69% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Sounders (7‑5‑3) vs Union (2‑10‑4) |
0 | Sounders Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 69% | ||
| Crew (4‑8‑4) vs FC Cincinnati (6‑5‑5) |
0 | Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 69% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 69% | ||