The Most Important Games for the Toronto FC are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Toronto FC final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toronto FC fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toronto FC Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Toronto FC (9‑14‑3) vs Dynamo (10‑7‑7) |
43 | Toronto FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 25% | 21% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 62% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 16% | 70% | ||
| Galaxy (14‑5‑7) vs Atlanta United (7‑11‑7) |
8 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 17% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 62% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 16% | 66% | ||
| Sporting KC (6‑14‑6) vs Orlando City SC (9‑9‑7) |
6 | Sporting KC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 17% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 62% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 16% | 18% | 63% | ||
| Revolution (7‑14‑2) vs CF Montréal (6‑10‑9) |
5 | Revolution Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 17% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 62% | ||
| CF Montréal Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 17% | 64% | ||
| Austin FC (8‑10‑7) vs Nashville SC (6‑11‑8) |
4 | Austin FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 17% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 62% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 16% | 64% | ||
| Crew (12‑4‑7) vs Union (6‑10‑9) |
4 | Crew Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 18% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 62% | ||
| Union Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 16% | 65% | ||
| FC Dallas (8‑11‑6) vs D.C. United (6‑11‑8) |
3 | FC Dallas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 16% | 18% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 62% | ||
| D.C. United Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 16% | 64% | ||
| NY City FC (11‑9‑5) vs Fire (6‑12‑7) |
2 | NY City FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 17% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 62% | ||
| Fire Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 16% | 65% | ||
| Red Bulls (10‑4‑11) vs Charlotte FC (10‑8‑7) |
2 | Red Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 62% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 17% | 63% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (16‑4‑5) vs FC Cincinnati (15‑7‑3) |
0 | Inter Miami CF Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 17% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 62% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 17% | 63% | ||