The Toronto FC What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Toronto FC play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 10 | 14 | 3 | 33 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 25% | 21% | 42% |
Current Standings | 9 | 14 | 3 | 30 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 62% |
Lose Next Game | 9 | 15 | 3 | 30 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 16% | 70% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 28% | 22% | 37% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 17% | 62% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 74% |
Best Case Scenario Revolution beats CF Montréal Toronto FC beats Dynamo Galaxy beats Atlanta United |
Worst Case Scenario CF Montréal beats Revolution Dynamo beats Toronto FC Atlanta United beats Galaxy |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
8 of 8 | 100% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 26% | 48% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 8 | 88% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 25% | 45% | 24% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 8 | 75% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 25% | 51% | 20% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 8 | 63% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 34% | 52% | 9% | <1% |
4 of 8 | 50% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 43% | 38% | 13% |
3 of 8 | 38% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 28% | 65% |
2 of 8 | 25% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |
1 of 8 | 13% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 8 | 0% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |